Textile Industry Boom Index Is Expected To Rise In The Three Quarter

According to the findings of the thirty-seventh phase of textile enterprise management conducted by China Federation of textile industry, the textile industry boom index in the two quarter of 2019 was 52, which was 3 points lower than that in the first quarter of 2019. It is expected that the textile industry boom index will be 57.5 in the three quarter of 2019, which is higher than the current prosperity index, indicating that textile enterprises will enhance their confidence in the industry in the next quarter.

From the sub index, the following characteristics are presented:

First, textile production index rose and sales index declined. In the two quarter of this year, although the macroeconomic situation at home and abroad is becoming more and more serious, the business climate index has declined, but the enterprises have constantly adjusted the production rhythm and production index is higher than the first quarter. The two quarter production index was 59.6, an increase of 3.8 points over the first quarter of 2019. Affected by the complex international economic situation and weak international market demand, the new order index was 49.5 in the two quarter of this year, a drop of 9.4 points compared with the first quarter of 2019, of which the foreign orders index was 47.4, down 8.2 points compared with the first quarter of 2019. From the domestic and international market data performance, the two quarter domestic sales growth continued to decline, exports have not yet reversed the negative growth (US dollar) momentum. In 1~6 months, the retail sales of clothing, shoes and hats and needle textiles increased by 3% over the same period last year, and the growth rate dropped 0.3 percentage points compared with the first quarter of 2019. The total export volume of textiles and clothing was 124 billion 231 million US dollars, down 2.37% compared with the same period last year. In terms of RMB, the export of textiles and garments was 844 billion 10 million yuan, an increase of 3.51% over the same period last year.

Second, both the selling price of products and the purchasing price of raw materials both declined. This is consistent with the National Bureau of statistics statistics of textile raw material producers purchase price and textile, clothing, chemical fiber producer price growth slowdown, China's textile enterprises raw material costs and sales prices fell simultaneously.

It is estimated that the purchasing price index of raw materials in China's textile industry is 55.7, down 11.2 points compared with the first quarter of 2019. Over the same period, the price index of product sales was only 41.8, down 10.3 points compared with the first quarter of 2019. According to the National Bureau of statistics, in 1~6 months, the producer price of textile industry and clothing industry increased by 1.1% and 1.1% respectively, while the chemical fiber industry decreased by 1.4% compared with the same period last year. The purchasing price of textile raw material industrial producers increased by 1% compared to the same period last year, and the growth rate was lower than that in the first quarter of 2019.

Third, inventory of raw materials has declined and finished goods inventory has risen. In the two quarter of this year, China's textile industry stock index of raw materials was 47.5, down 2 points compared with the first quarter of 2019. The finished product inventory index was 59.6, an increase of 15.5 points over the first quarter of 2019. It can be seen that, due to the weak market demand at home and abroad, China's textile production enterprises have slowed down their stockings, the pressure on inventories has increased, and the inventory of production enterprises has increased rapidly.

Overall, affected by the slowdown in the market, China's textile industry overall climate index has dropped, and with the domestic related tax reduction and other policies to play an effect, the three quarter or there will be room for recovery, enterprises optimistic about the three quarter of operation, confidence has been enhanced.