After The "Jump Up And Down" After The Dull Ending, Polyester Filament Looks Forward To The "Silver Ten" Market?
Entering the "Kim Gu" market, the polyester filament market seems to be showing signs of improvement, and the quotations of mainstream manufacturers have been on the rise. Even in the middle of the month, polyester raw materials once jumped up and down. However, the rally did not come to an agreement. Near the end of the month, the preferential sale of polyester filament market increased gradually, and the expected pre stocking and inventory decompression were difficult to achieve.
1, polyester filament prices fell nearly 30% over the same period last year.
First of all, from the price point of view, at the end of September, the mainstream manufacturers of polyester mostly had price promotions and preferential transactions, and the prices of mainstream products were at a low level in the year. By the end of September, the average price of the FDY 150D market was around 7800 yuan / ton, compared with the price at the beginning of the year, which dropped by nearly 1150 yuan / ton, compared with the price in the same period last year, it dropped by nearly 3375 yuan / ton, or 30.2%.
Similarly, the average price of the POY150D market is about 7720 yuan / ton recently, compared with the same period last year, it dropped by nearly 3250 yuan / ton, or 29.6%. Of course, DTY products can not escape the fate of falling, 150D prices fell sharply by 3300 yuan / ton to 9200 yuan / ton, or 26.4%.
2, polyester manufacturers inventory decline is still slow.
And from the production and inventory aspects, the "Kim Gu" market seems to be a bit of a misnomer, in September polyester market production and sales over 100 quotations are few. Near the end of the month and the preparation of the national day, it was only on the 29 day, the price of polyester factories and the incentives to deal with them. The market atmosphere of the polyester filament Market in Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces was picked up, and the production and marketing appeared to be good. According to statistics, the production and marketing of polyester mainstream plants rose to 150% -160%, and some of the higher ones had 300% or 400%. However, on the 30 day, the market atmosphere of polyester filament market dropped obviously. According to statistics, the production and marketing of polyester mainstream factories has been down to 60%-70%.
Of course, under the difficult promotion of polyester mainstream production and marketing, the inventory decline rate of manufacturers is relatively slow, and there is still a certain gap between the expected inventory and low inventory. According to the statistics of China's silk net, the overall stock market of polyester market is concentrated in 11-20 days. In terms of specific products, POY stocks are stored for 3-7 days, FDY stocks are close to 9-14 days, while DTY stocks are about 18-23 days.
No matter the price, production, sale and stock status, the market of polyester filament yarn seems to be a bit "bad" recently. Why?
First, there are many production and holiday breaks on national day, and lack of stock and raw material purchasing power.
In this year's textile environment is not satisfactory, weaving Market start-up rate has become a major factor restricting raw material market. From the market opening rate in late September, the starting rate of water looms in Shengze and Changxin areas was concentrated at 80% above the level, and the enthusiasm was not high; the opening rate of Haining warp knitting machine was around 70%; the rest, such as Shaw Shaw machine, had a low start-up rate of about 60%-70%, and the enthusiasm for production was obviously not as good as that of the same period last year.
As we all know, textile people almost all year round, machines 24 hours, and holidays. But this year, under the pressure of inventory, capital and so on, most manufacturers choose to stop production during the national day, and reduce the pressure of inventory by reducing the start-up rate. Therefore, this eleven long holiday, many textile people enjoy 3-5 days of vacation, some manufacturers even extend their vacation to 7-10 days. Naturally, this greatly reduces the power of weaving manufacturers before stocking and purchasing raw materials.
Two, how hot is the regenerated fabric? Impact on conventional raw materials!
This year, the supply of conventional products in textile market is generally oversupplied. What is the hottest thing in the fabric market? The answer must be unified standard, environmentally friendly recycled fabric! This year, or the recently concluded Intertextile Shanghai noodles Accessories Expo, the most impressive must be the environmentally friendly recycled fabric.
Environmentally friendly recycled fabrics, as the name suggests, start from the raw materials and recycle the waste plastic from Coke bottles, and then spin them into silk. Compared with conventional fabrics, the price of recycled fabrics is 50% higher than that of fabrics, and the price of finished fabrics is 80% higher than that of conventional fabrics. But even at such a high price, the market is still in short supply of recycled fabrics. More and more weaving factories are producing recycled fabrics, and products are becoming more and more abundant.
Judging from the price of raw materials, ordinary polyester fiber is eight thousand or nine thousand tons per ton, polyester fiber is more than 20 thousand tons, and nylon regenerated fiber will cost more than seven hundred and eight thousand tons. Although for ordinary polyester fiber, still occupy most of the market demand; recycled fiber market occupies only a small part of the market share, will not completely replace, but there is still a certain impact on the conventional market.
In any case, the September and National Day holiday has already ended. "Silver ten" is following up, can the downstream market orders be better? Is polyester filament market competitive? Textile people should have some expectations.
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