Is The Market Of Textile And Clothing In December Prosperous?

The prosperity monitoring results of China Textile and textile circulation branch show that in December 2019, the national textile and garment professional market managers' prosperity index was 49.35, down 1.03 percentage points from 50.38 in November, and the professional market business climate index was 50.46, down 0.09 percentage points from 50.55 in November.

Management boom

Business downturn

Data show that in December, the textile and garment professional market managers and business climate index fell slightly.

1, the manager's prosperity index has dropped by 1.03 percentage points.

From the manager's prosperity index, in December, the manager's prosperity index was 49.35, down 1.03 percentage points from 50.38 in November, and the operating environment index was 50.65, 0.32 percentage points lower than that of November's 50.97.

In the sub index, the total operating index was 50, a decrease of 0.32 percentage points from 50.32 in November; the logistics delivery volume index was 50.97, up 0.97 percentage points from 50 in November; the passenger flow index was 49.95, a 0.70 percentage point lower than that in November; the opening rate index was 50.65, an increase of 50.32 percentage points over that of November; the rental index was 50.65, a percentage point higher than that of November; the electricity sales index was less than that of November, a drop of 1% over that of November.

2, the business climate index has dropped by 0.09 percentage points.

From the business climate index, the business climate index of the total index is 50.46, down 0.09 percentage points from 50.55 in November, and the operating environment index is 50.92, up 0.15 percentage points from 50.77 in November.

In the sub index, the sales volume index was 51.84, an increase of 0.50 percentage points from 51.34 in November; the average selling price index was 50.43, up 0.01 percentage points from 50.42 in November; the profit index was 51.63, which was 0.06 percentage points lower than that of November; the composite cost index was 48.37, a decrease of 50.07 percentage points over that of November; the stock index was 48.37, a percentage point higher than that of November; and the electricity supplier sales index was less than that of November, a percentage point higher than that of November.

Highlight data analysis

1, the total market volume and passenger traffic volume drop.

In December, the proportion of total market operations decreased by 19.35%, up 6.45 percentage points from 12.90% in November, and the proportion of customers choosing to reduce traffic volume was 12.90%, up 6.45 percentage points from 6.45% in November. The total market operating index and passenger flow index showed a downward trend. With the end of the "golden nine silver ten" annual sales season, the sales situation of the professional market in November and December showed a continuous decline.

2, merchant inventory index returned to more than 50.

In December, the proportion of merchants who chose to reduce inventories was 10.64%, up 5.71 percentage points from 4.93% in November, and the stock index of business was 50.28, up 0.42 percentage points from 49.86 in November. The stock index returned to 50 above the stock price and the stock pressure eased slightly.

Prediction index

Data show that managers, the next management boom index is 50, down 0.32 percentage points from 50.32 in November; the next operating environment index is 48.71, down 51.29 percentage points from November's 2.58 percentage points. In terms of business, the next business climate index is 50.99, up 0.57 percentage points from 50.42 in November, and the operating environment index for the next period is 50.71, up 0.08 percentage points from 50.63 in November.

Enclosure

1, monitoring methods

"Textile and clothing professional market prosperity index" consists of two parts: "manager index" and "merchant index". Sampling method was adopted to select clothing and fabrics, home textiles and small commodities in different markets.

2. Monitoring samples

The manager's prosperity sample is made up of 32 textile and garment specialized markets, such as Guangzhou Baima clothing market, Beijing Tianya women's wear building, Jiangsu's perichi Bridge home textile market, Shanghai new seven Pu clothing market and Liaoning Xi Liu clothing market. The business life samples are composed of 150 businessmen, such as Tao Tao dress, Muzi hut, Ruili Han Shi, and Chi Di dress.

3. Monitoring cycle

The monitoring cycle is monthly, monthly and monthly.

4. Index structure

In the "textile and clothing professional market prosperity index", the "manager index" is composed of four indexes: the current manager's prosperity index, the next manager's prosperity index, the current business environment index and the next operating environment index. The "current manager prosperity index" consists of six indices, namely, the total operating index, the logistics delivery volume index, the passenger flow index, the opening rate index, the rental index and the electricity supplier sales index, which are composed of two indices.

The "merchant index" is composed of four first level indices: the business climate index, the next business climate index, the current business environment index and the next business environment index. The "business climate index" is composed of six indices, including sales volume index, average selling price index, profit index, comprehensive cost index, inventory index and electricity supplier sales index. The index is composed of two indices.

5, index analysis

The positive index includes manager's total operating index, logistics delivery index, passenger flow index, door opening rate index, rental index, electricity supplier sales ratio index and merchant sales index, average price index, profit index, electricity supplier sales ratio index. The positive index is more than 50, which indicates that the business condition is optimistic, the larger the value is, the more optimistic it is. The positive index is below 50, which indicates that the operation is not optimistic. The smaller the value, the more pessimistic.

The reverse index includes the cost index and inventory index. The cost index is more than 50, which indicates that the cost pressure of merchants decreases, the greater the value, the smaller the cost pressure. The cost index is lower than 50, which indicates that the cost pressure of business increases, the smaller the cost, the greater the cost pressure. The stock index exceeds 50, indicating that the inventory pressure decreases, the larger the stock pressure, the smaller the inventory pressure. The stock index is below 50, which indicates that the pressure of merchant inventory increases, the smaller the value, the greater the inventory pressure.