The Intensity Of The New Crown Exceeds The SARS Price.

As of February 21st, China has accumulated 75567 cases of new coronavirus pneumonia, 18301 cases of cumulative cure, 2239 cases of cumulative death. From December last year, new crowns began to appear in Wuhan, Hubei. By the end of January, the World Health Organization had classified the epidemic into "public health emergencies of international concern". By February 19th, new cases in China had obviously descended, and then there was a sharp rebound in the number of new cases except Hubei. The epidemic lasted three months from the onset of the epidemic to the current situation. It's complicated and confusing. Recently, related articles pointed out that the transmission of new coronavirus is stronger than that of SARS virus, and the way of transmission is more like influenza. Experts also pointed out that the new crown pneumonia may turn into chronic diseases, like influenza in the world.

A review of SARS epidemic in 2003 began in Foshan, Guangzhou in November 2002. By March 12, 2003, the World Health Organization issued a global alert for atypical pneumonia cases in 2003, and then went to March 2003 to May. The epidemic situation was gradually controlled after June. The duration of the epidemic lasted about 8 months. As of August 7, 2003, the mainland reported 5327 cases of atypical pneumonia clinical diagnosis, 4959 cases were cured, 349 cases died (19 cases died of other diseases, and no deaths in SARS).

The outbreak of the new crown pneumonia is obviously stronger than that of the SARS epidemic 17 years ago, and the government has taken unprecedented measures to prevent and control it. From the perspective of the price of cotton market,

1, the cotton market has responded more quickly. Zheng cotton is less than a month from the highest price to the lowest price, only two weeks after the Spring Festival holiday, and two months in 2003.

2, the reaction intensity is basically the same. Price declines were around 2000 yuan / ton.

3, this trend of recovery is early. Zheng cotton began to rebound after the introduction of incremental control measures after the cotton reserve was put into operation after the holiday. Recently, the upward trend was continued under the speculation and support of locust disaster and resumption.

But with the accelerated pace of resumption of work everywhere, the epidemic also appears again. There is still a contradiction between substantial reemployment and partial rebound in the epidemic situation, which has become an important factor affecting the next cotton price trend. Let us continue to pay close attention.