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    In March, The Textile And Garment Market Rebounded, And It Still Takes Time To Fully Recover.

    2020/4/7 15:00:00 93

    In MarchTextile And GarmentProfessional MarketBusiness Rebound.

    In March 2020, the textile and garment professional market managers' prosperity index was 51.24, an increase of 35.11 percentage points over that of 1~2 month, and the professional market business climate index was 51.18, which was 14.78 percentage points higher than that of 1~2 36.40 in March 2020.





    Management boom and business boom


    Data show that in March, the textile and garment professional market managers and business climate index has picked up.

    1, the manager's prosperity index increased by 35.11 percentage points.

    Chart 1 list of managers' indices

    Data source: circulation branch database

    From the manager's prosperity index, in March, the manager's prosperity index was 51.24, which was 35.11 percentage points higher than that of 1~2's 16.13, and the operating environment index was 48.06, which was 30.32 percentage points higher than that of 1~2's 17.74. ?

    In the sub index, the total operating index was 51.29, an increase of 48.06 percentage points compared to 3.23 in 1~2 months; the logistics delivery volume index was 51.29, a 49.68 percentage point increase over that of 1~2 months; the passenger flow index was 51.29, 49.68 percentage points higher than that of 1~2 month 1.61; the opening rate index was 53.23, an increase of 1.61 percentage points over the 1.61 of 1~2 month; the rental index was 53.23, which was higher than that of 1~2 month. Electricity sales index was 51.94, down 7.74 percentage points from 59.68 in 1~2.

    2, the business climate index increased by 14.78 percentage points.

    Chart 2 list of merchant indices

    Data source: circulation branch database

    From the business climate index, the business climate index of the total index is 51.18, 14.78 percentage points higher than that of 1~2 36.40, and the operating environment index is 46.43, which is 9.62 percentage points higher than that of 1~2 36.81.

    In the sub index, the sales volume index was 53.36, an increase of 38.43 percentage points from 14.93 in 1~2 months, an average selling price index of 51.12, an increase of 24.04 percentage points over that of 1~2 months, a 53.29 profit index, a 36.28 percentage point increase over that of 1~2 month, an overall cost index of 48.67, a decrease of 59.72 percentage points over that of 1~2 month, and an inventory index of less than 1~2 month's decline. 1 percentage points; the electricity supplier sales index was 50.42, an increase of 4.59 percentage points from 45.83 in 1~2.





    Data analysis


    1, the professional market has resumed to varying degrees, and the indices have rebounded.

    In March, the proportion of total market share increased by 41.94%, a 41.94 percentage point increase over 1~2 months, a 41.94% increase in the proportion of logistics deliveries, a 41.94 percentage point increase over 1~2 months, a 41.94% increase in the choice of passenger traffic, a 41.94 percentage point increase over 1~2 months, and a 58.06% increase in the rate of selection of merchants, 58.06 percentage points higher than that in 1~2 months. 。

    1~2 months, the textile and garment market across the country was affected by factors such as the Spring Festival holiday, the new crown pneumonia epidemic and other factors. Professional market operations basically stopped, and the index dived down. In March, on the basis of relatively abnormal 1~2 months, the economic recovery increased greatly. It should also be noted that, despite the very low 1~2 data, in March, the market which chose total operating volume, logistics delivery volume, passenger flow rate and opening rate remained flat or continued to decline, which also occupied a sizeable proportion. We can see that although the operation of the professional market in China has improved slightly, there is still a certain distance from the full recovery of the 1~2 market.

    2, there are differences in online sales trend between market and merchants.

    In March, the electricity sales index of market managers was 51.94, 7.74 percentage points lower than that of 1~2 59.68, and the electricity sales index of market traders was 50.42, up 4.59 percentage points from 45.83 of 1~2 months.

    The electricity supplier sales index shows the proportion of online sales in total turnover. 1~2 months, in the case of no normal business, textile and garment professional market and business account sales increased. In March, after the professional market resumed, the proportion of online sales channels opened by the market began to decline, while the proportion of online sales of market traders increased further on the basis of 1~2's higher base. It can be seen that the online marketing behavior of market traders has developed well, and the flexibility of merchants, the cohesion of online platforms such as e-commerce websites and live websites have improved significantly.

    3, the overall cost index and inventory index drop.

    In March, the composite cost index of merchant was 48.67, which was 11.05 percentage points lower than that of 1~2 in 59.72, and the stock index was 50.21, which was 3.61 percentage points lower than that of 1~2 month. In 1~2 months, merchants could not carry out daily operation at the market stalls. Most of them chose to sell some products through online channels, and the inventory pressure eased slightly. In terms of cost savings, the cost pressure is relatively small. Most businesses returned to normal stalls in March, resulting in an increase in cost pressure and inventory pressure, leading to a decline in the index.





    Prediction index


    Data show that managers, next management boom index is 50.65, 1 ~ In February, 19.35 increased by 31.30 percentage points, and the next operating environment index was 50, 1. ~ 17.74 in February increased by 32.26 percentage points. In terms of business, the next business climate index is 47.41, 1. ~ In February, 39.58 increased by 7.83 percentage points, and the next operating environment index was 47.41, 1. ~ In February, 37.85 fell by 9.56 percentage points. In terms of the forecast index, the two indexes of the managers returned to 50 above the business line, and the two indices of the merchants were still below 50. It can be seen that in the environment of slow recovery of domestic market and more severe global epidemic, market traders are not confident in their own business and industry situation, and their mood is still very uneasy.
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