Nearly 40% Textile Enterprises Predict: Domestic Demand Rebound Or In 8-10 Months!
Recently, China's silk net has made a small survey on the time when domestic demand can be revival. Over 300 textile people participated in the survey. The results show that 40.67% of the textile people believe that domestic trade demand will be better between August and October. 15.61% of the textile people believe that at the end of 2020, 11.51% of the textile people believe that they should be in the first half of next year, 11.46% of the textile people believe that they will be in the second half of next year, while 21.11% of the textile people say that the time points will not be predicted.
It can be seen that most textile people believe that although the market is bad now, there is still some possibility of the improvement of domestic trade. The period from August to October is a good time.
The boot rate is dropping seriously, overcapacity or improvement.
Two years later, the outbreak of domestic epidemic and the continuous fermentation of overseas epidemic led to the stagnation of the textile market. Textile market relies on domestic trade for 3 minutes, and 7 points depend on foreign trade. But now, whether domestic trade or foreign trade is not satisfactory, it can be said that it is very bad. During the visit, many of the weaving bosses indicated that there was no single thing to do at present. Every day they were doing inventory. They had already closed some of the machines. If the market is not good this month, they will have an indefinite holiday.
Shen Zong, who owns forty or fifty machines but has a stock of 2 million meters, sighs, "it is said that the May Day should be at least one week's leave, but we should not be able to sustain it. Instead of raw materials, they can not be placed in a warehouse. Originally wanted to support, but every day in weaving inventory, money is pressed on top, now cloth also no place to put, really can not go down. "
According to the samples of Chinese silk net inspection, the grey fabric of weaving enterprises in Shengze has risen to 42-43 days, which is basically unchanged from that of last year's off-season.
High storage makes many weaving factories reduce production and stop production. At present, the weaving rate of Shengze weaving factories is only 67%, and last year, when the market was worst, the start-up rate was also maintained at 7. On the other hand, a lot of weaving factories start up due to pressure drop such as capital, but the basic demand of the market still exists, the production capacity is reduced, the competition is reduced, and another part of the enterprises that have gone through the past may be able to "kill" a blood route.
In the age of traffic, shopping live on live lines.
When the market just returned to work, due to the epidemic situation, the hot summer spring and summer fabrics in 2 and March failed to be effectively released. The order of the year ago was not canceled, but the epidemic situation caused the time to work again and again, which led to the fact that the return rate of spring and summer fabrics was not high enough to reach the expectations of the old board. After the year, the order quantity is very few, basically is the list of years ago, not even many proofing.
Although the market in the first half of the year is basically cool, many cloth owners still think that terminal consumer demand still exists.
"Originally wanted to prepare several new year's" war clothes ", who can expect a pajamas to carry the whole spring festival. Behind this widely circulated piece, it reflects the crisis of the entire clothing industry in the special period. 2020 is the year when the clothing industry leaks and slits and even the rain at night. Last year, just after the warm winter, the Spring Festival sales season was exacerbated by the continuous epidemic. It not only impeded the inventory process, but also disrupted the new spring and brought a new spring inventory.
Online transformation has become an inevitable problem, with live broadcasting the most fashionable. In recent months, as a traffic pool, jitter has become an excellent marketing position for garment enterprises. A clothing store in Zhengzhou opened a live broadcast for two weeks, with a turnover of 2 million, while a clothing boss in Guangzhou thirteen lines and 10 stall landlady jointly broadcast live in March 18th, achieving 1 million 220 thousand results in one day. It can be seen that although the epidemic has been lengthened in the winter of the clothing industry, the consumption demand still exists, but it lies in the way you use to let consumers pay the bill.
GDP has historically declined, but overall performance has been stable.
On the morning of 17, the Information Office of the State Council held a press conference to introduce the operation of the national economy in the first quarter of 2020. According to the National Bureau of statistics, after a preliminary calculation, the GDP of 206504 yuan in the first quarter was calculated at comparable prices, down 6.8% from the same period last year.
Although the epidemic has caused economic data to decline, this is the first negative growth since the GDP statistics began in 1992, and the first time China's economy has been plunged into a quarterly contraction since the reform and opening up. But it is much better than the largest economy in the United States. Experts predict that the US GDP will fall by 9% in the first quarter of 2020, and the two quarter will reach an astonishing 34%, the worst figure since the Second World War. Morgan Stanley gave a lower growth rate, and they expected the US GDP or -38% to decline in the second quarter of 2020.
Although the epidemic has led to a slowdown in China's economy, our economy is still running smoothly throughout the world. If people have money in their hands, they will naturally consume. In the first half of the year, there were many offices and rest at home, and the demand for clothing decreased. But with the effective control of the epidemic, consumers' demand for clothing in the second half of this year may have a retaliatory rebound.
In a conversation with cloth boss, there was a boss who opened a factory for more than ten years. "This year's market is good or not, mainly from 8 to the end of October. At present, no single list will not shut the machine completely. After more than ten years, I still want to hope that I will not give up like this.
In addition to nearly 4 of textile people, the demand for improvement will be between August and October, accounting for second of the total. At present, the number of confirmed cases of the new global crown exceeds 2 million cases, ranking first in the United States, followed by Spain, Italy, France and Germany. As the largest textile export area in China, the epidemic is serious and demand recovery is unknown. Domestic trade and foreign trade are like two legs of a human being, one leg is lame, and the other leg can walk very well.
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