Analysis Of Foreign Trade Index In April: Epidemic Situation Has Unprecedented Impact, And Foreign Trade Marketing Volume Is Down.

In April 2020, the foreign trade prosperity index closed at 663.63 points, down 8.44%, down 8.44% from the beginning of the year, down 12.74% from the same period last year, and the foreign trade price index closed at 168.29 points, down 0.11%, down 0.11% from the beginning of the year, up 3.93% from the same period last year, and the foreign trade confidence index closed at 599.91 points, decreasing by 32.60%.

In April, the export volume of textile and clothing in Keqiao District of Shaoxing still declined, and textile exports showed a downward trend. In April, epidemics continued to spread outside the country and gradually became normal. It had a great impact on the domestic weaving Market, and production continued to slow down. In terms of orders, the export orders of cluster weaving enterprises have been decreasing significantly since the outbreak of overseas epidemic. At present, new orders are few and mostly short term orders. Orders for foreign orders have been gradually lifted, and Shaoxing textile enterprises are facing pressure to reduce production. It is understood that the recent cancellation of orders due to the epidemic is really a lot, especially foreign trade enterprises. The 20200425 phase of the foreign trade prosperity index fell, and the foreign trade price index fell.

First, the overseas market is still declining, and the foreign trade prosperity index is down.

In April, the prosperity index of foreign textile enterprises in Keqiao District of Shaoxing decreased, because a large number of foreign trade orders were cancelled. Many foreign trade enterprises were converted to domestic sales. New orders for textile and clothing were seriously insufficient, and the original orders were also cancelled or delayed. Textile industry, especially small and medium-sized textile enterprises, generally has the following difficulties. Among them, the foreign trade prosperity index of chemical fiber filament fabrics decreased by 8.18%; the daily textile index of household textile fabrics decreased by 18.30%; the curtain curtain foreign trade prosperity index decreased by 33.93%, and the index of stimulating foreign trade prosperity declined.

1, "order cancellation" or delay becomes normal.

The market environment of textile and clothing is relatively low. In the main consumer market of clothing, there is epidemic spread in Japan, Korea, Europe and the United States. The clothing demand of local consumers may be affected by the epidemic in the short term, and the behavior of European or American clothing brands to cancel or postpone orders has directly affected the production rhythm of related enterprises in the industrial chain. Reducing expenditure and maintaining production is the primary goal of Shaoxing textile enterprises.

2, the enterprises that produce anti epidemic materials are in good condition.

The impact of the new crown pneumonia epidemic on the industry textile industry tends to be two poles, and overall, the positive impact is greater than the negative impact. The enterprises that produce anti epidemic materials are in good condition, demand is increasing substantially, orders are full, while enterprises in other fields are negatively affected to varying degrees. Market research results show that enterprises generally expect that after the two quarter, with the recovery of production and major projects started, and the state's support for economic development policies and measures to fall, the industry's demand for infrastructure construction, environmental protection and safety protection will be restored. The demand for medical protective products will continue to grow worldwide, and some textile enterprises in Shaoxing will have a year-round business experience. The situation remains optimistic.

3, Keqiao textile enterprises seize the opportunity to develop in the era of great health.

Facing the grim situation of the global epidemic, the textile industry of Keqiao is encountering the ice age. The volume of business turnover has generally declined. However, there are always a number of people who are good at catching opportunities to take the lead in breaking the situation, which not only reduces their own losses, but also brings more confidence to their counterparts. Relying on the advantages of raw materials such as non-woven fabrics, meltblown fabrics and woven fabrics in the mask industry chain of Keqiao textile industry, textile and garment enterprises such as Jila Liang silk, golden cicada fabric, Jinyang textile and Kell sea knitted apparel have added protective production lines. They do not fight with hospitals to seize resources, support themselves and support epidemic prevention, and seize the opportunity of developing a healthy era.

4, protection and isolation fabrics sell well.

If the phenomenon of adding a protective industry chain is confined to only a few leading textile enterprises in Keqiao, then it is imperative to seek a turning point through product innovation. Shaoxing Yang Shi Textile Co., Ltd. is mainly engaged in outdoor functional fabrics. Aiming at the consumption demand of protection and light fashion in the post epidemic era, we have recently developed protective clothing and anti-virus four side elastic fabric to help outdoor sports enthusiasts build up barrier screens that are close to nature and keep away from viruses. The protective fabric developed by Yang Shi textile can be used not only in medical protective clothing, but also in everyday outdoor sportswear. It has the function of preventing penetrating blood from synthetic blood, preventing the source of disease, and having both antistatic, waterproof and moisture permeable properties. The antiviral activity of the antiviral four side fabric is as high as 99.9%, and the inhibition rate of bacteria inhibition is more than 99%, which can form effective protection. In the face of the epidemic, Yang Shih textile embarks on love and protects people's fabric. We hope that the virus will no longer become an obstacle for people to move forward.

5, green products are favored by many customers.

The big health industry will enter the era of universal demand and become a new outlet for development. At present, the situation of foreign trade is extremely grim. The sales volume of Shaoxing Chun Ming natural cellulose membrane Co., Ltd. has increased compared with the same period last year. The answer is hidden in the company's name, "natural cellulose." The company's products are extracted from plants such as cotton and trees. It is non-toxic and tasteless. It can be 100% natural degradation. It belongs to the green environmental protection product. It has won the favor of many customers from Korea, Japan, Europe and Southeast Asia. The textile industry has always advocated the concept of universal health and environmental protection, from the source of yarn to the technological process of clothing, from the sale of finished products to the recycling of waste clothing. The whole industry is holding the idea of material traceability, intelligent process cleaning, sales of green and pollution-free, and effective recycling of sustainable development. Keqiao textile has long heard the footsteps of the coming era of "big health", and many Keqiao enterprises in front of the market will win more market opportunities in the face of this crisis and challenges.

Two, export prices continue to shrink, and the foreign trade price index is down.

In April, the foreign trade price index showed a downward trend. Among them, the foreign trade price index of chemical fiber filament fabrics decreased by 0.14% compared to the same month, and the foreign trade price index of curtain curtains fell by 2.18%; the total price index of foreign trade decreased.

1, the sharp decline in orders, foreign trade prices fell

Keqiao's textile industry chain is complete, with the most obvious advantages of textile printing and dyeing and fabric in the middle reaches, and has a high degree of dependence on the upstream and downstream industry chain. The global spread of the epidemic has led to a weak demand side in the downstream textile industry. China's Textile City, which accounts for 1/3 of the total fabric sales and 1/4 of the world's textile industry, has also experienced serious unsalable fabrics, the sharp decline in orders, the fall in foreign trade prices, the integration of online and offline industries, the transfer of foreign trade to domestic sales, and the joint operation of the industrial chain.

2, many countries have forced shops to close, and economic activities are close to a halt.

The global spread of the epidemic has made the supply chain enterprises of the global textile and garment industry experience a storm. We are under tremendous pressure, and some companies are even struggling to survive. In order to control the spread of the epidemic, many countries have forced shops to close, and economic activities are close to a standstill, and the retail industry has almost stagnated. The above measures have also made unprecedented impact on the textile and garment supply chain, and the price of foreign trade in textiles and clothing has declined and orders have decreased.

3, foreign purchases are in the doldrums, and foreign trade prices are falling.

Orders for foreign orders have been gradually lifted, and Shaoxing textile enterprises are facing second pressure to stop production and reduce production. At the same time, the market is cold, foreign purchases are sluggish, and foreign trade prices are falling, so that textile enterprises are not optimistic about the second quarter or even the whole year's business. It can be said that the current textile market has not yet fully recovered, and it is still some time for enterprises to get out of the "cold winter".

4, the order of the manufacturers of grey fabrics has dropped, and foreign trade prices have dropped.

Affected by the global new crown epidemic, overseas orders have been cancelled and the number of contracts has been destroyed. Compared with the same period last year, the number of orders decreased by 50-70%, and reached 80-90% individually. With the shrinking of overseas orders, the domestic market of textile market has gradually dropped, and it is hard to see signs of warming up in the future. Many textile enterprises in China are in a predicament. The collapse of foreign trade is more obvious, and the export of domestic enterprises is facing a price war. Grey fabric market has become a situation of competition. On the one hand, it is huge capacity, while the product is seriously unsalable. The overall grey fabric market is weak in subsequent orders, and the inventory of conventional grey fabric varieties is serious. The price declines rapidly, the trading flow rate slows down, and the capital pressure is highlighted. The current situation in the grey fabric market and the various links that spread to the textile chain. And those intermediate links of textile enterprises, weaving factories, and so on, can only rely on price to grab a single, the price of grey cloth on the market is very chaotic, many manufacturers are below the cost of sales. In the foreign trade market, most enterprises have almost stopped. With the emergence of the global economic crisis, the textile industry has also been affected by a great deal.

Three, the next forecast of foreign trade index

For the export situation in May 2020, textile and garment exports are expected to show a downward trend. According to the development of foreign epidemic situation, it is estimated that the external demand will drop to a low point in May, and the test will be even more brutal. In view of the grim situation of the market, many spinning enterprises have to cut costs, control costs and even cut down some production capacity and reduce operating expenses in order to maintain their business. In the face of pessimism from export enterprises, experts believe that the cancellation of orders is only temporary. The outbreak of India and some Southeast Asian countries, and European and American brand spinning orders will flow back to China. Affected by the epidemic, there will be a large area of cotton mills, cloth factories and garment factories in India, which will stop production and stop the ports. The capacity of single capacity and delivery capacity will drop, and the epidemic situation of textile giants such as Pakistan and Bangladesh will not be optimistic. Therefore, once the international demand starts, buyers or retailers from Europe and the United States will choose China. In the short term, a large number of foreign trade customers withdraw their orders, which has brought great uncertainty to the development of foreign trade enterprises this year. It is very common for textile enterprises to encounter cancellation. Domestic garment manufacturers cancelled the increase in foreign orders, and the total number of foreign buyers entering the market declined. I believe that after the outbreak of the epidemic, the social and economic operation of various countries will gradually return to normal. Clothing demand will gradually return to normal, and the rapid recovery of China's industrial chain, stubborn anti risk ability and a complete industrial chain will attract overseas customers to place orders, so that the arrival of large quantities of orders will be just around the corner.