The International Market Is Extremely Volatile. When Will The Foreign Trade Industry Sweep The Haze And Welcome The Turning Point?
Recently, there are good news in the international market: multinational countries are gradually lifting the "seal up". This is undoubtedly a positive sign of global economic boost. At present, most countries in Europe have announced the lifting of the plan, for example, France has opened the process of unwinding, the United Kingdom has been released in three stages, Germany has implemented "elastic unsealing", Portugal has taken the three step to restart the economy, Italy has entered the second phase of the unwinding, Switzerland, and Switzerland. Gradually relaxing the entry restrictions, some countries in Asia, Oceania, Africa and other regions are also implementing the unplanned closure plan. However, due to the unclear situation of epidemic prevention and control in the Americas, the release process may be relatively slow.
Another unexpected thing is: the epidemic is bounced back. Some countries are suffering from an outbreak of the epidemic due to inadequate prevention and control capacity. For example, India, Brazil and other countries, according to the latest statistics, India now has a total number of ninth in the world. This is also the tenth consecutive day that India has diagnosed more than 6000 cases on a single day. The number of single day diagnoses exceeds 8000 in 31 days, the largest increase since the outbreak. The total number of confirmed diagnoses in Brazil ranks second in the world. The number of confirmed cases has exceeded 10000 cases in Fourteenth consecutive days. The number of deaths has exceeded France's fourth in the world.
In addition, the most noteworthy thing is the United States! The latest statistics of the new crown disease released by Johns Hopkins University in June 1st showed that as of 18:33 AM Eastern Time 1 (6:33 Beijing time 2 6:33), the United States accumulated 1808291 cases of confirmed cases, totaling 105003 cases of deaths. Data show that the most serious state of New York has 371711 confirmed cases and 29833 deaths. There are more than 100 thousand confirmed cases in New Jersey, Illinois, California and Massachusetts. At the same time, a protest caused by a violent law enforcement continued to ferment in the United States in recent years. As the first economic power, the expansion of the epidemic and the escalation of the riots have had a certain impact on the economic recovery.
This year's foreign trade market has made the textile industry "badly hurt". Judging from the current signs, the next stage of recovery is still uncertain. However, there are reports that European Union countries have begun to contact clothing orders. It is understood that in the United States, Spain, Italy and other regions, the order is obviously better than that of Vietnam and other Southeast Asian countries. "At present, we can finish the order at the end of June, but we don't know what will happen next, or we are worried about the continuity of the order." A home textile fabric export supplier said.
Some experts said that the domestic economic activities stopped because of the impact of the epidemic in the early stage. However, with the first wave of impact, the second wave was also on the way, and the second wave impact probability was greater than that of the first wave, mainly because of the impact of overseas epidemic on China's imports and exports.
In fact, every economic activity has a certain cycle. In the 98 year, the market overcapacity was later rescued by the external demand of the world trade organization. In 2008, the subprime mortgage crisis, the demand for foreign trade declined, and the domestic market started four trillion. After 2013, the market once again fell into overcapacity and weak demand. Later, it was eliminated by a series of measures such as environmental protection, security supervision and so on, and the market improved again. The impact of this year's "black swan" is still ongoing. When it will ease, it will directly determine the demand for recovery and consumption recovery of overseas countries, thus affecting the recovery of the domestic textile industry.
Foreign trade enterprises should turn passive into initiative and actively explore new solutions to stabilize the board this year.
In the past, many foreign trade enterprises participated in various exhibitions to get more orders. Now, not only domestic trade, but also many foreign trade enterprises have begun to explore the market vigorously through the Internet, and the flow of online social platforms has been further increased. Whether the website Facebook, Twitter or Instagram, the user time and rate of growth have been significantly improved, and foreign trade enterprises can publish product information on multiple platforms to attract more potential customers. But when developing new customers online, the most important thing to note is careful order. Every export country has different requirements for trade clearance, so it is easy to step on the pits carelessly. At the same time, we must pay attention to local export risks. In order to avoid the economic losses, we should promptly control the delivery risks and guard against port clearance, no pick-up at the destination port, buyer's abandonment and no payment.
At the beginning of June, according to the rule of past years, orders for spring and summer fabrics have basically come to an end. The market will soon enter the off-season. As time comes to 9 and October, the fabric will start to occupy the market in the autumn and winter, and the market will become hot again. The consumption of textiles has a strong seasonal pattern, and a real recovery may still be waiting for a period of time. Therefore, market demand is required in advance. In addition, due to the long factory downtime and production reduction, the goods on major foreign e-commerce platforms are also seriously out of stock. Prior to the cancellation of most of the airline flights, trade liberalization in various countries, easy to lead to the explosion and increase prices. More accurate data should be provided when booking the cabin, so as to avoid larger data and cause flight delay. At the same time, communicate with foreign customers in time. Enterprises should be aware of trends in time, adjust strategies and respond to changes.
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