Polyester Filament Is Not Fragrant For Weaving And Reducing Production.
Goods can never be produced. Production can only turn it into a product, and the most important step is to sell it if it wants to make it truly "commodity" and generate profits.
But due to the new crown pneumonia outbreak and some irrational operations in the first half of this year, this step has become increasingly difficult for some textile enterprises and polyester factories.
Weaving enterprise
Once: Polyester price "really fragrant", weaving enterprises take the opportunity to "copy the bottom".
In the first half of this year, the price of polyester filament dropped sharply, almost to the lowest point in history.
?
The price of "fragrant" polyester makes a part of weaving enterprises appear a kind of psychology.
Take advantage of the cheaper raw materials and buy more. Anyway, they can always be used. The cloth produced is quite conventional. After that, the epidemic will be controlled and the market will improve.
Therefore, up to mid June, even if there has been no order, the starting rate of weaving enterprises is not low, with an average rate of more than 7.
Moreover, not only the weaving enterprises think so, but also traders think so. Xiaobian not only heard a news that traders took advantage of the opportunity to hoard grey cloth and hoarding raw materials in the first half of the year, but some even judged that it is now the lowest price in history.
Now: cash flow is tight and warehouse is not stacked.
To some extent, this idea is not wrong. Buying low and selling high is the essence of doing business, but accounts are not counted in many cases.
In the first half of the year, it was like a little editor who usually stroll around the Taobao. He saw more and more things in the bargain. He thought that he could buy it all the time when he used to buy it. He could buy it when he got home.
Although the grey fabric produced by weaving enterprises has a wide range of application, in the short term, it can only be stacked in the warehouse as inventory, resulting in more and more grey fabric inventory. Until funds are occupied to a certain extent or the warehouse can not be stacked, there are only two ways left before weaving enterprises.
Polyester enterprise
Once: profits rebounded, inventory fell, expansion is now.
In the first half of 2020, because of the huge fluctuation of international oil prices, the profit of polyester filament has been fluctuating. Because of the capacity recovery stage of weaving enterprises before April, production and sales remained basically at 2-4. After April, with the rebound of international oil prices, polyester prices rose, polyester profits began to rise again, and returned to a fairly good situation.
?
It also says that because of the lowest raw material price in history, a large number of weaving enterprises and traders have chosen a large number of bottom copies. From the polyester plant stock map of polyester factories, the time should be at the end of 3 and the beginning of April.
?
The short term purchase of raw materials and polyester filament's continuous profits has given the polyester manufacturers the impulse to continue to release their capacity. Just in time, 2020 is the time for polyester production to expand again.
In the first half of 2020, the total volume of domestic polyester production increased to 2 million 930 thousand tons, of which 1 million 200 thousand tons of polyester filament were newly put into operation, accounting for 41% of the total volume of new polyester production.
Summary of domestic polyester production in the first half of 2020
Corporate name | capacity | Device address | accessory products | Commissioning time |
Nantong Heng Ke | Ten | Nantong, Jiangsu | Polyester filament cations | 2020/1/1 |
Hengyi new materials in Haining | Twenty-five | Jiaxing, Zhejiang | Polyester filament POY | 2020/2/23 |
Wankai (Chongqing) | Sixty | Fuling, Chongqing | PET bottle flakes | 2020/3/25 |
Jiaxing Yi Peng | Twenty-five | Jiaxing, Zhejiang | Polyester filament | 2020/3/31 |
Dalian Yisheng | Thirty | Dalian, Liaoning | PET bottle flakes | 2020/4/3 |
New Phoenix and Zhongyi | Thirty | Jiaxing, Zhejiang | Polyester filament | 2020/4/9 |
Nantong Heng Ke | Ten | Nantong, Jiangsu | Full dull polyester filament yarn | 2020/4/30 |
Lixin chemical fibre | Three | Wujiang, Jiangsu | Two component, polyester / nylon composite | 2020/5/23 |
Wuxi Huaya | Twenty | Wuxi, Jiangsu | PET chip | 2020/5/28 |
Yisheng Hainan | Fifty | Hainan Yangpu | PET bottle flakes | 2020/6/9 |
Fujian Yi Jin | Ten | Jinjiang, Fujian | Polyester staple and polyester chips | 2020/6/10 |
Hong Hong fiber (Sheng Hong) | Twenty | Wujiang, Jiangsu | Full extinction of polyester filament | 2020/6/20 |
Total | Two hundred and ninety-three |
The new production capacity of polyester has been put into production one after another. This is also the effort made by polyester leading enterprises in order to increase market share.
?
Now: inventory keeps rising and sales promotion is useless.
It can be seen that from March to now, the start-up rate of polyester factories shows a trend of rising all the way, which seems to be explained only by "seeing profits and heart happiness".
?
This eventually led to the polyester plant's Polyester stock rising again. From the statistics of China's silk net, the overall stock market in the polyester market is now concentrated for 27-37 days. In terms of specific products, POY stocks are up to 8-14 days, FDY stocks are close to 19-26 days, while DTY stocks are about 27-38 days.
Polyester factory looked at high inventory and chose promotion, but the weaving enterprise showed a "indifferent" attitude towards it.
Can the polyester be far away if the weaving is reduced?
The promotion of polyester filament is "not fragrant", the reason is very simple: inventory is increasing, demand has not seen much improvement, many weaving enterprises can not carry the dual pressure of inventory and capital began to reduce production operation. At present, the market of water jet looms in Jiangsu and Zhejiang market has dropped to about 6.
Weaving enterprises have less machines, and they do not have any excess capital. Naturally, there is no desire to buy silk. At that time, polyester production and marketing are not normal. But when the promotion routine is useless, will the next step of polyester manufacturers reduce production? Let's wait and see.
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