Index Analysis: The Prosperity Index Of Textile And Clothing Professional Market Rose In June

The prosperity monitoring results of China Textile Federation Circulation Branch show that in June 2024, the prosperity index of managers of the national textile and clothing professional market will be 54.62, up 4.46 percentage points from the previous month; The business climate index of professional market was 50.37, up 0.28 percentage points from the previous month.

　　 1、 Prosperity of managers and merchants

Data shows that in June, the prosperity index and the prosperity index of managers of the national textile and clothing professional market rose, both of which were higher than 50.

　　 1. Managers' prosperity index rose by 4.46 percentage points

Table 1 List of Manager Index

From the perspective of managers' prosperity index, in the total index, the managers' prosperity index in June was 54.62, up 4.46 percentage points from the previous month; The business environment index was 53.23, up 1.29 percentage points from the previous month.

Among the sub indexes, the total business volume index was 55.81, up 5.49 percentage points from the previous month; The logistics delivery index was 55.81, up 6.46 percentage points from the previous month; The passenger flow index was 54.19, 3.87 percentage points higher than that of the previous month; The door opening rate index was 53.55, up 1.94 percentage points from the previous month; The rental index was 52.26, up 2.58 percentage points over the previous month; The e-commerce sales index was 56.13, up 6.45 percentage points from the previous month.

　　 2. Business climate index rose by 0.29 percentage points

Table 2 List of Merchant Indexes

From the perspective of business climate index, in the total index, the business climate index in June was 50.37, up 0.29 percentage points from the previous month; The business environment index was 53.09, up 1.35 percentage points from the previous month.

Among the sub indexes, the sales volume index was 51.99, 1.34 percentage points higher than that of the previous month; The average price index was 50.15, up 0.44 percentage points from the previous month; The profitability index was 50.15, down 0.86 percentage points from the previous month; The comprehensive cost index was 48.53, up 0.05 percentage points from the previous month; The inventory index was 50.51, up 0.65 percentage points from the previous month; The e-commerce sales index was 50.88, up 0.08 percentage points from the previous month.

　　 2、 Data analysis

　　 1. Market operating performance improved significantly

In June, 58.06% of the total market operation increased, 38.71 percentage points higher than the previous month; 58.06% of the market logistics shipments increased, 41.93 percentage points higher than the previous month; The summer clothes sold well in June, and the market performance improved significantly compared with that in May.

Figure 1 Total business volume index

Figure 2 Logistics Delivery Index

　　 2. Stable and good market operation

In June, 38.71% of professional market opening rate rose, 22.58 percentage points higher than the previous month; 48.39% of the professional market traffic increased, 25.81 percentage points higher than the previous month; 70.97% of professional market rents were flat; In June, the opening rate of the professional market increased, the passenger flow increased, the rent was stable, and the overall operation was stable and good.

Figure 3 Door opening rate index

Figure 4 Passenger Flow Index

Figure 5 Rent Index

　　 3. Business performance of merchants fluctuated slightly

In June, 36.76% of the total sales of merchants in the market increased, 11.40 percentage points higher than that of the previous month; 26.47% of the market merchants' profits declined, up 6.90 percentage points over the previous month; 54.41% of the market merchants' sales prices were flat, down 3.56 percentage points from the previous month. The sales volume, profit and selling price of merchants fluctuated within 1 percentage point, and the business performance was basically the same as that in May.

Figure 6 Sales Index

Figure 7 Profitability Index

Figure 8 Average selling price index

　　 4. Merchant cost rises and inventory pressure drops

In June, 27.21% of the market merchants' comprehensive costs increased, 9.82 percentage points higher than the previous month; 27.21% of the market merchants' inventory decreased, 17.07 percentage points higher than that of the previous month. The comprehensive cost index continued to decline, indicating that the cost pressure of merchants in the market was still high in June, and the inventory index recovered to more than 50, further easing the inventory pressure of merchants.

Figure 9 Comprehensive Cost Index

Figure 10 Inventory Index

　　 5. Good e-commerce sales

In June, 61.29% of the market's e-commerce sales increased, 61.29 percentage points higher than that of the previous month; The e-commerce sales volume of 20.59% of the market merchants increased by 10.45 percentage points over the previous month. E-commerce sales in professional markets are good.

Figure 11 Manager E-commerce Sales Index

Figure 12 E-commerce sales index of merchants

　　 3、 Prediction index

The data shows that, for managers, the manager prosperity index in the next period is 53.23, up 0.97 percentage points from the previous month; The business environment index for the next period was 53.23, up 3.23 percentage points from the previous month. In terms of merchants, the business climate index of the next period will be 53.38, 1.28 percentage points higher than that of the previous month; The business environment index for the next period was 53.46, up 0.42 percentage points from the previous month. The four prediction indexes are all higher than 50, which shows that professional market managers and merchants are more confident about the operation in July.

　　 enclosure:

　　 1. Monitoring methods

"Prosperity index of textile and clothing professional market" consists of "manager index" and "merchant index". Using the sampling method, select markets and merchants of different business categories such as clothing, fabrics, home textiles and small commodities nationwide, and fill in the managers' prosperity index questionnaire and merchants' prosperity index questionnaire respectively.

　　 2. Monitoring samples

The managers' prosperity sample consists of 31 professional textile and clothing markets, including Guangzhou Baima Clothing Market, Shandong Jimo Clothing Market, Jiangsu Dieshiqiao Home Textile Market, Shanghai Xinqipu Clothing Market, and Liaoning Xiliu Clothing Market. The business prosperity sample consists of 147 businesses such as Taotao Clothing, Suntory Textile, Weibang Home Textile, and Vitoli Cashmere.

　　 3. Monitoring period

The business climate monitoring cycle is monthly, submitted at the end of each month, and released at the beginning of the next month.

　　 4. Index composition

In the "Prosperity Index of Textile and Garment Professional Market", the "manager index" consists of four first level indexes, namely, the current manager prosperity index, the next manager prosperity index, the current business environment index, and the next business environment index; The "current manager prosperity index" consists of six secondary indexes, namely, total business volume index, logistics delivery volume index, passenger flow index, door opening rate index, rent index and e-commerce sales index.

The "merchant index" consists of four primary indexes, namely, the merchant prosperity index of the current period, the merchant prosperity index of the next period, the business environment index of the current period, and the business environment index of the next period; The "merchant boom index of the current period" consists of six secondary indexes, namely sales index, average selling price index, profitability index, comprehensive cost index, inventory index and e-commerce sales index.

　　 5. Exponential analysis

The positive index includes managers' total business volume index, logistics delivery volume index, passenger flow index, merchant opening rate index, rent index, e-commerce sales proportion index and merchant sales index, average selling price index, profitability index, e-commerce sales proportion index. If the positive index exceeds 50, it indicates that the business situation is optimistic, and the greater the value, the more optimistic it will be; The positive index is lower than 50, indicating that the business situation is not optimistic; The smaller the number, the more pessimistic.

The reverse index includes merchant cost index and inventory index. When the cost index exceeds 50, it indicates that the merchant's cost pressure decreases. The larger the value, the smaller the cost pressure; The cost index is lower than 50, indicating that the merchant's cost pressure increases. The smaller the value, the greater the cost pressure. When the inventory index exceeds 50, it indicates that the merchant's inventory pressure decreases. The larger the value, the smaller the inventory pressure; The inventory index is lower than 50, indicating that the merchant's inventory pressure increases. The smaller the value, the greater the inventory pressure.