Industrial Cluster: Investigation On Cotton Growth In Production Base

The estimated output of cotton in China is 6.04 million tons -- Investigation on the growth and output of cotton in China (August 2024)

In August 2024, China cotton (14690, - 40.00, -0.27%) cotton farmers' branch of the Association conducted a survey on cotton growth and the second estimated yield of 1989 designated farmers in 10 provinces and cities and Xinjiang Autonomous Region. The survey results show that the national cotton planting area will be 40.755 million mu in 2024, down 2.4% year on year; The total output is expected to be about 6036000 tons , a year-on-year increase of 2.7%, down 16000 tons from the previous period. Due to low temperature and little rain in Xinjiang in August, cotton growth was slightly affected, and the yield was slightly lower than the previous period, but still higher than last year. Due to drought in the early stage and heavy rainfall in the later stage, cotton growth in the mainland was weaker than last year, and the yield declined year on year, basically equal to the previous survey.

As of August 31, most of the cotton in the country was in the period of boll cracking and boll opening. 55.7% of the surveyed households reported that the overall situation of cotton seedlings was good, 15.8 percentage points higher than the previous year. The occurrence of cotton diseases and insect pests in China is relatively light, with 82.5% of the areas with relatively light diseases, 6.9 percentage points higher than that of the previous year; The area with less insect damage was 67.1%, 12.2 percentage points lower than that of the previous year.

In August, most of the cotton in Xinjiang has split its bolls, and most of the northern Xinjiang and Aksu and Kashgar regions have opened their bolls. The cotton in Turpan is in the peak period of opening bolls. Due to the low temperature, less precipitation and sandstorm weather in late August, the cotton's growth in some regions during the period of opening bolls has declined compared with that in July. The total cotton output in Xinjiang is expected to be about 5.705 million tons, up 3.5% year on year, accounting for 94.5% of the total national output, down 15000 tons from the previous period. As of August 31, 58.6% of survey households in Xinjiang believed that the cotton seedling situation was good, 37.4 percentage points higher than that of last year; The cotton fields with mild diseases accounted for 84.3%, 8.9 percentage points higher than that of the previous year; The cotton fields with less insect damage accounted for 68.5%, 12.6 percentage points lower than that of the previous year. It is estimated that in September, the average temperature in most parts of Xinjiang is slightly higher than that in the whole year. Most parts of northern and southern Xinjiang have more precipitation, while the rest have less precipitation. The meteorological conditions are basically favorable for cotton boll cracking and boll opening and picking in most areas. All cotton areas should pay attention to the weather in time and spray defoliant at the right time.

Gansu cotton region has a suitable climate, and cotton is in the period of boll cracking and boll opening. The cotton output is expected to be 45000 tons, up 6.3% year on year, the same as the previous period. More than half of the surveyed households believe that cotton is growing well, and about 60% of them have the same diseases and pests as last year.

In the Yangtze River basin, Jiangxi, Hubei and Hunan provinces suffer from severe drought. Jiangsu and Anhui provinces suffer from drought in the early stage and heavy rainfall in the later stage. Affected by climate, most survey households in this basin report poor growth of seedlings. The total output is expected to be about 107000 tons, down 19.1% year on year, the same as the previous period. As of August 31, only 16.4% of the surveyed households reported good seedling conditions, 50.8 percentage points lower than last year, and more than 60% of the surveyed households reported poor seedling conditions. The occurrence of diseases and insect pests was relatively light, and the cotton fields with relatively light diseases accounted for 61.9%, 25.6 percentage points lower than that of the previous year; The cotton fields with less insect damage accounted for 40.4%, 37.1 percentage points lower than the previous year.

In the cotton area of the Yellow River basin, except for Henan, where the climate is continuously dry, other provinces have a wide range of strong rainfall and strong wind weather in a month, resulting in cotton lodging, peach falling off, and few peaches covering the top. Due to the severe drought in July, the cotton is precocious and senescent, and the bolls are opened earlier, about 10% of the cotton has been picked. The estimated cotton output in this basin is about 178000 tons, down 5% year on year, down 10000 tons from the previous period. As of August 31, 38.2% of the surveyed households reported good seedling conditions, 13.7 percentage points lower than that of last year. The occurrence of diseases and insect pests was relatively light, and the cotton fields with relatively light diseases accounted for 76.5%, 6.4 percentage points higher than that of the previous year; The cotton fields with less insect damage accounted for 68.8%, 15.6 percentage points higher than the same period last year. The main insect damage was whitefly.