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Textile And Garment Industry: A More Difficult Year In The History Of Development

2008/4/30 14:08:00 24

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Textile And Garment Industry: A Rather Difficult Year In The History Of Development.

At present, there are 78 listed companies in the textile and garment industry (excluding textile machinery) in the two cities of Shenzhen and Shanghai. Under the heavy pressure of the industry, the listed companies in the textile and garment industry in 2007 can still get a good growth in the apparent data. We believe that the main reason comes from the sustained growth of the number of enterprises in the industry, the contribution of investment income brought by diversified investments, the ability to pfer the international competitiveness of the industry for a long time, the profit growth brought by the revival of the viscose led chemical industry, the continuous improvement of the enterprise's management capabilities and the level of technology and equipment in the industry.

Looking forward to 2008, we think it is a more difficult year in the history of the development of the industry. The accumulation of various negative factors (RMB appreciation, all kinds of costs and expenses, the decline of the US economy, structural overcapacity, interest rate rise, etc.) will gradually release the pressure on the operation of the enterprises, and the chemical fiber industry will also face a certain downturn in terms of capacity expansion and other factors.

The joint role of internal and external pressure in 2008 will force the industry to slow down the pace of growth, reflect on the extensive nature under the cover of high speed growth in the early period, and promote the pformation and upgrading of the industry through technological innovation, brand and channel construction, and ultimately improve the overall development environment of the industry and improve the competitiveness of the industry.

From 2008, the industry will enter a steady growth stage from the early stage of rapid growth, and the internal reshuffle will accelerate. We initially predict that the growth of industry revenue, gross profit and export volume will drop to 15%, 12% and 15% respectively in 2008.

At present, the industry maintains a "neutral" rating.

Based on the background of industry growth and pformation, we suggest that we choose two types of enterprises from bottom to top in 2008, and (1) brand retail companies based on domestic demand, such as seven wolves, good news birds, YOUNGOR, Baozi, BELLE, Anta and so on.

(2) the leading industry in the fine molecular industry (garment accessories and home textile industry) has certain relative monopoly advantages and is growing on a relatively small scale.

Such as Weixing shares, Rebecca and so on.

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