Market Price Forecast Track Of Fur Fur Fox, Raccoon And Mink In 08 Years (Two)

Four, the necessary and sufficient conditions for the "inflection point" of the fur market.

Many friends of the fur industry have consulted the author about the price trend of fur in 2008.

It is difficult for the author to give a clear and sufficient answer.

Because the fur market is a complex, fresh, changeable, dynamic, and constantly changing system, it is not easy for people to have an absolutely clear and definite frame for a particular period of the market.

Only by analyzing the historical changes in the fur market can we draw the trend of its development and change.

Mimicking the term of stock market is called "inflection point" to discover the abrupt change of price.

At present, it has entered the second year of the sharp fall in fur prices, and it was third years in 2008 to -2009.

We are more optimistic that the inflection point of fur market will begin after new year's day in 2009.

But this "inflection point" is the first to appear on which species (Fox, raccoon and marten), which is not yet well established.

Or even more prudent projections, should it be in 2010 after new year's day?

In short, the fur market has entered a low price period. The rebound in prices is only a matter of time. This is not only the hope of the aquaculture industry, but also the inevitability of the market.

What are the necessary and sufficient conditions for the inflection point of the fur market?

I think the first condition is time.

This is self-evident.

The fur market must take the price of time to exchange room for price rise.

The second sufficient condition is that the reasonable adjustment of aquaculture structure is in place.

I do not know what the industry colleagues think about this latter condition.

The author thinks so: this time, the overall decline of the fur market price, besides the social, domestic and international, climatic factors, there must be some deep reasons inside the aquaculture circles.

I think there are some factors here:

1, breed breed is single, structure is identical, every field every household has thousands of people.

2, the aquaculture industry is not guided by the market. It is blind and optimistic in the market climax. It does not think about risks.

3, variety improvement and quality do not have the advantage of quality and efficiency.

High quality skins and good breeds of animals do not reflect their proper value and price.

4, new excellent varieties and excellent varieties have not been fully promoted and developed, and tomorrow will be the leading sheep of the industry.

Five, at this stage, it is the preparation period for the next prosperous period of fur market.

Everything will last long, but it will last long.

The fur market will not last for a long time at a price.

The lowdown of the fur market may be the necessary adjustment for the coming of the next boom.

From this level, our colleagues in the aquaculture industry should make full use of the current period to make a comprehensive reflection on the raising, management, production and technology of our aquaculture, find out the problems and symptoms of the industry, find out the ways to solve the problems, and find out the direction and way out for the industry.

Six, from the fierce price fluctuations in the fur market, we should learn from the experience gained by the aquaculture industry.

Since 2007, the fierce price fluctuations in the fur market reflect the fragile position of aquaculture in the fur market, as well as the chaotic management of the aquaculture industry and the disorderly competition in the industry.

When the fur market is in a strong position, the industry is fighting for a single timber bridge, and whether the market is able to bear it or not. When the fur market is in a weak position, the industry will go off in a hubbub and let go of the animals and animals.

How can the industry without self-discipline be sustained, healthy and orderly?

This is also one of the internal causes of price fluctuations in the fur market.

Seven, although the "risk" is in demand, the fur market with a relatively stable price is beneficial to the aquaculture industry.

We hope to be effective. We pray for the long and steady development of the fur industry. This is our wish.

But good intentions need our efforts to achieve them.

Healthy, stable and prosperous fur market is what our aquaculture industry hopes.

But such a market will not happen automatically.

Aquaculture as the source of fur industry, its industry self-discipline has an important impact on the development of the market.

On the contrary, the degree of price fluctuation in fur market has played a great role in promoting or stabilizing the aquaculture industry.

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