In The Peak Season, The Stock Market Is Not As Good As Before.
This year's shoe sole raw liquid market is not as good as before. This year, large enterprises in Wenzhou have maintained a relatively good operating rate, and other enterprises have started to operate at about 5-6 percent.
The reasons for the PU crude oil industry this year are not affected by the upstream raw material market and downstream demand.
1. Brief introduction of raw materials for sole raw materials:
Since March, the price of raw materials in the upstream has been declining. The price of shoe sole fluid will be reduced by 800 yuan / ton after the year, and the price of the raw liquid will probably be lowered due to the continuous decline of upstream raw material prices.
AA: in January, a huge import volume of 27 thousand tons, coupled with the year-end inventory of AA, and the official sales of this year's Bo Hui products, there is a huge market surplus. The demand for sole raw liquid and slurry has not increased year by year, and the market price has been more and more volatile. Even if the price of the external market is rising, there is no support for the RMB market. Traders have suffered a great loss pressure.
Pure MDI: this year, the domestic pure MDI market continued the downturn last year. In the case of lower downstream demand and less procurement, the supply price of Wanhua, a major supplier in China, fell and fell by 1200 yuan / ton in a single month.
Moreover, the supply volume of domestic and imported goods has increased substantially this year, and the competition for market share has become increasingly fierce. It is estimated that the situation of oversupply in 2008 will be formed.
BDO: the atmosphere of BDO market was good before many years ago.
But the market trend was unexpected. It only recovered after a few days after the Spring Festival. After that, the price dropped more than 1000 yuan per ton.
Two. Overview of downstream enterprises
In recent years, domestic shoemaking enterprises have been in a low profit state.
First, the domestic labor cost is low. At the same time, most of the shoemaking enterprises in the industry belong to the type of processing trade, and do not have their own brands.
With the EU's anti-dumping, the gradual increase in domestic labor costs and the appreciation of the renminbi and other internal and external economic and political disadvantages, the domestic shoe industry is hard to shoulder.
This year, according to statistics, there are about five thousand or six thousand shoe factories in Guangdong. There are more than 1000 large and medium sized enterprises in Guangdong. For example, in Huidong, there are more than 3000 shoe factories. In two or three months, the small and medium-sized factories have closed four hundred or five hundred.
In the Shandong area, foreign-funded enterprises have been closed down. At present, 103 Korean enterprises have been evacuated from Shandong without any reason.
The decrease of profits makes the shoe company unable to survive.
Therefore, the future downstream shoe companies can only create their own brand before going to the market.
Review of domestic raw water market in three and 2007
January approaching Spring Festival, prices stabilized at 20000-20300 yuan / ton.
In March, the shoe sole liquid production enterprises entered the peak season, and the market demand increased. In the middle of the market, the price of domestic shoe soles rose and the price rose by 1000 yuan / ton.
At the end of March, Wanhua pure MDI came out in April, and the sole liquid was raised at a price of 1000 yuan.
At the beginning of April, the sizes of the sole raw liquor increased slightly, and the price of the crude liquor remained stable at 22000-22300 yuan / ton.
In July, the market of domestic shoe soles rose first and then stabilized.
At the beginning of the month, the price of the upstream main raw material AA declined, the price of the sole raw liquor dropped 1000 yuan / ton, and the price of the sole sole liquid was 21000-21300 yuan / ton.
In August, there was little change in the production of shoe sole raw liquid. In the middle of the year, the price of the raw material was greatly reduced by the price of pure MDI, and the price was raised by 1000 yuan / ton.
In September, the production of sole soles remained stable and the market was stable.
In November, the original price of shoe sole was adjusted at the beginning of the month, and the market remained stable.
The price of common crude liquor is about 22000 yuan / ton.
After adjusting the price once a month in December, the market remained stable.
The price of common crude liquor is about 22000 yuan / ton.
The price of sole raw liquor is at 3, 4 and May at the high end because of the rising of raw materials.
This year is very unusual, not only did not rise, but glide.
The continued decline of raw materials has led to the present situation.
The shoe market in 2008 is very bad. What will happen in the future? We can't predict it.
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