Analysis Of Special Breeding Hotspots In 2008
In 2007, the special aquaculture industry left a lot of deep memories to the vast number of practitioners. Once the fur animals were changed to bull markets in previous years, prices continued to fall, farmers were miserable, and the prices of Rex rabbit skins and rabbit hairs also declined. Only the prices of meat rabbits kept rising steadily. A group of new special forces represented by special wild pigs, pigeons, Tenebrio molitor and colored fur animals emerged. While expecting new hope, more people were holding a puzzled attitude. Rare birds and other rare varieties gradually fade out of people's sight.
In 2008, the new round of major adjustment of the special breeding industry is inevitable. This is the need for the development of the industry, and also a symbol of the maturity of the industry. We look forward to the rebirth of the special aquaculture industry.
Inflection point:
Let's take a brief look at the fur market in recent two years. In 2006, it was the "golden autumn" of fur animal breeding in China. With full confidence, the curtain widens gradually. Under the leadership of the raccoon and mink, the whole fur animal population rapidly increases, and the explosive growth of the stock volume has laid the foreshadowing for the supply of late fur. In 2007, fur market prices continued to fall. Raccoon skin 160 yuan / Zhang, blue fox fur 250 yuan / Zhang, high-quality female mink skin 80 yuan / Zhang, the average price level has fallen close to the cost of raising costs. Farmers are complaining, and production is reduced.
What kind of market will the fur market deduce in 2008? Some experts pointed out that the 2007 fur animal breeding profits will lead to a large number of breeding enterprises lose confidence, production reduction is positive, the market outlook is worth looking forward to. But will 1997 ~2000 rise rapidly in the blue fox market after a sharp fall? The author believes that the decline in prices will inevitably lead to a decline in the number of livestock, which will go through a buffer time. The stock will gradually stabilize, the price recovery will rise, and the benefits will reach a more rational space. This is the basic trend of fur breeding in the next few years. It is worth noting that before and after the inflection point is exactly the period of testing the comprehensive quality of the aquaculture industry. From the perspective of future market demand, the demand for fur animal skins is increasing. First, the normal mentality, not blindly optimistic at high tide, studying the market, rationally arranging their own production; second, variety improvement, by improving the quality of fur animal species, forming the proper quality and benefit advantages; third, diversifying the varieties of feed, the east does not brighten the Western light; fourth, scientific feeding and management, when the market is bad, we do not rely on reducing input products to save money.
The fur animal market will not last for a long time at a price. The market downturn may be necessary for the next boom. What we should do now is to conduct a comprehensive reflection on the current breeding situation, including raising, management, production, technology, market, cooperation and so on, finding out the problems and sticking points of the industry, finding out the ways to solve the problems, and finding out the direction and outlet of the industry. Healthy and stable fur market is our common expectation.
perfect
Compared with other special breeding projects, the rabbit product market remained stable in 2007. Although the price of Rex rabbit skin and rabbit hair had declined, the meat rabbit market remained strong for a long time.
Since 2001, the price of meat rabbit has continued to rise, which is 5.65 yuan per kilogram in 2001, 6.11 yuan per kilogram in 2002, 7.25 yuan per kilogram in 2003, 8.40 yuan per kilogram in 2004, 8.54 yuan per kilogram in 2005, 8.75 yuan per kilogram, 10.05 yuan per kilogram. Judging from the price trend, rabbit meat has gradually been recognized by the consumer market, especially in Sichuan, Guangdong, Fujian and other places. 2008 is the Olympic year. I believe that the recognition of rabbit meat will be further improved, and the price of meat rabbit will steadily increase.
In 2007, the price of a grade Rex Rabbit once dropped to 35 yuan / Zhang. One of the reasons is that the environment of the whole fur market has been affected. Due to the sharp fall in the price of mink and raccoon skins, the consumption of the rex rabbit skin has been weakened and the consumption has been reduced. On the other hand, because of the high price of the rex rabbit skin in the previous two years, many farmers who originally raised rabbits and rabbits turned to Rex rabbits, which caused a continuous increase in the number of Rex rabbits. This is also a cause of price declines. At present, the phenomenon of using cheap rabbit meat instead of Rex rabbit skin is quite a lot.
In 2007, the price of rabbit hair was sluggish, and the price of knife cut was 100 yuan / kg, compared with the average price of 120 yuan per kilogram in 2006. The decrease in rabbit hair prices was mainly due to the reduction in exports. In the first half of 2007, China exported only 1262 tons of rabbit hair, the export price was 17.32 US dollars / kg, and the foreign exchange earning was US $21 million 854 thousand, compared with the same period in 2006, it decreased by 11.8%, 7.867% and 18.8% respectively. Long haired rabbit
Farming is now mainly concentrated in some mountainous rural areas. The characteristics of regional production are quite obvious. But in recent years, migrant workers have increased, and the price of feed grain has increased greatly. It is the first step to make this industry return to life and solve the problem of consumption. Over the years, the three major technical problems of shrinkage, hair dropping and pilling of rabbit hair products are difficult to fundamentally solve, which is the most direct reason for the suppression of rabbit hair prices. Continuous improvement of rabbit hair textile technology and the continuous development of new rabbit hair products can make hair rabbit industry develop effectively.
The basic stability of "three rabbits" has provided a good opportunity for the later industrial upgrading. Rabbits are different from other fur animals. Their breeding cycle is fast, and their production rate is high. If the bubble of high price is formed, farmers will swallow more bitter water. Therefore, it is necessary to solve the way out of products and improve the management mechanism. The beautifully designed Rex rabbit skin clothing, developing rabbit meat products that are more suitable for consumption characteristics, and improving the processing technology of rabbit hair are the only way for the rabbit industry to mature.
New trend
In the cold market of fur animals, the risk of too many diseases and death is too great for many rabbits. Many farmers have developed a number of other breeding projects. Although they are successful, they have accumulated valuable experience for us as explorers.
Some breeds of colored mink, color Fox and colored rabbit have been popular in recent two years. The price of color fox has remained high for the past two years. At the highest time, the price of colored fox sold at a certain farm reached more than 6000 yuan. At the Danish auction in 2007, the price of the colored mink rose suddenly, and the price was quite outstanding. But the color Rex rabbit skin was also less expensive than the white rabbit skin on the market, which increased the mystery of many practitioners. On the way of development of these "colorful varieties", speculation is definitely a "abscess" that must first be removed. The market is full of hope, but it is even more cruel. That is to say, if we see "new, strange and special" coming together, we will not be far from the collapse of the market.
Meat pigeon is a combination of food and medicine, which is tender, delicious and nutritious, and has developed rapidly for obvious consumption advantages. Since 2006, the meat pigeon market has shown both production and marketing, the sales volume has increased and the price has risen. In the pigeon market of 50 big cities such as Beijing, Tianjin, Shanghai and Guangzhou, the retail price of 400 yuan or more per quality rose from 14 yuan to 18 yuan, and the meat pigeon with a live weight of 600 grams or more rose from 16 yuan to 20 yuan. On the other hand, meat pigeons are easy to maintain, with short production cycle, less investment and quick results. Many farmers regard it as a new way of getting rich. But so far, there are not many pigeons farms in China. The future development of the industry needs to be further explored.
Healthy and green is the trend of consumption in the future. Special wild boars adapt to this trend and develop rapidly. Following the success of some provinces in the south, many domestic areas have made money by raising wild boars, and many people want to do something in this line. The author believes that the special wild boar industry is showing a certain development prospect, but it still has a long way to go. First of all, the instability of the consumer market, most people choose to buy wild boar meat with the attitude of tasting, unlike pork, chicken and other large livestock products, and the high price is also the elbow that they walk onto the table of ordinary people. Secondly, the technical support of wild boars is not mature, and feed and disease prevention and control technology is basically based on the pformation of domestic pigs. The selling point of the special wild boar is a "special" word. The huge profits brought about by the large-scale promotion, even the loss of the market value and the huge profits that farmers expect is a pair of contradictions.
Other rare poultry species such as pheasant, partridge, Turkey, ostrich and so on have been proved to be suitable for consumption in some places after years of development. Scorpion, ant, Tenebrio molitor and some other medicinal animals have been embellished by special breeding industry because of insufficient product development or unskilled technology. Although some items such as meat dogs and deer have many years of development history, they are showing more regional development. After more than 20 years of rain and wind, the special aquaculture industry has been more and more rational and tending to be stable after many times of market baptism. It has formed a pattern dominated by fur animals and rabbits. There are also some new projects that have brought more risks to this immature industry. It is the old saying that self-discipline and supervision are most important to the special aquaculture industry.
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