Cotton Production Area Is Expected To Decrease In October 09.
Today, the international cotton advisory committee reports that in the 2009-10 year, the world cotton planting area is expected to be reduced by 3% to 30 million 100 thousand hectares because of the decline in cotton returns, the more attractive price of competing crops, and the difficulty in obtaining loans for production costs, resulting in a three year decline in planting stock.
In the 2009-10 year, world cotton production is expected to decrease by 1% to 23 million 500 thousand tons, lower than the current 2008-09 output of 23 million 700 thousand tons.
Cotton consumption in the world cotton mill has hardly changed in the past 2009-10 years, compared to 23 million 900 thousand tons, compared to 23 million 800 thousand tons in 2008-09.
In the 2009-10 year, world cotton exports were expected to be 7 million 500 thousand tons, compared with 6 million 300 thousand tons last year, and the amount of cotton used in China's textile mills will rise slightly. In the 2009-10 year, world cotton stocks will be reduced by 3% to 11 million 900 thousand tons, compared with 12 million 300 thousand tons last year.
The ICAC 2007 price model predicts that the annual average price of Cotlook A index in 2008 to 09 years will be 56-65 cents per pound, down 72.90 from last year's rate, or 18%. The ICAC Secretariat reported that since September 2008, the average Cotlook A index in 2008-09 has been decreasing month by month due to the deterioration of cotton consumption.
The Cotlook A index is a barometer of world cotton prices. The adjusted world cotton price released by the US Department of agriculture will serve as a reference for the A index. The adjusted world cotton price will determine the amount of cotton loans the US Department of agriculture has.
Editor in chief: Xu Qiyun
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