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    Demand Reduction Polyester Chip Market Difficult To Really Warm Up

    2009/3/30 0:00:00 24

    Last week, PET chip prices rose at a range of 150 yuan / ton. By the end of last week, the mainstream price of the semi gloss PET chip market was 7000-7100 yuan / ton (cash or acceptance), the mainstream paction price was near 6950-7000 yuan / ton (cash or acceptance), the mainstream price of the polyester chip market was 7100-7200 yuan / ton (cash or acceptance), and the mainstream paction price was 7100 yuan / ton (cash or acceptance).

    In terms of sales, while the price of polyester chips is higher, the purchase of downstream products has not been followed up, because there has been a certain amount of polyester chip reserve in the early stage, and the rate of start-up has not risen recently, so the market for polyester in the lower reaches is also mostly waiting.


       

    The main reason for the rise of PET chips is that the upstream raw materials are strong.

    Recently, the international oil market has been stimulated by the US government's plan to clean up the bank's bad assets plan, the sales volume of the old houses and the stock market. Investors are optimistic about the US economic recovery and the US dollar plummeting.

    Last Tuesday, international oil prices hit $54 a barrel, and oil prices in New York and London hit a four month high.

    On that day, oil prices in New York once touched $54.20.

    At the close, the New York Mercantile Exchange's May light crude oil futures rose 18 cents to $53.98 a barrel.

    Beihai International Petroleum Exchange's May delivery of Brent crude oil futures rose 3 cents to $53.50 a barrel.

    Driven by the rise in upstream crude oil prices, downstream related products have also followed up, such as PX prices continued to rise last week, to last weekend CFR Taiwan / China spot price in 925 U.S. dollars / ton, FOB Korea spot price in 905 U.S. dollars / ton, than the previous week price rose 40 U.S. dollars / ton.

    Last week, the PTA market was stable and strong with the change of PX market. By the end of last week, the average cash price and price of the domestic East China market were 6500 yuan / ton and 6400 yuan / ton respectively. The price is still slightly higher than the previous week's price. The general price and the closing price of the offshore market are 770 dollars / ton and 760 US dollars / ton respectively, which is also higher than 10 dollars a week ago.

    The price of MEG for another polyester raw material has remained stable. By the end of last week, the general price of cash in the East China market and the selling price were 3800 yuan / ton and 3700 yuan / ton respectively, and the general quotation and paction price of the offshore market were 465 dollars / ton and 450-460 U.S. dollars / ton respectively, basically the same price as the previous week.

    However, we carefully analyze the polyester chip market, it is not difficult to see that it lacks a main support, that is, the support of downstream demand, based on this factor, I think polyester chip is not sustainable, the market is difficult to really warm up.


       

    First of all, from the recently released textile data, in February, China exported textiles and clothing to US $6 billion 675 million, a decrease of US $8 billion 556 million over January, a decrease of 56.17% compared to January, a decrease of 3 billion 625 million US dollars compared with the same period last year, a decrease of 35.19% over the same period last year.

    Among them, textiles (textiles, yarns, fabrics and products) exported to US $2 billion 563 million in February, down 45.75% from the same month, down 32.29% from the same period last year. The export volume of clothing commodities (clothing and accessories) was 4 billion 112 million US dollars in February, down 60.86%, down 36.55% from the same period last year.

    The above data show that the export situation of textile and garment industry will become more and more serious. The export situation of textile and garment is not optimistic in the coming months.

    From this, it is certain that terminal demand will not be better in the short term.


       

    Secondly, the polyester market is not optimistic.

    Although the polyester and polyester prices rose last week, for example, the market price of FDY50/72 rose to 11800 yuan / ton last week, and the market price of POY75/72, POY150/144 and 150/288 rose to 8900, 8300, 8800 yuan / ton. The price of DTY75/72 light, 150/144 light and 150/288 light network increased to 12600, 11400, 11400 yuan / ton.

    From the sales point of view, the purchase of downstream weaving enterprises is not positive, even if the polyester plant increases the market price, but it can not stimulate the interest of downstream purchase. In a market insider's words, "I do not have an order on hand now, and the price of raw materials does not rise and I have nothing to do with it."

    Moreover, compared with direct spinning, the silk price of sliced spinning enterprises does not have their own advantages, which will affect the procurement of polyester chips to some extent.

    Editor in chief: Xu Qiyun

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