Cotton Grows Fast &Nbsp; Some Cotton Plants Bloom.

It is understood that since late June,

At present, cotton grows rapidly and grows well in Dezhou. The average plant height is about 75 cm, the highest is 80 cm above, and the average fruit branch is 5-8.

Generally, there were 6-9 buds per plant, and some cotton plants were blooming, and no bud buds and dead buds were found.

Because of the long cold weather last winter, cotton diseases and insect pests were lighter. Aphids were mainly found before and after harvest.

It is understood that although cotton prices hit a record high in 2009, the cotton farmers' enthusiasm for planting cotton has declined since cotton yields are lower than grain crops and far less than other kinds of economic crops such as chili peppers. The cotton planting area in Dezhou has increased by more than 10% this year, down from 2 million mu to ten years, the lowest in ten years.

Supplement:

Starting from the 2009 National Day, especially after this may day, cotton prices are rising like a runaway wild horse.

At the beginning of June, the grade three pickup price reached 17600 yuan / ton, 17% higher than that before the Spring Festival, up 34% from last September.

Such a high cotton price has brought great pressure to downstream textile and garment industries.

What has happened to cotton prices?

Affected by the low cotton prices in 2008, the high price of agricultural materials, and the decrease in the comparative efficiency of cotton planting, the total output of cotton in 2009 decreased by about 10% compared with that in 2008, the largest decline in cotton production since 2000.

As one of the key cotton producing areas in China, the cotton planting area in Dezhou, Shandong province is 2 million 300 thousand mu, 19% lower than that in 2008, and the total output of cotton is reduced by 37%.

Last September, when the new cotton market came into operation, the purchase price of seed cotton rose all the way, rising from 6 yuan / kg in early September to 7.30 yuan / kg at the end of December, a 60% rise over the same period in 2008, exceeding the historical high price of 7.20 yuan / kg in 2003.

After the Spring Festival this year, especially after May 1, cotton prices continued to rise sharply.

Seed cotton purchase price reached 8.30 yuan / kg, a new high.

At the end of May and the beginning of June, the price of standard grade lint was the same as the highest price in 2004, reaching 17600 yuan / ton. After less than one month, it rose 1300 yuan / ton, 34% higher than last September.

The main reasons for the rise in cotton prices are: first, affected by climate and other factors, domestic cotton production is reduced in 2009, and the gap between production and demand is large.

The low amount of social resources has caused the high price of cotton.

Two, since the national day last year, the domestic textile industry has gradually recovered, especially after the Spring Festival. Cotton prices have risen rapidly, the demand for cotton for textile enterprises has increased, and domestic cotton supply and demand gap has expanded.

Three, Xinjiang is suffering from rain, snow and frost in the early cotton producing areas.

Four is the recent domestic and foreign cotton futures prices continue to rise.

Five, the international spot cotton prices continue to rise.

India announced the suspension of export of cotton products since April 19th. The news has triggered a surge in global cotton prices.

Six, it is not possible to exclude the possibility of social hot money entering cotton market.

The era of high cotton prices has arrived.

At present, such a high cotton price is temporary or will be maintained for a long time? Industry experts believe that China's low cotton price era is coming to an end, and cotton prices will remain at a high price for a long time.

First, in recent years, the comparative income of cotton seed has been reduced, and farmers' enthusiasm for planting cotton has declined.

As cotton prices fell sharply in 2008, domestic cotton planting area decreased in 2009, total cotton production decreased and cotton prices rose rapidly.

According to the Dezhou Cotton Association survey, although cotton prices in 2009 hit a record high, compared with grain and pepper, the yield of cotton is not high.

It is estimated that cotton seeds yield less than 289 yuan per mu and less than 3150 yuan per mu.

Second, the rate of mechanization of seed cotton is low and government subsidies are few.

It is understood that in recent years, the degree of mechanization of grain growing is increasing, labor intensity is reduced and employment is reduced.

There are good seed subsidies, grain subsidies and comprehensive subsidies for agricultural products. Shandong province has a total subsidy of 82 yuan per mu, and seed cotton has only 15 yuan seed subsidy per mu, and there is no comprehensive subsidy for seed cotton subsidies and agricultural subsidies.

Third,

With the revival of the textile industry in October last year, the amount of textile cotton increased only 2010 in the whole country.

According to the analysis and prediction, the purchase price of new cotton in September 2010 should not be less than 7 yuan / kg.

If less than 7 yuan, cotton planting area will also decline in 2011.

The cotton price is low, the area of cotton planting has decreased, the area has decreased and the cotton price has been pushed up.

Accordingly, cotton prices will be running high in the next few years.

Spinning enterprises to adjust the structure is imminent

Although the pressure of rising cotton prices can be pferred to the downstream textile and garment industries, it has also reduced the profit margins of textile enterprises to varying degrees.

With the advent of the high cotton price era, the future of textile enterprises is not easy.

Industry experts believe that the textile industry should promote "eliminating backward, reducing and upgrading".

One is to develop high and multiple components, increase the amount of non cotton fiber and eco-friendly fiber, and reduce the dependence on cotton.

In recent years, Dezhou Huayuan technology, Dezhou Hengfeng textile, Lingxian County Baoding textile and other enterprises have increased the application and product development of new fibers such as Tencel, modal, milk fiber, bamboo fiber, corn fiber and cashmere, silk and other animal fibers. The proportion of non cotton fiber consumption has gradually increased, and the benefits are considerable.

Among them: Huayuan technology accounted for 72%, Hengfeng textile accounted for 49%, Baoding textile accounted for 65%.

Two, we should introduce advanced technology, eliminate backward equipment, and raise the level of science and technology and independent innovation capability of enterprises.

The three is to extend the industrial chain and form a complete industrial chain of spinning, weaving, printing and dyeing, clothing processing and so on, to make the textile industry bigger and stronger and enhance the ability to fight against market risks.