Why Is Polyester Filament Popular In The Off-Season In July?
Originally, July is
Polyester filament
Sales in the off-season, but this year there is a slack season, in the polyester industry chain overall downturn, polyester filament is thriving, since the first half of 6, the price rises one by one, and the good momentum of production and sales may continue to August.
Of course, not all specifications of polyester can maintain an upward trend, such as FDY fine denier and coarse Dan sales situation runs counter to it, DTY is always in a stable state, polyester POY market performance is generally acceptable, and this week the initial trend of rebound, for these circumstances, we have done some research, draw the following conclusions.
First of all, according to the downstream
textile industry
It is said that the production and sale of fabrics is quite good this year, both domestic and export markets have increased.
Moreover, this year's opening of World Expo also stimulated the tourism industry in East China. Therefore, some of the fabrics used for tablecloths and curtains, such as velvet with polyester FDY50D and DTY75D as the main raw materials, were also greatly purchased by hotels, restaurants and so on.
In addition, according to the weaving factory in Wujiang, the start-up rate of the downstream is relatively high this year, and the new capacity is also rare. Therefore, the demand for polyester is also increasing year by year.
This year,
FDY fine denier
The sales situation is quite good. It has always been out of demand.
Because of the high price and no market status of FDY, not only the price is mentioned again, but a manufacturer in Wujiang has raised the price of 700 yuan / ton for some standard polyester in 2 days, most of the polyester manufacturers claim that the best sellers are sold to the old customers, ignoring the new customers, and many of the customers' lists have been placed in the second month.
On the contrary, the sale of FDY crude Dan is not satisfactory. Now it is in a state of weak consolidation. Most manufacturers have begun to cut prices or have preferential measures.
Why is there so much difference in the sales situation with FDY polyester? For this reason, we have interviewed some weaving factories downstream.
According to the survey, it is found that the starting rate of water jet looms and warp knitting machines is quite high this year, and the water looms are not able to stop for a long time due to technical reasons. Now the cloth market is in the "seven light" season, and the water jet looms usually choose regular polyester taffeta, so they are good for the sale of fine denier.
However, the overall operation rate of large circular machines used for FDY coarse denier production is generally lower than that of individual regions this year. The long-term parking of large circular machines has no effect on the equipment itself.
Therefore, the downstream demand for coarse denier is also weak.
In the production process of polyester, according to the manufacturer's claim, the production of coarse denier is higher than that of fine denier because of technology and production equipment, so the total output of fine denier is less and the supply is lower than that of coarse denier.
Therefore, from the point of view of supply and demand, the supply of FDY fine denier is much less than necessary, which determines the price increase and the market's popularity.
At the end of May, according to the request of the State Council on Further Strengthening the work to ensure the implementation of the "11th Five-Year energy saving and emission reduction targets" (National Development [2010] 12) and the national power peak rush summer television conference, Zhejiang province decided to implement the control of electricity consumption for high energy consumption and high emission enterprises during the summer rush hour.
During the summer peak period from the peak to the peak (July 1st -9 13), 15 days are divided into 5 periods.
Most of the larger scale polyester factories, such as Heng Yi, Rong Sheng, and so on, are all within the power limit list, which to a certain extent stimulated the sales of polyester in the past 2 months.
Due to the worry that the supply of polyester will be greatly reduced after entering the hot weather, many weaving factories begin to actively purchase in order to prevent the late delivery from affecting the production, which largely promotes the sale of polyester.
Moreover, in July 22nd, the Xiaoshan region held an emergency meeting on energy conservation and emission reduction. It was reported that the power limit date was from July 23rd to August 29th.
It is understood that most of the polymerization plants, such as Rongsheng, Heng Yi, Lian Da, etc., plan to stop slicing or spinning machine to meet the power limit requirements, but the specific parking plan is still under discussion.
However, the downstream weaving factories have not received any notification or no parking plan for the time being. If so, the reduction of the supply of polyester factories may lead to another round of raising price of polyester filament. If the downstream weaving is also stopping the emission reduction, this may be a bad factor, and the price of polyester can be reduced.
All in all, the sale of polyester in July is a matter of fact, not groundless.
It is mainly due to the growth of downstream production and marketing to promote the sales of polyester, while the supply of FDY fine denier itself is small and the downstream demand is too large to drive up the price of the polyester industry.
Of course, the electricity restriction issued by Zhejiang province also promoted the positive replenishment of downstream weaving factories to a certain extent.
At present, the overall inventory of FDY fine denier yarn is relatively small, and some manufacturers have basically no inventory.
And whether the sale of polyester can last until August as a whole will be influenced by various factors and changes in the comprehensive market, especially the specific implementation plan of the Zhejiang provincial electricity restriction order.
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