Cotton Goes Crazy To The Northern Hemisphere.
Besides the burning of the northern hemisphere, the prices of many kinds of agricultural products are also soaring. Compared with agricultural products such as wheat, whose prices are soaring, the cotton that is not so impressive is not to show weakness.
Last week, international cotton prices rose to a new high in two years.
paction
(ICE) cotton prices jumped 3.2% in October to 86.90 cents per pound, a record high since March 2008, reaching its highest level in 15 years.
Although most of the fourth largest cotton producing countries and second largest importers in the world suffered floods in Pakistan this summer, the cotton harvest has been affected, but the craziness of cotton prices is not just due to abnormal weather.
Theoretically, the market price of commodities will be determined by its supply-demand relationship.
From this point of view, in the year 2009-2010, cotton consumption in the world exceeded the output by 15 percentage points, resulting in a sharp decrease in international cotton stocks.
Cotton price
Crazy rise.
The US Department of agriculture predicts that this year's cotton inventory will only be about 40% of the annual demand, the lowest level in 15 years.
Some analysts attribute this change in supply and demand to China's strong demand.
Cotton has become so tight, of course, from its strong demand for consumer terminals. This demand is most probably from the textile and garment industry.
However, as a "world factory", the demand for China's textile industry has increased to a certain extent, showing the recovery of external demand.
Like copper, as a barometer of the global economy, cotton demand is also in line with the world economic recovery.
At the same time, as the world's largest cotton
Exporting country
The enthusiasm of American cotton growers is probably affecting cotton prices.
Because the price of soybeans is much higher than that of cotton and is easier to grow, many American farmers seek to maximize profits and abandon cotton seeds, which will affect production.
Of course, cotton price crazy behind the scenes pushing hands, less speculative speculators.
"Shortage" and "rising" are often the targets of speculative capital.
The cotton futures price has risen from the low to the present, and the long capital has played an indispensable role.
In April, India launched a policy of banning cotton exports, which triggered a wave of speculation.
Although the gap between supply and demand of cotton is still large in the short term, there is room for cooling this hot cotton price.
The planting area in the United States has increased by 20% this year. Favorable weather conditions may also create the biggest increase in single production in 73 years. New cotton production in India and Australia is expected to increase. In addition, India may cancel the ban on printing and export from October 1st.
But who knows, in this year of "garlic you ruthless" and "beans you play", as long as there are crazy desires and out of control funds, I am afraid that it is possible to create the next crazy price.
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