The RMB Exchange Rate Has Risen &Nbsp, And The Pressure Of Shoe Export Has Increased.

In the market think

Yesterday, the latest data from the China foreign exchange trading center showed that in September 21st, the central parity of RMB against the US dollar rose 6.7, to 6.6997, up 113 basis points from the previous trading day and rewriting the new record since the eighth consecutive trading day.

According to the reporter, since September, the appreciation rate of RMB against the US dollar has risen to 1.6%, which is lower than that of the US dollar.

8 new high ups and 6.79 months

Since September 10th, the appreciation of the RMB against the US dollar has been going all the way, and at a rate of over 100 per cent per day, it has set a new record in the 5 exchange rate reforms. On the two trading days last Friday and Monday this year, the RMB has also set a new high against the US dollar, but the intermediate price of the exchange rate has risen by only 9 and 72 basis points on the two day, to 1 yuan to 6.7110 yuan.

Just as the market thought that the appreciation of the renminbi slowed down, and may return to the tune, yesterday, the central parity of the RMB against the US dollar climbed 113 points, broke through the 6.7 pass in one fell swoop, and reported 1 yuan to 6.6997 yuan. In the eighth consecutive trading day, it hit a new high since 2005, and the 8 accumulated RMB appreciation rose by 820 basis points. Since September, the RMB has risen from 6.8105 to 6.6997 against the US dollar and has appreciated by 1.6%.

For the reasons for the sudden appreciation, Tan Yaling, Dean of the China Foreign Exchange Investment Research Institute, believes that the main reason is still affected by the depreciation of the US dollar. The early Yuan has once dropped to 6.8, and the rise of 6.7 is only a correction to the previous one. She also believes that the fluctuation of RMB has not surpassed the normal norm.

However, there are also analysts who believe that the recent US Congress has repeatedly pressed on the RMB, plus a large number of new foreign exchange holdings, which reached a peak in August, reaching 243 billion yuan.

Shoe companies will lose half of their profits by less than 3%.

From 6.8 to 6.7 points, the renminbi has appreciated to 1.6% against the US dollar since September, which has a huge impact on Sichuan's foreign trade enterprises.

"The most influential sectors are textiles, shoes and hats, which have large export volume but low profit margins."

According to a person who has been engaged in export for a long time, he told the Chengdu Commercial Daily reporter that the appreciation of RMB will not only bring about the increase of price cost, but also weaken the competitiveness of export enterprises.

He pointed out that at present, the overall profit margin of the mechanical and electrical industry is 8%~10%, and the impact of RMB appreciation can also be digested. However, a lot of low profit textile and footwear exports will lose nearly half of its profits due to the sharp rise in foreign exchange.

An unnamed Chengdu shoe chief told the Chengdu Commercial Daily reporter that although there is some ideological preparation for the long-term trend of RMB appreciation, the recent short and fierce appreciation is still very sudden. He calculated an account. The export profit margin of the company is less than 3%, and the appreciation of RMB is 1.6%, which means that the income from foreign exchange settlement will be reduced by 1.6% again, and the profit loss will be almost 50%.

And a head of the footwear industry said that the profit margin of footwear industry is less than 5%, most of which is around 3%. If it is gradual appreciation, the impact on export enterprises will be controlled, and the appreciation of RMB in September will be 1.6%, which will bring a lot of losses to many export shoe enterprises.