Liu Guanghou: A Businessman From Cotton Growers

A month ago, Liu Guanghou began to buy heavily. Chemical fiber raw material 。 He has been eating 2000 tons at a price of 8900 yuan / ton, and his target of hoarding this year is 4000 tons. He analyzed cotton price rise after the next price increase varieties, that is, chemical fiber.

Last year, Liu Guanghou made a lot of hoarding cotton, not only tasting the sweetness, but also accumulating experience as a speculators.

Today, cotton is already on the high side. He thinks it will take a lot of risk to stir fry again. And this year, the reduction of cotton planting area and the reduction of natural disasters caused the source of goods to be difficult to obtain. The price of chemical fiber reached its lowest level a month ago. It is an unprecedented opportunity. Liu Guanghou took the opportunity to enter.

He judged that in the next few months, cotton would not make enough money, and many people would rush into the chemical fiber market and eventually push up the price of chemical fiber. In the past month, the price of chemical fiber has also been confirmed. Liu Guang Hou The judgement of chemical fiber has reached 11000 yuan / ton, and more than 2000 yuan per ton.

Liu Guanghou said his psychological price is 12500 yuan / ton, when the price rises to this point, he opens the library.

A businessman from cotton growers

Liu Guanghou, 47, a rabbit, said his business flexibility may be related to his zodiac.

In Liu's life span of 47 years, 18 to 38 years old, almost half of his time was planting cotton in his own cotton field in Xiajin County, Dezhou. The status of cotton grower has accompanied him for 20 years. Every year, cotton grows, crops and prices change. 20 years of cotton farmers' identity provided a deep accumulation for his future cotton business, including cotton speculation.

He said that he did cotton business for many times and felt that he had a better sense of cotton trend these years.

10 years ago, in order to improve the family environment, Liu Guanghou borrowed 60 thousand yuan of foreign debt and embarked on the road of business. He tried a lot of business, sold pigs, chickens, bricks and tiles, and sold garlic.

In the end, he discovered that cotton is the most familiar thing for him to do business around cotton. So he began to run the textile equipment carding machine, and bought it from Zhenjiang, Jiangsu, and then sold it to Xiajin. In 2003, at the same time as a cotton spinning machine, it began to do cotton processing business. In 2007, it added a project to further cotton processing and started the cotton textile business.

He currently has three industries, namely, Shandong Tian Hong Textile Co., Ltd., Shandong three Xin (Tian Hong) Cotton Industry Co., Ltd. and Shandong Tian Hong Textile Equipment Management Co., Ltd. The strength of his cotton industry is among the best in Xiajin's private enterprises.

Liu Guanghou's three companies are all open in Xiajin county. He said that this is the place where he was born and has the opportunity to benefit the countryside. In addition, opening factories here can also make use of the local idle labor force, and after training, they can be promoted to work. The cost is low.

Liu Guanghou said that his current three industries are independent accounting and supporting each other. It is a complementary relationship, from equipment to cotton to spinning itself, and can not be controlled by people. Because cotton processing plants receive cotton, lint, hoarded cotton and lint, which can be sold externally or for their own cotton mills. And operating textile equipment, you can update your equipment at any time, or you can sell the appropriate machine to others.

Liu Guanghou, who only has primary school culture, does not usually watch computers. Liu Guanghou's information source is usually from upstream and downstream clients and friends from all over the country.

Liu Guanghou said that business must have a prediction for the market in the next 5 years, based on changes in the domestic situation, international pressure, domestic cotton cultivation, and state reserve cotton throwing and storage.

　　 cotton Good scenery is hard to grow.

"I am not prepared to stir fry cotton this year. Enough to buy will save 2000 tons. Ready to use now. This year we will fry chemical fibre. " Liu Guanghou said.

This year's new cotton has just reached the all-time high of 19000 yuan per ton, and now it has exceeded 20000 yuan / ton.

Liu Guanghou was very proud of the foresight of hoarding 5000 tons of Xinjiang cotton last year. He must have bought the new cotton market in September last year at 13800 yuan / ton. Later cotton prices went all the way up to 20000 yuan / ton. Today, the price difference of 5000 yuan is his profit, whether he sells it to others or his factory.

This year, cotton speculation is a risky and dangerous business.

Liu Guanghou estimated that this year's cotton will go through a period of skyrocketing, steady and final decline. Cotton prices will drop from 20000 yuan / ton to 17000 yuan / ton.

There are several reasons to support his judgement: the cotton reduction caused by natural disasters is about 20%-30%, the quality of cotton is not good, and the national cotton reserves are insufficient, and the appreciation of the renminbi has led to the export of large quantities of goods to domestic sales.

In September 19th, Liu Guanghou, a cotton grower of Yin Xiaozhuang County, Xiajin County, who came to give cotton to Wang Weize, said that in the past 500-600 acres of cotton per mu of real estate had only 300 catties per mu. His family has 7 acres of land, at least 200 pounds per mu of cotton production. The cotton farmers around him are basically the same. If a cotton grower can recover 350-400 Jin of cotton per mu, it will be a very good harvest. Instead of selling his own cotton, Wang Weize sold cotton from Hebei to processing plants one after another.

Wang Qinzeng is also a small peasant cotton farmer in the township of ferry crossing. He now works as a temporary worker for Liu Guanghou's cotton processing plant, which can earn 70-80 yuan a day. His family planted 10 mu of cotton this year. He hasn't sold a pound yet. He estimated the situation before, and the price of cotton would definitely increase, so he planned to sell his home cotton before the end of the year.

"Cotton processing is not good this year, with high cost and large investment. Last year seed cotton purchase price 3.5-3.8 yuan / Jin, and this year has risen to 4.4-4.5 yuan / Jin, equivalent to 1 yuan per catty seed cotton. The quality of cotton is not very good either. The amount of cotton that can be received is very small, and now only 20 thousand catties can be received a day, and about 100000 pounds a day at this time last year. Liu Tianhou, director of the cotton processing plant, said Xia Hangyang.

Cotton can not be collected. Xia Xing Yang sent people to drive 20-30 miles to intercept the cotton transport vehicle near Qinghe County, Hebei. All those who have entered Hebei into Shandong have stopped more than 10 cars a day. This cotton processing plant takes up a place, and its location is just the first cotton processing plant in Hebei to enter Xiajin ferry station in Shandong.

"It is only the first step to intercept the Hawker's car. Whether we can succeed in the transaction depends on the price. These cotton traders are sold to whoever sells the highest price. A cotton catty can earn about 20 Fen. Cotton farmers in Xiajin county do not sell their own cotton at present. They usually buy 4.1-4.3 yuan / Jin from Hebei, Henan and other places, and sell them to the local cotton processing plant 4.4-4.5 yuan. Xia Hangyang said.

"Everyone wants to fry cotton this year. In fact, the storm season of cotton has passed and has reached its peak. Although 19000 yuan / ton is not the highest price, there is little room for uplink and the prospect is not optimistic. Liu Guanghou analysis.