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    Grain, Cotton, Oil, Sugar And Qi Force &Nbsp; Futures Are Closed At Daily Limit.

    2010/10/26 10:07:00 72

    Cotton Grain And Oil Futures

    In October 25th, it was also a "red Monday". The futures market again staged a "multi group" contract. All contracts for cotton and sugar futures in agricultural products were reported on a daily basis, while natural rubber and zinc in industrial products also had multiple contracts.


    On the same day, "leading pioneer" cotton took the lead, and sugar and cereals increased significantly. Among them, the start of oil futures price pushed the collective price of agricultural products futures to a climax, of which the rapeseed oil futures contract broke through the yuan mark. According to statistics, since the beginning of this year, the main contract prices of major agricultural products futures have increased by 25%: maize, 20.9% early indica rice, 20% strong wheat, 36.7% soybean oil, 73.7% cotton and 45% white sugar. The bull market pattern of domestic commodity futures market continued to maintain.


    The star farm products on that day belong to white sugar and cotton. In the middle of Shanghai, a senior sugar analyst has concluded that the current enthusiasm for sugar market bullish is still very high. In the short term, the current price is still holding the discount market. The futures contract between the 1105 contract and the main production area of Guangxi will be 440 yuan / ton, and the futures market will accelerate. But the risk we should pay attention to here is the trend of the price of international raw sugar. It is reported that the weather has improved in recent days and the port volume has increased in Brazil, which helps to increase the export volume of the global market in the short term. If the international sugar price can not continue to rise and show a callback, it will be an indirect disadvantage to the domestic sugar trend, or cause a reduction in the price of sugar in the domestic market.



    and cotton On the other hand, Li Jiagui, a senior analyst at COFCO futures, said: "last Friday, the storm hit the largest cotton producing area in the United States of Dezhou, causing speculative capital and processing plants to intervene again in the international cotton market, resulting in cotton trading. On the 25 day, Zheng cotton was following the trend of the US cotton. There was not much change in the spot market. The seed cotton purchase price continued to rise. Some parts of Shandong had reached 6.5 yuan / Jin, and cotton farmers still had serious feelings about selling it. With the completion of the dumping and selling, the short term textile enterprises were facing a break, and there is still a potential for higher inflation. And cotton authority once again lowered the output of cotton to 6 million 400 thousand tons in China. If the US hurricane is seriously affected, the output of US cotton will be affected. The world's cotton supply and demand pattern is even tighter. American cotton producers are more reluctant to sell, and spot sales are already close to 140 cents. Therefore, in the short term, under the influence of multiple favorable factors, cotton still has rising kinetic energy in the later stage, and funds still favor cotton.


    Oil consumption rose more than 3% on that day, and the market was more concerned about it. According to market participants, the recent rise in oil prices is due to the fact that the quantitative easing monetary policy laid the foundation for the recent increase in the price of oil, while the performance of the dollar directly stimulated the upward trend of commodity prices; secondly, the good performance of the beans, good demand and inflation expectations made the market participants full of imagination about the future of soybean beans, which also made soybean oil hit a new high in Asian electronics. In addition, Russia announced the extension of the export of wheat. injunction It has made the recent dull basic market regenerate, and the market's worries about the food crisis are showing again. Back to the domestic side, macroeconomic inflation expectations and rising vegetable oil reserves increased the confidence of the market in the price of oil, and the demand for investment in the middle circulation of oil gradually increased. Goods in stock Market prices are strong. The combination of internal and external factors has led to a new high price of domestic oils and fats. On the whole, import is still rising. At present, no matter the macro level or the fundamentals of supply and demand, there is no turning trend, so the rise will continue. However, as the price rises continuously, the market catching up needs to guard against risks. We must control the proportion of positions, pay attention to the risk of policy regulation and risk of short-term profits.


    For the general market of futures market, Yang Lina, a senior analyst in Beijing's mid term farm products, said, "in any case, the internal rotation of the agricultural product market is highlighted, and the overall heat is likely to remain. At present, extreme climate triggering financial enthusiasm, demand is expected to improve, liquidity is abundant, inflation expectations and other factors will further support the continuation of agricultural products. The Yi Sheng information chief expressed concern about the current speculation. "Speculation is always hype, and the market is always on the alert after a sharp rise. At present, the country has begun to raise interest rates, which is a signal. We should tighten up the signals of speculative funds and curb excessive speculation by administrative means.

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