Recycled Chemical Fiber: The Market Is Like A Crazy Roller Coaster.
November Recycled fiber The end of the industry's drama is a rare market in recent years. Whether the huge rise or the bottomless fall, the profound impact on the market has not yet been eliminated. In November 4th, as the Federal Reserve announced the quantification. Easing policy Hot money followed the hype, and cotton, PTA and other related futures rose sharply, driving the market of native, regenerated polyester chains and other products up rapidly. The daily rally of nearly 1000 yuan lasted until the evening of November 10th. As the central bank announced the increase of the reserve ratio and the introduction of price control measures, the market was frozen and fell into a continuous downward path.
Compared with the price at the end of 10, the price of recycled fiber is still higher than before, and the sales of factories are very hot. But the roller coaster market is hard to get the approval of the manufacturers, because this is a kidnapping market. From recycled cotton polyester staple to recycled hollow, regenerated filament, and raw slicing, filament and even viscose products are tied to the chariot represented by cotton as a hot money. When the rapid rise of the market is not reported, the frustration that is resisted by the downstream and the deep downward slide after the withdrawal of idle capital are left to the industry itself.
Because of the ever-changing macro economy and strong intervention policy, even if the chemical fiber factory does not export goods together, it can not stop the price from continuing to explore. In the first ten days of November, the price of bottle grade materials continued to rise, and the price rose by nearly two thousand yuan. However, since 12, the purchase price of Jiangsu Jiangnan Chemical fiber has been greatly reduced by 2800 yuan / ton, and the price of chemical fiber has started to decline, making the bottle grade material market in the middle and late 11 months have failed. At the end of 11, bottle grade material fell back to a lower level than the end of 10. In Jiangsu and Zhejiang, the price of machine material quoted from the three dimensional blank sheet rose from 8100~8300 yuan / ton to 10000~10500 yuan / ton, and then dropped to 7800~8200 yuan / ton (excluding tax). This lower price than before the rise, no doubt contributed to the panic atmosphere in the market, and made the recycled chemical fiber down market harder to see the bottom.
At present, as the regenerated chemical fiber market has been unable to explore the bottom, coupled with two consecutive weeks of price declines, the downstream wait-and-see is reluctant to purchase, making manufacturers' inventory rise, and later price adjustment is inevitable. However, with the gradual reduction of the national dry degree and the decline of cotton and PTA futures, once the regenerated chemical fiber market is bottoming out, the enthusiasm for downstream purchasing will rebound. Although there is still a slight increase in recycled fiber in the first half of 12, the operation of the chemical fiber plant will be more cautious after the roller coaster ride. In the short term, the recycled fiber market may be dominated by floppy disks.
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