Cotton Prices Plummeted &Nbsp, Affecting Next Year's Sowing Area

Reporters learned from the Dezhou Cotton Association, the recent cotton prices fell sharply, from 7.20 yuan in early November to 5.7 yuan in recent days, cotton prices have experienced a "roller coaster" market, cotton farmers reluctantly hold cotton wait and see, to a certain extent, or will affect next year's cotton planting enthusiasm.

It is understood that Dezhou is one of the key cotton producing areas in the country. The annual cotton planting area is 2 million -300 mu, but this year the cotton field area is only 1 million 550 thousand mu, a decrease of 32% over the previous year, the smallest area in nearly 11 years. In the middle and August of last year, continuous large scale high intensity rainfall and cloudy weather had a great impact on cotton yield and quality. The average yield per seed cotton was only 410 kg, which was more than 20% lower than that in the normal year.

Cotton prices have risen sharply since the launch of the new cotton market this year. From 4.20 yuan / kg in early September, it has been rising to November. Early days About 7.20 yuan / kg, or 71%, a doubling over the same period last year, hitting the highest price ever. However, after the late November, cotton prices began to fall, and cotton farmers' reluctant selling mentality intensified.

The rise of cotton prices in the early stage has raised cotton growers' psychology of selling cotton to some extent. Unexpectedly, cotton prices fell sharply after November 10th, and fell to about 5.7 yuan per Jin, or nearly 20%. According to the calculation of 410 Jin per mu, 615 yuan per mu less than the highest price is a big figure for cotton growers.

Over the past week, cotton prices have stabilized. If the price is 410 Jin per mu, 5.7 yuan / Jin, the output value of Mu will be 2337 yuan. deduction The direct cost of seed cotton is 390 yuan / mu (excluding labor cost, land cost and hiring cotton picking cost), plus the subsidy of 15 yuan per mu, and the income of Mu is 1962 yuan, which is 403 yuan per mu more than grain (wheat and corn two crops, 1559 yuan per mu).

Dezhou Xiajin and Wucheng county are the traditional large cotton planting counties, accounting for about 60% of the cotton area of the whole city. According to the custom of past years, local cotton farmers have the habit of selling cotton after the Spring Festival. At present, local cotton farmers only sell about 20%. The fluctuation of cotton prices has affected cotton growers' enthusiasm for planting cotton to some extent. Experts of Dezhou Cotton Association believe that this year's market will affect cotton growers' enthusiasm for planting cotton to a certain extent.

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5.70 yuan / Jin, cotton price rises.

With the domestic and foreign cotton futures prices rising and falling, cotton prices in the spot market have also risen. 15, reporters learned that The near future The purchase price of grade 4 seed cotton is about 5.70 yuan / kg, and the sale price of grade 4 lint is about 26800 yuan / ton.

According to Ma Junkai, Deputy Secretary General of Dezhou Cotton Association, with the domestic and foreign cotton futures prices rising and falling, some cotton enterprises in Dezhou think cotton spot prices have bottomed out. In November 11th, seed cotton prices dropped to 5.5 yuan / Jin, and then a month later, seed cotton prices did not decline again, slightly rebounded. On the 15 day, the purchase price of grade 4 seed cotton in Dezhou was around 5.70 yuan / kg, and the quality of seed cotton was 5.90 yuan / Jin, which reached a low level of three, which increased by 0.2-0.3 yuan / Jin a week ago.

So far, the sale price of the local 4 grade lint has risen to 26800 yuan / ton, up 500 yuan / ton compared with a week ago, and the actual transaction price is about 26500 yuan / ton. "Four grade lint is delivered to Jiangsu and Zhejiang, and the factory price is 17300 yuan / ton." Dezhou City Wucheng County, a cotton enterprise official said.

It is understood that in recent days, cottonseed prices are relatively stable, the mainstream price of 1.85 yuan / kg. But a small quantity has resulted in some oil plants being shut down. According to the investigation of relevant departments, the cotton farmers' mentality of selling is still heavy, and they take a more wait-and-see attitude, saying that they will sell again before and after the Spring Festival. Because cotton prices have risen, most cotton enterprises are also reluctant to sell.