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Comment 2010 Industry Chaos Behind Cotton Price Hurricane

2010/12/23 10:50:00 68

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According to the monitoring data of China Cotton Association, at the end of 10 in 2010, the domestic grade 328 cotton (standard cotton) was 26205 yuan / ton, and the price hit a new high again.

The price rose by more than 50% compared with the quotations a month ago, more than doubled compared with the cotton prices in the same period last year.

In fact, domestic cotton prices have started to rise slowly since the beginning of 2009.

After entering 2010, the cotton price began to appear "blowout" as if it were affected by various factors.

At present, in Xinjiang, the largest cotton growing area in China, the purchase price of cotton has exceeded 12 yuan per kilogram and has continued.

Rise

The trend.

The purchase price has doubled two over last year's cotton price.

"Crazy cotton" has unwittingly brought about a huge impact on China's textile and garment industry and consumers.

When cotton becomes "luxury", all kinds of grotesque phenomena begin to take turns in this industry.

Along with the cotton price of hurricane, cotton industry has entered the most entangled period in history.

The curse left behind by "cotton cheap injury to farmers"

Looking at the phenomenon of high cotton prices in 2010, it is necessary to trace the source of high cotton prices in 2008.

At that time, affected by the global financial crisis, China's cotton exports were seriously hit.

The contradiction between oversupply and oversupply in cotton market shows that cotton prices continue to fall sharply. Cotton mills are afraid to accept cotton growers.

This embarrassing situation has seriously affected the enthusiasm of cotton growers.

It is for this reason that the cotton planting area of China has been reduced and cotton output has decreased in the next two years.

In November 2008, the state adopted a strong policy of supporting the market.

Until this time, domestic cotton prices gradually stopped falling and began to pick up slowly.

By April 2009, the price of domestic cotton market had increased by about 20% compared with the lowest in 2008.

However, despite the late stage of the policy of collecting and storing the market, most of the cotton growers sold at a low price.

Therefore, the branding of cotton prices has remained deeply in the hearts of the vast majority of cotton farmers.

In fact, the enthusiasm of cotton growers in China in 2009 has not been effectively raised.

At the same time, the state's subsidies for planting grain are also further improving.

It is understood that farmers grow corn.

rice

Other grain crops are subsidized at about 100 yuan per mu.

Farmers who grow cotton can only get 15 yuan of national good seed subsidy per mu.

The tilt of national policies on grain crops has objectively affected some traditional cotton farmers to replant crop crops.

According to statistics, in 2009, the area of cotton planting in China was 77 million 500 thousand mu, 12.38% less than that in 2008.

total

yield

About 7 million tons, 12.5% less than last year.

Among them, the decrease of the Yangtze River Basin is obvious, reaching 18.9%, the decrease in the the Yellow River river basin is 12.2%, and the northwest cotton area is decreasing by 6.4%.

In addition, the shortage of young workers in rural areas is also one of the problems resulting in the reduction of cotton planting area.

In 2009, with the increase of labor costs in China, the wages of migrant workers increased significantly.

At the same time, due to the low price of cotton market in 2008, some cotton farmers once appeared a "hang upside down" phenomenon of planting more than 10 yuan of cotton loss per mu.

And in 2009, when cotton prices rose slightly, farmers' profits of planting cotton per mu were still less than 500 yuan.

On the other hand, they earn more than 1000 yuan a month by going out to work. On the other hand, they are home grown cotton with low income and great risk.

Therefore, more and more rural young and middle-aged labor force chose to abandon traditional cotton planting, and chose to leave home and go out to work.

As a result, there is not enough labor force in the countryside, and the degree of mechanization of cotton planting is low.

Therefore, more and more traditional cotton fields and even cotton areas have been forced to change their status.