Zheng Cotton Today To Maintain The Situation Of Shock Finishing Cautious Wait And See Is Better.
This evening, the US Department of agriculture will announce March.
Supply and demand of cotton
Report, before the introduction of data, Zheng cotton today to maintain the trend of shock finishing, the main 1109 contract closed at 31185 yuan per ton, compared with yesterday's settlement price fell 280 yuan / ton, or 0.89%; turnover 1 million 790 thousand hands, reduced 40 thousand hands, positions reduced 14 thousand hands, 370 thousand hands.
Zheng cotton price is now in a dilemma, cautious watching is better.
From the perspective of domestic macroeconomic policies, stabilizing prices is the top priority of the country this year. From the perspective of monetary factors, it is an inevitable choice for this year to appropriately recycle liquidity.
Under such circumstances, the overall upward trend of commodities will be suppressed, and cotton is also difficult to make exceptions.
In the middle of Shanghai: Zheng cotton's concussion and patience wait for the opportunity for cotton's own fundamentals. After last November and this year's Spring Festival, the spot price of zhengmian futures has not risen with the two time of 33000 yuan per ton, indicating that the price pressure is greater.
But on the other hand, the scarcity of high-grade cotton and the tight supply and demand situation of global cotton can not be changed in a short time.
Despite the widespread increase in planting area this year, cotton gap still exists under the condition of low inventory and steady growth in textile consumption, which also limits the space for cotton prices to fall.
From a technical analysis,
Zheng cotton
In the future, the high and volatile market may continue. The support for the 60 day moving average is more obvious now, or between 30000 yuan per ton and 35000 yuan per ton in the near future.
On the spot, about April, there will be relatively concentrated cotton in the United States, but the overall price is higher and higher.
cotton
Scarce, cotton merchants are reluctant to sell.
In the long run, the inventory of textile enterprises is mostly maintained in 2 months or so, and will remain in a bad situation after 5 and June.
On the whole, before the introduction of new regulatory policies, Zheng cotton 1109 contract will remain high and volatile, and investors will be patient with money.
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