Two Or Three Tier Cities, Such As Restriction Orders And Other Housing Prices, Are Heading For The First Tier Cities.

"Limit the word order" suffering from "selective blindness" Beware of the two or three line urban regulation is "overhead".

From "

Unlimited purchase is all up.

As of early April this year, the implementation of the "purchase restriction" in Fuzhou has been full for 6 months, but some new listing projects are still rising rapidly.

In the area along the Pu Shang Avenue in the urban and rural areas of the city, the average price of some new push houses has risen by about 1500 yuan in the past six months. Taking the new Jinhui property Swan Bay as an example, its average price has risen from 12 thousand yuan per square meter at the end of last year to 13 thousand and 500 yuan now.

Ningde city of Fujian province is a prefecture level city located between Fuzhou of Fujian province and Wenzhou of Zhejiang province. It is also a three tier city with relatively backward economic development.

Reporter survey found that Wenzhou and Fuzhou implement the "restriction" policy, part of the demand for housing was "squeezed" and then to Ningde.

In the newly developed east overseas area, most of the real estate price is 8000 yuan per square meter, some even as high as 10 thousand yuan.

"In the past six months, housing prices in Ningde have risen by around 30%."

A manager of a sales department told reporters, "from Ningde to Fuzhou and Wenzhou by train, it is within 1 hours.

Before the implementation of "restriction purchase" in Fuzhou, Ningde people like to buy houses in Fuzhou. Nowadays, many Ningde people who can't buy a house in Fuzhou can only come back to buy it.

Before the implementation of "restriction purchase" in Wenzhou, Wenzhou people often came to Ningde real estate. After the "restriction purchase", Ningde's Wenzhou "real estate group" team expanded rapidly.

Analysis of the industry, since the second half of last year, the "purchase restriction" policy began in some first tier cities and second tier cities. At present, housing prices in the first tier cities seem to be "loose", but most second tier cities still have enough housing prices.

On the one hand, at present, housing prices have generally been at a higher price, and small gains can also have the effect of large price increases; on the other hand, the liquidity of the market is still relatively abundant, and the investors' strength is relatively strong.

"Now is the critical period to test the effectiveness of the local restriction policy."

Wang Azhong, director of the Real Estate Research Institute of Fuzhou University, believes that most cities still allow residents to buy a new apartment in the cities that have already implemented the purchase restriction. And if three of the children in the family have reached the age of 18, the family's adult children can also own two apartments. Such a family can actually own 4 housing units. Obviously, the policy is tight and the purchase effect is limited.

The target of housing price adjustment: is it "selective blindness"?

Recently, a number of cities have announced the target of house price control this year.

A number of experts interviewed pointed out: "there is no limit to setting targets for all parts of the country, which is likely to exacerbate the expectation of rising prices in the market."

Reporters are concerned about the "control targets" of some cities' housing prices, and found that the "Eight Control Regulations on House Prices" proposed by the State Council at the end of January this year suggested that the target of new housing price control should be determined according to the "economic development goals, the growth rate of disposable income per capita and the ability of residents to pay housing".

However, where "control targets" have been issued, it is rarely referred to as "housing affordability".

The base difference used in setting price control targets is also greater.

For example, the control targets of Shanghai, Hefei and Anhui are based on the price of "new housing", while Lanzhou, Yinchuan and other places take the price of "new commodity housing" as the benchmark.

Chen Guoqiang, director of the Real Estate Research Institute of Peking University, pointed out: "the calculation method based on the price of new housing includes affordable housing.

Affordable housing prices are very low, which can lower the overall housing price level.

This means that the price of commercial housing will increase substantially.

Wang Azhong also pointed out that we should be vigilant in some places to avoid the limelight by means of "limiting the new market of the central city" or freezing the price of the new market. "Just like to complete the energy saving and emission reduction targets, we will directly pull the electricity off."

For these problems, Wang Juelin, deputy director of the policy research center of the Ministry of housing and urban rural development, said that according to the original intention of the state's formulation of policies, the measurement system of new housing price control targets is diverse, and some local governments have a bias in understanding the policy, and do not rule out the possibility of "selective blindness".

Reporters observed that in recent years, a large number of well funded first-line real estate enterprises have gradually pferred the "main battlefield" of real estate development to the two or three line cities, leading to the rapid growth of real estate development and investment in the two or three tier cities.

Fujian is a typical province with two or three lines of cities. In recent years, with the arrival of a large number of real estate enterprises, the real estate in the province has invested 181 billion 800 million yuan in 2010, ranking the top of the country.

At present, the rise of housing prices in the two or three tier cities is hard to suppress, and it presents a rapid trend of "first line" to the first tier cities.

Wang Azhong pointed out that this "first line" phenomenon exposed some two or three line cities real estate overinvestment risks.

Taking Fuzhou as an example, in recent years, due to the continuous warming of the real estate market investment, the soaring land price, and then the rapid rise of house prices, the overinvestment of real estate is more obvious.

In Wang Azhong's view, the real estate market's problem is ultimately the land issue. As long as the land price does not drop, the rising trend of housing prices is hard to be suppressed.

Land prices soar, local governments will still have the impulse to sell land, developers will take the risk to demolished land by illegal means such as demolitions, which may also intensify social contradictions.

"Eight Control Regulations on House Prices" puts forward that the relevant departments should take the responsibility of the relevant departments in accordance with the relevant provisions to determine and publish the new housing price control targets for the new year and the rise of new housing prices beyond the annual control targets.

This year's two government's work report also put forward that the provincial people's government is responsible for stabilizing housing prices and housing security, and the people's governments of cities and counties are directly responsible.

We must be responsible for stabilizing housing prices, promoting the construction of affordable housing, and affecting the development and stability of the society.

Accountability can not be superficial.

In the next round of housing price regulation, departments at all levels should formulate detailed accountability mechanisms.

Chen Sheng, vice president of the China Index Research Institute, believes that only by implementing the accountability system can the regulatory measures be avoided again.