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    Trend Unexpected Strong &Nbsp; PTA Surge

    2011/7/13 17:42:00 37

    PTA Cotton Trend

     

    13 morning, Zhengzhou

    PTA futures

    The surge in the price of the shares increased 1201 points in the main contract at 9108 points, up 366 points; the Federal Reserve implied that it was considering the implementation of the new round of monetary stimulus measures and China's announcement of better than expected economic data, which was favorable for the market trend.


    In addition, overnight crude oil rose and cotton trend improved, providing further impetus to PTA.

    But Yisheng petrochemical PTA new capacity release has significantly increased the market supply, exacerbating the future market vacant expectations.

    The power restriction measures will affect the starting rate of chemical fiber and textile enterprises, and the supply and demand will tend to relax and suppress the upward space of PTA.

    PTA is expected to be more volatile in the near future.


    New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) crude oil futures fell on the 13 day of the electronic disk, after the data released by API showed that the US crude oil inventories unexpectedly increased last week, and the Irish credit rating was downgraded to the "junk level", which strengthened the market supply adequacy view under the prospect of weakening demand.

    As of 11:30 Beijing time, NYMEX December light crude oil futures price fell 0.27 U.S. dollars, closed at 97.16 U.S. dollars per barrel, or 2.4%.


    The National Bureau of Statistics announced the two quarter data, the main economic indicators remained stable and relatively fast growth, GDP increased by 9.5% in the two quarter, and the economic growth in the four consecutive quarters was basically stable at 9.5%-10%.

    In the first half of this year, the growth rate of fixed assets investment was 25.6%, and the growth rate of fixed asset investment remained stable at around 25% in the four quarter.

    From the perspective of the real economy, the added value of industrial added value above scale has basically stabilized at around 14% for four consecutive quarters.


    On the spot, the average spot price of PTA is 8850 (-120) yuan / ton.

    outer disc

    The spot price is 1138.5 (-13) dollars / ton, the import cost price is 9285 yuan / ton, the price difference between the internal disk and the imported PTA is -335 yuan / ton.

    Price structure: PTA current price difference is -90 yuan / ton.

    MEG price: domestic MEG 9000 (-200) yuan / ton, import MEG 1170 (-15) US dollars / ton, upstream raw material price and PTA production profit.


    downstream

    polyester

    Product price and polyester gross profit: large gloss polyester cut 11800 (+100) yuan / ton, semifinished polyester chip 12150 (+150) yuan / ton, 1.4D direct spinning polyester 15800 12550 (-50) yuan / ton, polyester DTY 150D is 15800 (-100) yuan / ton, polyester POY 150D is 13900 (+0) yuan / ton, polyester FDY FDY is 13650 (yuan) yuan / ton.

    Polyester gross profit is 2210 yuan / ton.

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