The Development Path Of Footwear Trade In Foreign Trade Under The Background Of European Debt Crisis
The bank's bankruptcy soon shocked Europe.
The continued warming of the European debt crisis, which is intertwined with the S & P's downgrading of us credit rating, has completely disrupted the global economic recovery, and the two bottom finding is emerging again.
And just now, Foshan exports.
Economics
It still seems to be better: in the first half of this year, the total import and export volume of Foshan was 29 billion 640 million US dollars, of which the export volume was US $18 billion 840 million, an increase of 24%.
Will this be the last "warmth" before winter? Shoes and clothing.
Exit
The multiple pressures faced by enterprises have not yet been fundamentally alleviated. With a series of chain reactions brought about by the deepening of the "rating" and the deepening of the European debt crisis, "there is no doubt that the export situation in the future will be even worse, and there will be more closes for small and medium-sized shoe and clothing enterprises."
Guangdong industry experts believe that.
The European debt crisis is unpredictable, and the tipping point enterprises are "pessimistic" in judging the growth of demand.
The deterioration of European debt may lead to a decline in import demand, and signs have appeared in the Canton Fair this spring.
Many shoe and clothing enterprises have noticed that the traditional developed countries such as Europe, America and Japan are developed.
market
There was a limited increase in the number of purchasers coming to the conference and the site, and the number of buyers in the third phase decreased.
In particular, the recent decline in raw material prices, labor intensive light industrial products turnover is even lighter.
From the start up rate, the export situation is also not optimistic.
In the Pingyang Industrial Park in the village of Zhangcha, in the past few months, the power consumption of each factory is not much, which means that the factory has significantly reduced the operating rate. The export performance in the third quarter is likely to be more pessimistic.
"Because of the economic downturn in Europe and the United States, foreign agents and dealers may use prudent purchasing methods to reduce inventories to safety lines, and the export growth of the whole shoe and clothing market will slow down."
Expert judgement.
The "rating" event helped boost the appreciation of the renminbi and further squeezed corporate profits.
The RMB exchange rate exceeded 6.4, so that enterprises can see that the "rating" incident continues to ferment "power".
It is foreseeable that the downgrading of the US credit rating will inevitably weaken the US dollar and intensify the pressure of RMB appreciation.
Ye Zhongping noted that since the beginning of 2010, the RMB exchange rate has appreciated by nearly 6%, which has caused tremendous pressure on enterprises.
Moreover, at present, corporate profits are a sensitive point.
In the first half of February this year, the number of industrial deficit Enterprises above the South China Sea reached 331, with a deficit of 15%, an increase of 6.6% over the same period last year.
In Zhangcha, losses for several consecutive months have become a common phenomenon in the small and medium-sized enterprises of the knitting industry.
Due to the small profit margins of traditional industries, small and medium-sized shoe and clothing enterprises have difficulty in digesting the exchange rate cost, making many export enterprises in Foshan even afraid to pick up orders.
In the first half of the year, the export enterprises basically had orders, but there was no money to make them.
Labor force, exchange rate, raw materials have increased a lot, coupled with tight funds, in the future, more and more small and medium shoes and clothing enterprises will be unable to withstand and close.
Ye Zhongping said.
However, in the first half of August 9th, the provincial foreign economic and trade situation analysis conference, Liang Yaowen, director of the Department of foreign trade and economic cooperation, pointed out that emerging markets are also facing many problems.
India, Russia, Brazil, Indonesia, South Africa and other emerging economies are facing increasingly severe inflation pressure. At present, some economic indicators show signs of slowing down. If the risk factors are not effectively controlled, it may lead to economic slowdown.
Moreover, in the context of the global economic slowdown, emerging countries, in order to protect their own economies, will continue to rise in protectionism in the international trade environment in the coming period. Therefore, the frequency of Foshan enterprises encountering trade friction will be very high in the coming period.
In July 27th, Argentina launched anti-dumping against China tiles, which is an obvious sign.
Li Zengli, director of the Fair Trade Bureau of the Ministry of Commerce and trade, believes that Argentina's anti-dumping actions against China may produce a chain reaction. "Brazil, Paraguay and Uruguay may follow one after another."
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