China Textile Association Points Out That We Need To Improve Our Capacity In The Second Half Of The Year.

The China Textile Industry Association and the China Textile Industry Association Statistics Center jointly issued the analysis of China's textile industry in the first half of 2011 and the whole year. Trend prediction Presentation. The report shows that in the first half of the year, China's textile industry showed a steady slowdown. situation The performance is as follows: the whole industry runs smoothly, production and sales growth slows down month by month, and the adjustment of investment regional structure accelerates further. negative growth Textile and clothing exports grew faster, and the volume growth rate dropped significantly; industry profit growth slowed down month by month. In the second half of this year, the industry will continue to face higher external risks. Further improvement of risk control and response capability is still the top priority.

The report points out that since the beginning of this year, the main operational indicators of China's textile enterprises above Designated Size have maintained a relatively fast growth trend, but under the pressure of many pressures, the growth rate of key indicators has slowed down month by month.

First of all, influenced by the adjustment of statistical indicators, the growth of China's textile industry's production and marketing has gradually increased since the beginning of the year. slow down 。 In 2011 1~5, the total output value of the industry increased by 30.15% compared to the same period last year, and the sales value increased by 29.85% over the same period last year. Industry production and sales growth slowed down month by month, and the gross output value and sales value of textile industry fell by 1.47 percentage points and 1.65 percentage points respectively in the first quarter of 1~5. Among them, the growth rate of 1~5 chemical fiber production and sales increased by 15.43% over the first quarter, representing a decrease of 2.52 percentage points compared with the first quarter. The yarn grew by 10.13% compared with the previous year, a decrease of 2.41 percentage points compared with the first quarter, a 15.50% increase of the cloth ratio, a decrease of 3.92 percentage points compared with the first quarter, and a year-on-year increase of 11.93% in clothing compared with the first quarter, a decrease of 2.71 percentage points over the first quarter.

Secondly, industry investment growth slowed down month by month, and new construction projects continued negative growth. In 1~5 months, the total investment in fixed assets increased by 36.22% in the whole industry, the growth rate dropped 2.29 percentage points compared with the first quarter, and the new construction projects fell 2.52%, up 3.28 percentage points from the first quarter, but it has not yet reversed the negative growth trend.

Among them, the 1~5 growth rate of chemical fiber industry decreased by 42.53 percentage points compared with the first quarter, and the printing and dyeing industry dropped by 16.80 percentage points. At the same time, the pace of structural adjustment of investment accelerated, and the investment in central and western regions increased significantly. In 1~5 months, the investment in the central and western regions increased by 59.82% and 41.18% respectively, up by 32.76 percentage points and 14.12 percentage points higher than that in the eastern region. Meanwhile, the proportion of investment in the central and western regions has continued to increase. 1~5 months, the central region accounted for 29.31% of the national investment ratio, 4.33 percentage points higher than the same period last year, and the western region accounted for 7.17% of the national investment ratio, representing a 0.26 percentage point increase over the same period last year.

Third, textile and garment exports grew faster and slowed down. In 1~6 months, China's textile and clothing exports totaled US $111 billion 725 million, up 25.73% over the same period last year, and the growth rate increased by 3.69 percentage points over the same period last year, down 0.47 percentage points and 1.32 percentage points respectively over the first 5 months and the first 4 months. In the first 6 months, the export volume exceeded 4 US dollars in a single month in 4 months. The concrete performance is: the textile clothing export price promotion contribution is prominent, the quantity growth rate obviously drops.

In 1-5 months, the export price of textile and clothing increased by 21.49%, the number increased by only 3.88%, and the growth rate dropped 12.52 percentage points compared with the same period last year. Among them, the export price of textile products increased by 24.91% in 1~5 months, the number of exports increased by only 4.40% over the same period last year, the export price of clothing increased by 18.91%, and the number of exports increased by only 3.54% over the same period last year. 1~5 month, China's textile and clothing exports to the United States increased by 15.07% over the same period last year, the growth rate slowed down 9.33 percentage points compared with the same period last year, and the volume of exports decreased by 2.04% compared with the same period last year. The growth rate decreased by 30.27 percentage points compared with the same period last year. The export volume of China's exports to the European Union increased by 27.31% over the same period last year, and the growth rate increased by 9.74 percentage points over the same period last year. The growth rate of exports to Japan increased by 23.44% over the same period last year, and the growth rate increased by 24 percentage points over the same period last year. The export of textile and clothing to China's developing economies was faster than that of the developed economies. In 1~5 months, the export volume of China's exports to the developing economies increased by 30.43% over the same period of, and the growth rate was faster than that of the developed developed economies.

Fourth, domestic market growth is still an important support for the development of the industry. In 1~5 months, the total retail sales of social consumer goods increased by 16.6% over the same period last year, of which the retail sales of clothing above the limit increased by 23.5% over the same period last year, higher than the social average of 6.9 percentage points. In 1~4 months, the sales of clothing products in 100 key markets nationwide increased by 25.83% compared with the same period last year, of which the price increased by 18.43% compared with the same period last year, and the volume increased by only 6.25%.

Fifth, industry profit growth has dropped. In 2011 1~4, the total profit of the industry increased by 46.89% over the same period last year, down 10.70 percentage points and 6.68 percentage points from the first two months and the first quarter respectively. Among them, the profit growth rate of chemical fiber industry dropped most obviously, 1~4 month growth rate dropped 26.32 percentage points compared with 1~3 months, wool textile industry, silk industry, cotton spinning industry also fell faster. At the same time, the profit margin of the 1~4 industry reached 5.12%, 12.02% higher than that of the same period last year, and the profit margins of cotton spinning, chemical fiber, garment and textile machinery industry were above the average profit rate. Enterprises below the scale are running poorly, and the growth rate of corporate sales revenue and profit is only a single digit growth, far below the growth level of Enterprises above designated size.

The report analyzes the main factors affecting the development of the industry in the second half of this year. Judging from the international situation, the global economic recovery in the second half of 2011 is still lacking new growth momentum. In order to expand the money supply and increase the growth mode of stimulating demand by the government, there is a lack of sustainability. The employment improvement in the developed economies is still slow, and the trend of deterioration has been in the near future.

Judging from the domestic situation, in the second half of this year, affected by industrial decline and slowing economic growth, the implementation of domestic monetary policy will shift from emphasizing the effectiveness of curbing inflation to paying attention to maintaining the stability of economic growth, and the orientation of monetary policy will be finely adjusted to "relative tightening and directional easing". Textile small and medium enterprises at this stage Win Most of the level is not optimistic, will largely affect the enthusiasm of bank lending, the overall financing environment is still tight, financing costs will continue to improve.

Growth rate, especially with the adjustment of raw material prices, will probably slow down the growth of export prices in the second half of the year, or will drive the total export growth of the industry to further slow down; the domestic demand market will remain stable overall, and the annual growth rate of clothing retail sales will still exceed 20%. Under the influence of high prices and macro-economic downturn, the growth rate of the clothing commodities will be slowed down compared with the previous year. The prices of raw materials such as cotton and chemical fiber will continue to show a downward trend in the future, and the cost pressures of the downstream enterprises will gradually decrease. The upstream enterprises may be faced with problems such as insufficient demand and poor sales. The overall growth of production, sales and profits will continue to slow down, and the industry will continue to face higher external risks. Enterprises must strengthen risk control and enhance their resilience so as to maintain stable and healthy development of the industry. The report forecasts the industry trend in the second half of the year, and the international market demand is difficult to improve rapidly in the second half of this year, which will affect the export volume of the industry.