Current Situation And Thinking Of Cotton Purchase In Nanxian, Hunan In 2011

　 First, the acquisition of seed cotton in the county

In October 6th, Nanxian Dexing company Xin you cotton ginning factory opened the scale purchase, opened. Whole county seed cotton The prelude of the acquisition, on the same day, the factory acquired more than 350 tons of seed cotton, the average price reached 4.23 yuan, two days later, the cotton market down again, the factory slowed down the progress of the acquisition, the current acquisition of seed cotton less than 500 tons, a week later, Nanxian Hui Hua company Mingshan cotton ginning factory, Nanxian South Island Bridge Daxing cotton rolling plant scale one after another, trial production. Up to now, the three cotton ginning plants in the county have bought about 1500 tons of seed cotton, and the average price is about 4.15.

After October 21st, the price of the market was reduced again. Listed price Grade four cotton dropped to 4 yuan and grade five cotton reduced to 3.80 yuan. Even though the price of seed cotton has dropped dramatically, the processing enterprises are still cautious in their operation and are afraid to let go of the purchase. They are more stringent in terms of moisture content and quality requirements. The aim is to control the progress of the purchase and wait for the market to change. So there is a sticky market where fish do not dive. Processing enterprises, Cotton trader Cotton farmers are waiting and waiting.

　 Two, the acquisition of funds in place

The 400 tons of baling machine manufacturers in the whole county only have Mingshan factory of Huhua company, and the two companies of Dexing Xin you cotton mill have acquired the total amount of loans which are not more than 50 million yuan. This year's loan management is particularly strict. Some of them need warehouse management, some need three party supervision, and 5 million yuan loans are not fully available since last month. With the difficulty of capital turnover in this enterprise, it is not very realistic for the acquisition loan to enter the seed cotton purchase process in full. The issue of how to release the loans from the latter part of the agricultural development bank is complicated and uncertain.

Daxing cotton ginning plant of Nan Zhou Bridge is a 200 ton baling machine factory. It has no loan qualification. Several shareholders raised nearly three million yuan to start the purchase. After that, they bought the seed cotton on credit basis.

Hua GE's Chang Guan Hua Hua Gang is a 400 type baling machine factory, but it has not applied for the policy loan from the agricultural development bank. It has strong funds in its own funds through the above two, and the purchase fund is slightly loose. But the boss is very cautious. There is still no sign of massive acquisition. The seed cotton in the warehouse is less than 100 tons.

Last year, after a big time, the small leather roller ginning factory has not been officially launched. Apart from the market factors, I am afraid that there is no relationship between the shortage of funds and the lack of credit on credit.

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Three, market quotation

In October 21st, Shandong Wei Qiao textile enterprise lowered the purchase price of raw cotton on land by 500 yuan / ton. In the next few days, the spot flow of cotton decreased, and prices dropped down all the way. Cotton processing enterprises were in a state of anxiety.

The cotton market is also troubling. In recent years, the cotton market has already been hot, but this year's Cottonseed has few people to ask for it, and the price has dropped from 1.50 yuan to 1.10 yuan. Oil processing enterprises remain calm and watch the situation change. Cotton sub market not only can not bring support to the cotton market, but also has dragged down the cotton market, making the uplink weak.

With the downward trend of the spot market, the cold storage transactions began to heat up. Cotton processing enterprises will lose their focus when they lose money. Although the storage is not high, and the requirements are too strict, the procedures are cumbersome and the turnover is slow.

At present, the quality of seed cotton is not good enough in this county, and the mixing level is serious. It is still a long time to send and store the seeds to promote the seed cotton market. Now the Mingshan ginning factory has the qualifications of storing and storing, but also has the experience of sending and storing, but the cotton produced at present is not up to the level Four. Daxing ginning factory is a 200 type baler, which does not have the qualification of storing and storing. Another one, Xiao Jia Wan Xin you ginning, who has the qualification to reserve storage, is still debugging the equipment. There is no formal production and no experience in storage, nor can it be immediately put into storage.

Combined with these conditions, the seed cotton market of this county is unlikely to enter an active climax in the near future. The purchase processing enterprises in the county also do not high-profile purchase, still cautious operation.

　 Four, cotton farmers' mood

At present, cotton growers are unstable, anxious to wait and see, and reluctant to sell.

Last year, the price of seed cotton was put into operation, and cotton growers got better income. Finally, the cotton processing enterprises were paid. Cotton processing enterprises in last year were almost completely annihilated, especially the small leather roller mill, which was almost bankrupt. The scar hasn't healed yet. How dare we go all the way, so that this year's processing enterprises are careful not to dare to collect large quantities of goods. Private small roller mills are also doing well in cotton production. These cotton farmers, regardless of what they know, only know what has gone up. Cotton should not rise or fall. The expectation for seed cotton prices is still very high. Now the purchase price of seed cotton households is reduced from 4.20 yuan to.3.80 yuan, and no one wants to accept it. Cotton farmers are reluctant to sell.

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Five. Follow-up impact prediction

The later cotton trend will have a significant impact on cotton production for half a year. At present, there is a clear gap between cotton and rice in terms of relative income. Coupled with the intensity of national policy support, the rice production mechanization has been greatly improved, and labor costs have declined. A large number of artificial cotton production needs to be put into production. In addition, this winter and next spring, the government's investment in renovation of various water conservancy facilities and gully network channels will increase, and will greatly stimulate the increase of rice area. Therefore, if cotton prices fail to reach an ideal value, how many cotton crops will be planted next year, for fear that no one can guarantee it.

It is not hard to predict that cotton production will be a vicious cycle of unplanned increase from quantity to price, and that of cotton farmers will eventually be hurt. And the whole cotton industry chain is also very unfavorable.

If the cotton market is to be capital speculation, the right to speak cotton price will still be controlled by big powers. The state will not play a regulatory role on the macro level. This year's cotton industry will still be chaotic and disorderly. Besides the speculators, the whole process of the industrial chain can not become a winner. This situation is not necessarily a happy event for a big textile country, and policymakers should think about it.

　 Six, several suggestions

The market rule is merciless. Under the big market situation, cotton producers and cotton growers must face calmly and accept the vicissitudes of the market. Therefore, it is recommended that:

First, cotton processing enterprises should make full use of the national purchasing and storage policy, grading and processing seed cotton according to the requirements of sending and storing, so as to ensure the benefit of the Tori Katsubo market. We must actively digest and promote sales, reduce inventory pressure and speed up capital turnover for low-level cotton that can not be sent to store, so as to ensure the maximization of cotton farmers' interests.

Two, cotton farmers must recognize the situation and accept market challenges, cooperate with the acquisition processing enterprises to do well "five points", do not use chemical fiber bagged cotton, improve the quality of cotton, and strive to meet the requirements of cotton reserves.

The three is to persuade cotton farmers to lower their expectations, and cotton should be sold vigorously after the cotton prices are stable. The seed cotton, which is not immediately sold, should be kept safe after sunning to avoid rat bite and fire and mildew.

Four, the government functional departments should do something in the acquisition of funds to solve problems for cotton processing enterprises.