How Big Is The Slowdown In Exports Of Footwear And Other Enterprises (Three)
The past of the era of universal prosperity indicates that China's exports still maintain a relatively high growth rate but the rate of decline is slow.
This effect is precisely what the country aims at regulating the export industry, which is conducive to the overall macro-economic grasp of the opportunity for pformation and upgrading.
The "Matthew effect" behind the export prosperity figures, according to customs statistics, China's exports of US $1 trillion and 103 billion 610 million in 1-11, still increased by 26.1%.
Seeing this data, people can not help asking why, in 2007, after the intensive changes in domestic export policies, the frequent occurrence of foreign trade frictions and the sharp rise in costs, the export data still displayed a "boom" scene.
In fact, behind a thriving export growth phenomenon, after many challenges, thousands of small and medium-sized enterprises have been eliminated, and the market has further concentrated on the scale of stronger enterprises.
Last year, when the domestic footwear industry encountered the EU anti-dumping and the recall of the toy industry this year, the changes within the industry coincide with this conclusion.
Take the footwear industry as an example, after last year's EU anti-dumping, the export volume of leather shoes in the EU dropped slightly by 8% in the 1-10 month of this year, but the total export volume increased by 7.2% over the same period last year, which is equivalent to an increase of 16.5% in the export unit price.
At the same time, in the first three quarters of this year, there were about 1000 shoe factories and supporting enterprises in Guangdong in the first quarter of this year. They were closed down or closed up by various courts or courts, or moved elsewhere.
The Asia Shoe Association, which released the data, said that the data were counted by the association through several field surveys in Guangdong. In the recent two or three months, more than 400 small and medium-sized factories in Guangdong have been closed.
The policy of boosting domestic demand has successively introduced, which is expected to achieve "export diversion". Xu Jianfeng, vice president of China manufacturing network, has shown that the phenomenon of "survival of the fittest" in the export industry is not necessarily a bad thing.
Tens of thousands of small and medium-sized enterprises with no competitive strength have gone bankrupt, and export unit prices have risen sharply. The two groups of antidumping comparisons have shown that low prices have gradually faded away from the "made in China" pool of international competition, replacing the added value, brand, technology and quality, which is conducive to the macroeconomic pformation and upgrading.
At the same time, if the domestic demand in the "three carriages" can be effectively lifted, even if the export trade is severely affected by the severe international market, the worry that the export slowdown will affect the economic development will be much smaller.
Recently, a series of policies and trends in the country indicate that domestic demand is being boosted.
On the 22 day, the Ministry of Finance and the Ministry of Commerce jointly announced that the work of "home appliances to the countryside" aimed at expanding rural consumption in China will take the lead in the three provinces of Shandong, Henan and Sichuan.
Farmers in three provinces will be able to buy limited price household appliances specially produced for the rural market, while at the same time, they can apply for subsidies from the financial departments to the "home appliances to the countryside". On the 23 day, the Standing Committee of the National People's Congress began to consider the draft amendment to the personal income tax law, and proposed to raise the tax threshold from the current monthly 1600 yuan to 2000 yuan per month.
It can be expected that although the pace may be slow, domestic demand is expected to become the most powerful "horse drawn carriage" to replace exports and investment in the future.
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