2012, We Must Advance Steadily: How To Control Price Pressure?
Members of the Li Qingyun Committee: the foundation for stabilizing prices is not strong enough. We must remain vigilant against price rebounding.
Li Xiaobo representative: speed up the reform of the price formation mechanism and avoid the ups and downs of prices.
Wang Junzheng representative: regulation should focus on supply and demand, and achieve effective convergence between production and demand.
[small family]
Mr. Yang was a maintenance worker in an enterprise in Beijing. Last year, the biggest feeling was that the basket had sunk.
"In addition to paying rent and buying milk powder for their children, the couple spend most of their monthly income on meat and vegetables."
Mr. Yang sighed that the price of some vegetables doubled even now. The original forty or fifty yuan can buy a week's food in the farmer's market, and now it is enough for three or four days. The family spends more than five hundred or six hundred yuan a month on the "eat".
Price is a barometer of macroeconomy and a livelihood indicator.
In 2011, prices of many commodities deduced the "roller coaster" market. The CPC Central Committee and the State Council stabilized prices as the primary task of macroeconomic regulation and control, and adopted a series of stabilizing prices.
policy
The measures gradually showed that the CPI index gradually declined from August last year, and the CPI index dropped to 4.5% in January this year.
Entering the 2012, we must face the pressure of imported inflation and rising factor cost, and also consider the affordability of residents. How to regulate prices should become a hot topic for delegates and committee members.
Factor cost is rising rigidly, import inflation pressure is big, stable price base is not strong.
"Although the CPI index is down, the foundation of price stability is not strong enough. We must remain vigilant against price rebounding this year."
Li Qingyun, a professor of economics at Peking University, said.
Li Qingyun analyzed that China is the second largest importer of resources, with considerable resources.
Raw material
Rely on the international market.
In the long run, the inflationary pressures on imports are still large.
Despite the possibility of stagflation in China's economy this year, the uncertainty in the recovery of the world economy is rising, and the new round of quantitative easing policy launched by the developed countries will lead to the rise of commodity prices, which may affect China and affect China's prices.
From the domestic perspective, the tight balance pattern of supply and demand of some agricultural products still exists, and the price of labor, land and other factors and environmental costs are on the rise. These factors have increased the pressure of price rise.
Taiyuan
Li Xiaobo, chairman of the iron and Steel Group Co., Ltd., said that with the continuous development of industrialization and urbanization, China has entered the development stage of long-term price rising pressure, and the rising cost of labor, land, resources and environment will be long-term rigid.
Wang Junzheng, Secretary of the Lijiang municipal Party committee of Yunnan Province, said that this round of rising prices is driving the role of agricultural products.
Objectively speaking, China's agricultural foundation is relatively weak, and to some extent, it depends on heaven.
In recent years, frequent natural disasters and extreme weather events have brought many difficulties to production and circulation, exacerbating the contradiction between supply and demand.
Subjectively, influenced by the speculation of human factors, market price expectations are easily strengthened and become an important promoter of price rise.
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"If we look at the price issue correctly, even if the current CPI falls below 5%, it will be a great pressure on people's livelihood."
Li Qingyun said that China's middle and low income groups are huge and have a high price.
wave
Extraordinarily sensitive.
Therefore, at any time, we should not take lightly on stabilizing prices.
There are still many favorable factors for stabilizing prices. The economic strength is strengthened, and the control space is increased.
"Last year, the economy maintained steady and rapid growth, but prices remained stable. This shows that there are favorable factors in China's economic and social work."
Wang Junzheng said.
"Ensuring supply is the foundation of stabilizing prices. At present, the supply ability of agricultural products is continuously improving, and the production capacity of industrial consumables exceeds domestic demand. These are the soil of stabilizing prices."
Wang Junzheng said.
The downturn in the international economic situation also has a positive effect on stabilizing prices.
Li Xiaobo believes that a gradual fall in international prices will have a "stabilizing effect" on domestic prices.
Last year, the fall of domestic coal and iron ore prices was affected by the international market in varying degrees.
Under the background of economic globalization, both government regulators and enterprises should make full use of two domestic and foreign resources and two markets, optimize the allocation of resources, and minimize the negative impact of rising prices.
The more the economy develops, the more room for regulation.
Li Xiaobo said, relying on abundant financial and economic strength, our government can not only increase investment, increase the production and supply of residents' daily necessities, support the development of public utilities and public welfare services, but also increase living subsidies for low-income groups according to the price increase, and reduce the pressure of rising prices.
He believes that during the "12th Five-Year" period, with the labor force
cost
As the demographic dividend gradually ends, the price level will be higher than that of 11th Five-Year, and the social tolerance of price increases should be enhanced.
According to Li Qingyun analysis, historically, when the growth rate of GDP in China reached above 14%, the growth rate of generalized money (M2) was only 16% - 17%. From the perspective of economic development law, the growth rate of less than 16% could fully support the rapid economic growth.
"We should consider gradually liberating monopoly industries, mobilizing private capital access, and easing monetary circulation problems without increasing the supply of money."
Improve the mechanism, stabilize prices, and make more efforts to protect supply.
Wang Junzheng believes that the price control measures in 2012 are different from those in 2011. We should make more efforts to protect the supply. We should not simply use inflation to tighten up the inflation so that we can achieve effective convergence between production and demand.
"Price control should not be just a temporary act. The means to stabilize prices should not be achieved only through government intervention.
The corresponding price formation mechanism, market price supervision mechanism and social security regulation mechanism should be formulated and perfected, so as to avoid the negative effects brought by the sharp rise and fall of prices.
Li Xiaobo said.
Li Xiaobo suggested that we should accelerate the reform of the price formation mechanism of energy resources and the mechanism of the formation of agricultural products price, and standardize the hearing mechanism of making and adjusting the price of public utilities, the price of public service charge services, and the commodity price of natural monopoly.
The key to price stability lies in mechanism innovation.
Wang Junzheng introduced that the consumption price index of Lijiang residents was 4.6% last year, lower than that of the whole province and the national average level. This is closely related to the innovation of a series of mechanisms in Lijiang: starting from the reality of building an international fine tourist destination, exploring and establishing a tourism price adjustment fund; integrating the main body of market regulation, such as the development and Reform Commission, price, industry and commerce, resolutely investigating and dealing with price violations; and adopting government subsidies to sell parity vegetables and meat and stabilize market prices.
Li Qingyun believes that while regulating prices, the government should also focus on increasing the income of residents, improving the social security system, and doing everything possible to reduce the impact of rising prices on the low and middle income groups.
"We should constantly improve the response plan for abnormal fluctuations in market prices, and rationally grasp the timing, pace and intensity of government regulation and control."
Wang Junzheng said that we should work hard to work out a comprehensive work plan to reduce circulation costs, and support the construction of vegetable circulation system and warehousing and logistics facilities for agricultural products.
Prices are stable, people's minds are fixed and society is safe.
Delegate and committee members said that although inflation has entered a downward channel, the overall level of stabilizing prices should continue to be an important task of macroeconomic regulation and control in 2012.
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