Why Textile Price Index Continues To Decline?
The near future Fabric Overview of the general market situation:
In recent years, China's textile market has been sluggish, and summer fabrics are still falling. Due to the weak international market demand, foreign trade textile and garment export orders have been poor, resulting in some buyers wait-and-see psychological thickening, the traditional market, some spot traders more preferential shipping continues to increase.
However, some of the former shops and factory stores and the scale operation of the fabric market have been continuously refurbished. The autumn fabrics have been launched with many varieties, and the value of new fabrics added to the road has been boosted. The marketing advantages of differentiated fabrics are still preserved.
textile Major price index analysis:
The 20120618 price index of China Keqiao textile index closed at 104.88 points, down 0.29% compared with the previous period.
The current price index fell 1.76% compared with the beginning of the year, down 4.70% last year. Judging from the first class classification, the price index of raw materials and home textiles decreased and the total price index declined slightly. However, the price index of grey fabrics, clothing fabrics, clothing accessories and other accessories increased unequal, which restricted the decline of the general price index.
Current issue price index Operation analysis:
1. international oil prices continue to oscillate, polyester raw material prices are rising and falling, cotton prices continue to show a downward trend. Recent international crude oil prices continue to shock, upstream polyester raw materials PTA, MEG market price shocks rebound, such as PTA East China market lower spot negotiable price in June 8th in 7130 yuan / ton, to June 15th in 7230 yuan / ton; MEG East China market lower spot negotiable price in June 8th in 6430 yuan / ton, June 15th to 6500 yuan / ton; Jiangsu and Zhejiang semi light polyester chip cash acceptance low negotiation price June 8th in 9170 yuan / ton, June 15th to 8700 yuan / ton, the price center of gravity continues to show a downward trend. Domestic cotton prices continue to show a downward trend, for example, domestic 328 grade cotton in June 8th received 18473 yuan / ton, until June 15th, 18421 yuan / ton, down 52 yuan / ton; 229 cotton in June 8th reported 19575 yuan / ton, June 15th to 19541 yuan / ton, down 34 yuan / ton.
2. polyester market continues to show a downward trend. Recently, the polyester market of Qian Qing raw material market of China Textile City has continued to show a downward trend compared with the previous stage, and the atmosphere of market turnover is not good. The price of polyester factories has declined, and turnover has continued to show a downward trend. The stock rate of polyester factories is still increasing, the quotation continues to fall, the market continues to be depressed, and the sales pressure of polyester is greater. Production and marketing of polyester enterprises continue to be depressed, most of the enterprises are below 60% of production and marketing, and the sales rate of individual enterprises is around 30%~40%. At present, the production and sales of downstream weaving and bomb companies are still in the doldrums, because the downstream orders are still insufficient, the downtime rate continues to rise, sales continue to be sluggish, the market price of polyester market continues to drop, wait-and-see mentality is thickened, raw material procurement is more cautious, polyester Market is still weak. In June 15th, influenced by the stabilization of the peripheral market and the recovery of the PTA futures market, the atmosphere of enquiry in the polyester market has improved. The upstream raw materials have stopped falling, and the mentality of the lower reaches is gradually showing. However, downstream demand is still in the doldrums, the start-up rate continues to decline, rigid demand is limited, and the procurement of polyester is still relatively inadequate. {page_break}
3. cotton yarn quotations remain deadlocked. Recently, spot prices in the upstream cotton market continued to show a downward trend, and spot trading was scarce. The market turnover was still slack, the bad factors continued to increase, prices continued to fall, and the wait-and-see mentality of the downstream enterprises increased. The domestic cotton yarn market is still in the doldrums. The market participants are becoming more mindless. The turnover is still in the doldrums, prices continue to run out, and the pressure on factory inventory continues to rise. Because the downstream textile mill orders are still difficult to be optimistic, the pressure of funds is bigger, the deficit area has increased locally, the production rate has increased, the market confidence has been frustrated, the procurement is more cautious, the sales are deserted, and the quotation of the cotton mill is still weak. Xiao Shaochun cotton yarn market is slack, turnover continues to decline, the market is still weak, downstream businesses replenish demand, market traders replenishment rate is still declining. The sales situation of pure cotton yarn in Qian Qing raw material market of China Textile City is not good, and the overall market turnover is declining. China Light Textile City Qian Qing raw material market 21S pure cotton high yarn, Shandong Tiangong produce / first class June 8th mainstream quotation 25000 yuan / ton, to June 15th mainstream quotation 25000 yuan / ton. 32S cotton knitted yarn, Shandong Tiangong top / first class product in June 8th, the mainstream quotation was 24500 yuan / ton, until June 15th, the mainstream quotation was 24500 yuan / ton.
4. gray cloth turnover slightly pushed up. Recently, the turnover of grey fabric in Textile City has been increasing slightly. Since the recent years, the traditional textile market in the textile market has increased in the number of creative fabrics, and the sales volume of some pre shop factories and scale stores has increased. Sales of fabrics continued to expand in the autumn, and the rate of stocking of the market operators increased. However, the turnover of some small and medium-sized business households was still relatively insufficient, resulting in a slight trend in the turnover of grey fabrics. Recently, the turnover of chemical fiber fabric and blended fiber grey fabric showed a slight upward trend. The price was stable, and the Bureau slightly recovered, pulling the price index of grey fabric up slightly. However, the turnover of natural fiber grey fabric showed a slight downward trend, and the price fell slightly in the steady price, which restricted the pushing rate of grey cloth price index.
5., the price index of clothing fabrics has picked up slightly, and the turnover of autumn fabric market has continued to increase. In the recent Light Textile City, the number of clothing fabrics has increased in autumn. In terms of the overall market, most cloth companies and large scale business outlets are still relatively large. The number of spot goods has increased locally, the autumn fabrics have been launched locally, and orders have been carried out smoothly. In the autumn, the number of listed clothing fabrics has increased, and spot listing has also increased. In recent days, the volume of transactions has increased, and the volume of trading between North and South has increased. The purchase of many varieties of coloring and coloring patterns of autumn fabrics is quite active. When creative fabrics are purchased, customers can place orders in bulk. Chinese and foreign businessmen increased the number of orders for the autumn fabrics, and subscribed in small and medium quantities. After dyeing, Ying, embroidery, bronzing, coating and other post-processing deep processed fabrics, to improve fabric quality for the purpose and create a new style of products, improve the added value of products. The polyester fabric, polyester cotton fabric, polyester and wool fabric, polyester and viscose fabric, polyester / nylon fabric, viscose fabric, nylon fabric and fashion fabrics in garment fabrics showed an uneven trend of pushing up, and the price trend steadily increased slightly, driving the fabric price index up slightly.
6., the introduction of various incentive policies to encourage enterprises to continue to strengthen foreign trade. In order to speed up the transformation of development mode and promote the sound and rapid development of Shaoxing's open economy, Shaoxing county has formulated special opinions on Further Strengthening open economic work, encouraging enterprises to further expand the total volume of foreign trade and self export, actively explore international markets, guard against foreign trade risks, and further optimize the service environment for foreign trade development. Since the beginning of this year, the market situation of international trade is becoming more and more serious, which is manifested by the partial transfer of international orders, the decrease of export profits, the increase of international trade disputes, and the increase of trade barriers. To this end, Shaoxing county will continue to encourage enterprises to further expand the total volume of foreign trade self operated exports. The export volume of the independent accounting enterprises that exported more than US $10 million and above will be rewarded RMB 20 thousand yuan over the previous year's newly added part of the total amount of US $1 million, and the key foreign trade companies should be encouraged to purchase local products. When the acquisition of local products for export amounted to US $5 million or more, the new amount will be rewarded RMB 10 thousand yuan for every 1 million US dollars. At the same time, Shaoxing county will also give different awards to the export volume of processing trade, which will increase to a certain proportion. The export of new and high technology and new industries will reach a certain proportion, and every household will reward them.
Post market price index forecast:
It is estimated that the traditional textile and trading areas of the textile city will continue to increase, and the sales of creative fabrics will continue to be smooth. The autumn clothing will continue to be the main growth point of the sales volume in the market. However, marketing continues to differentiate, and the spot sale of summer fabrics will continue to tend to ease. The running volume of public fabrics will continue to be insufficient. Some small and medium business households will still have relatively limited market turnover.
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