Textile Index Analysis Of Keqiao, China In August 2012
Output rises and sales increase.
index
Ring pick up
Analysis of prosperity index in August 2012
In August 2012, the overall prosperity index closed at 1281.71 points, an increase of 1.60% over July, and an increase of 7.61% over the beginning of last year, up 4.94% from the same period last year.
In August, the business climate index rose and the production confidence index rebounded.
In August, the business climate index closed at 1707.03 points, up 1.79% from July.
The company's production confidence index closed at 844.85 points, up 5.14% from July.
1. the indicators of scale and efficiency in the production boom index are rebounded, and the index of confidence has rebounded.
Under the current foreign trade situation, the pformation and upgrading of the textile industry is imminent.
Shaoxing's textile and garment enterprises have been completely pformed in the crisis and the industrial upgrading has been quietly completed.
The pformation forced by the market will reposition the industry.
In August, the indicators of scale, efficiency and confidence in the production prosperity index showed a trend of rising trend compared with July.
2. raw materials, grey fabrics, clothing fabrics, clothing accessories, production boom index unequal upgrades, home textile production boom index fell.
In August, the raw material production boom index closed at 1176.09 points, an increase of 3.10% over July; the grey fabric production boom index closed at 2608.34 points, up 0.17% compared with July; the clothing fabric production index closed at 1369.57 points, 5.61% higher than July; home textile production index closed at 1183.76 points, down 1.38% compared with July; apparel accessories production boom index at 1851.44 points, 3.91% increase over July.
3. high-end talents crack the printing and dyeing problems and lead green printing and dyeing.
In recent years, Shaoxing county based itself on building "Silicon Valley of textile talents", introducing more than 250 high-level talents, and more than 50 high-tech projects in the printing and dyeing industry, which were founded or led by high-level talents, involving many fields such as sewage sludge treatment technology, dyeing and finishing technology, fine printing and dyeing, automatic control software, advanced dyeing and printing technology and so on.
Such as the national "thousand person program" candidate, Professor Hu Jinlian, Professor of Hong Kong Polytech University, developed the thermosensitive shape memory textile finishing agent technology, the bio trickling filter technology developed by Professor Kuai Linping of Shanghai Jiao Tong University, the intelligent membrane material developed by Professor Xiao Changfa, vice president of Tianjin University of Technology and chief scientist of water resources, have settled in Shaoxing County, providing powerful talents and technological support for effectively solving the long-standing problems of sludge, sewage, exhaust gas and other printing and dyeing industries.
During the "12th Five-Year" period, Shaoxing County accelerated pformation and upgrading, vigorously implemented the printing and dyeing industry gathering and upgrading project, put forward the strategic goal of developing "green printing and dyeing", and striving to make more than 80% of the printing and dyeing capacity of the county in the Binhai Industrial Area through 3 to 5 years' efforts, and the printing and dyeing enterprises reached the leading level in terms of single energy consumption, unit water consumption and unit emission.
After the completion of the "green printing and dyeing" base, the land will be reduced by more than 2300 mu, reducing the discharge of sewage 15%~30%, eliminating the backward printing and dyeing capacity of 30%, and the energy consumption per unit added value will decrease by more than 9% annually.
Two, in August, the market circulation index rose and the market circulation confidence index fell.
In August, the market circulation index closed at 975.48 points, up 0.30% compared with July, and the market circulation confidence index closed at 950.66 points, down 1.63% compared with July.
1. the index of scale and efficiency of circulation prosperity index is higher than that of the index, and the index of confidence is decreasing.
In August, the market turnover of China Textile City (600790, stock bar) continued to increase slightly, while the turnover of traditional fabrics in the traditional market increased slightly compared with that in July.
2. the market circulation prosperity index of grey fabrics, home textiles, clothing accessories and so on has been increased unequal, and the circulation index of raw materials and clothing fabrics has declined.
In August, the raw material market circulation index closed at 776.88 points, down 0.33% compared with July; the grey fabric market circulation index closed at 859.11 points, up 4.59% compared with July; the clothing fabric market circulation index closed at 1192.27 points, fell 1.12% compared with July; the home textile market circulation index closed at 1003.35 points, increased 1.87% compared with July; the clothing accessories market circulation prosperity index at 1694.49 points, increased by 1.72% compared with July.
3, the differentiation of garment fabrics is obvious, and sales of many kinds of popular fabrics are showing weakness.
From the external demand, trade environment and operating cost in August, the foreign trade situation is very grim. It is difficult to make a big difference. In August, the local sales volume of marketable clothing fabrics increased.
However, the marketing of popular fabrics showed a weak trend, and some small and medium-sized business outlets were relatively inadequate.
It is expected that the 9 prosperity index will show a slight upward trend in 2012.
The industry expects: by the year September, the traditional textile market in China will continue to sell well in the traditional market, and the sales of autumn clothing will show a certain trend of increase. The turnover of home textile fabrics will also show a certain trend of increase. In September, the turnover of fabrics will show a trend of concussion, and the sales of traditional textile market will increase day by day in late September.
Weak demand in the international market, foreign trade marketing volume fell
Analysis of foreign trade index in August 2012
In August 2012, the foreign trade prosperity index closed at 1365.77 points, down 4.94% from July, down 18.89% from the beginning of last year, down 37.42% last year, and the foreign trade price index closed at 109.14 points, down 12.30% compared with July, and fell 12.26% at the beginning of last year, down 26.04% last year.
The confidence index of foreign trade closed at 997.67 points, down 1.20% from July.
1. In August 2012, the index of foreign trade prosperity showed a downward trend.
1. shrinking international market demand, orders continue to shift.
Some enterprises are afraid to take orders as a result of the increase of comprehensive cost.
Some low-end orders continue to pfer to Southeast Asian countries, and the trend of pfer is more obvious.
2. the reduction of orders for small and micro export enterprises is more prominent.
With the continuous weakening of the international market, many malpractices accumulated in China's textile industry are concentrated. This year, small and medium enterprises in textile industry have more difficulties, especially in export processing small and micro enterprises.
China's textile and garment export demand and competition pressure will be more prominent, the number of exports will be low or negative growth.
3. traditional industries such as textiles have excess capacity in external demand.
In recent years, China's foreign trade growth has been declining due to the impact of the international environment.
Under the background of increasing export pressure, there is also an industry with excess capacity, which deserves more attention.
China's textile and other traditional industries demand excess capacity.
The traditional industries such as the textile industry are weak in external demand, and the added value of export products is low. They face fierce competition in the international market.
4. the textile export market is still showing signs of recession.
In August, the starting rate of textile terminal enterprises remained low, and export demand continued to slump, resulting in insufficient market confidence.
In the second half of this year, the downturn in textile export market has changed little.
At the same time, some export enterprises are also facing many unfavorable factors, especially small and medium-sized textile enterprises are still faced with problems such as poor financing, unstable number of orders, difficulties in pformation, and so on.
5. Volkswagen products continue to overcapacity, the market forced pformation and upgrading of the industry.
In the second half of this year, the domestic textile industry is still showing a certain predicament, and the mass product industry continues to overcapacity.
But part of the regulatory model that has been prepared is that Shaoxing textile and garment enterprises have been completely pformed in the crisis and the industrial upgrading has been quietly completed. They have used their funds in the renovation of equipment and the development of new markets.
We will continue to break through innovation and pform the textile industry from big to strong.
The pformation forced by the market will relocate the industry. In the process, local governments and relevant departments can formulate corresponding policy guidelines to help enterprises find their own direction from the macro perspective.
The 6. part
textile
Exports fell.
The foreign trade prosperity index of cotton and its blended fabrics, hemp and its blended fabrics, chemical filament fabrics, chemical short fiber fabrics, tufted fabrics, household textile fabrics and knitted Crochet fell unevenly.
Two. In August 2012, the price index of foreign trade showed a downward trend.
1. Southeast Asian countries continue to compete for China's textile export market share.
Southeast Asian countries such as Vietnam and Bangladesh are competing for China's textile export market far cheaper than China.
In the Southeast Asian countries and other countries, squeezing out low cost labor force, some of Shaoxing's textile and garment enterprises and Textile City textile products have to take part in the price reduction, and the profit margins of the public products are still relatively compressed, pulling the foreign trade price index down in August.
The 2. part of the price of textile exports showed a downward trend.
The foreign trade price index of this period of hemp and its blended fabrics, chemical filament fabric, chemical short fiber fabric, tufted fabric, embroidery, curtain curtain, and dipped, coated and coated fabrics decreased unequal, and the price index of foreign trade general category showed a downward trend.
The foreign trade prosperity index is expected to rise slightly in September 2012.
The international situation is not optimistic, the overcapacity of the industry, the depression of foreign trade, the increase of labor force and production cost and so on have caused the present situation. At present, the textile industry still has a process of shuffling.
This year, through the operation of overseas offices, Shaoxing county will also integrate the creativity and the market through the world's largest textile trading platform, and promote the upgrading of the value of creative textiles and guide the pformation and upgrading of the industry.
Sluggish marketing price index declines slightly
Brief analysis of the 20120903 price index
First, the general situation of the recent fabric market is summarized:
Recently, the traditional marketing of China Textile City has been stagnant, and the number of subscribed subscriptions has declined due to insufficient market subscriptions.
Thin fabric sales continued to shrink, the volume of products sold in the public decreased, and prices remained stable.
But the marketable fabric and knitted fabric interact with each other, and a variety of autumn creative fabric marketing continues to expand.
The autumn and winter fabrics have been launched with many varieties, and the value of new fabrics added to the road has been boosted. The marketing advantages of differentiated fabrics are still preserved.
Two, textile major price index analysis:
The 20120903 price index of China Keqiao textile index closed at 105.12 points, down 0.11% compared with the previous period.
The current price index fell 1.54% compared with the beginning of the year, down 3.24% last year.
This period shows that the price index of grey fabrics, clothing fabrics, clothing accessories and other accessories has dropped from the first class classification, and the overall price index has declined slightly.
However, the price index of raw materials and home textiles increased unequal, which restricted the decline of the general price index.
Three. Analysis of the operation of the current price index:
1. the international oil price shocks rose and the price of polyester raw materials increased. Cotton prices continued to show an upward trend.
Recent international crude oil price shocks upward, upstream polyester raw materials PTA, MEG market price shocks rise.
2. polyester market showed a trend of finishing sideways.
Recently, most enterprises still opted for price quotations, and the polyester market was relatively deadlocked. But there are still preferential measures to deal with the actual paction price. The momentum of market sales has obviously slowed down. The turnover is still insufficient compared with the previous stage. The local sales of polyester market are showing signs of weakness. The production and marketing rate of polyester enterprises has dropped, and the decline rate of POY silk production and sales rate has increased.
The stock rate of polyester enterprises has increased, and stock pressure has gradually increased.
Because polyester polyester market is hot and cold, upstream polyester raw material market is slightly stronger, and it still has certain support strength for polyester cost.
Moreover, the price of raw materials will be introduced to the polyester market.
However, orders for downstream textile mills are still relatively insufficient, and demand for polyester has not yet risen significantly.
3. cotton yarn quotation basically deadlocked paction is still plain.
Recently, the price of the upstream cotton market has continued to rise, but due to the scarcity of downstream orders, the mindset of the pure cotton yarn market is not good enough.
The cotton mill still maintains measures to cut down production, and prices remain stable.
Market traders are still more cautious about raw material procurement, and the market turnover has not improved significantly with the sales coming in.
China Light Textile City Qian Qing raw material market 21S pure cotton knitted yarn Anhui Huayang produced / first class August 24th main quotation 23500 yuan / ton, until August 31st the mainstream quoted price 23500 yuan / ton (the price basically deadlock).
32S cotton knitted yarn Anhui Huayang top / first class August 24th mainstream offer at 25000 yuan / ton, until August 31st, the mainstream quotation is 25000 yuan / ton (price basically deadlocked).
4. grey fabrics fell slightly.
Recently, the turnover of blended fiber fabric and chemical fiber grey fabric showed a slight downward trend, and the price dropped slightly. The turnover of natural fiber grey cloth showed a certain trend of decline, and the price fell slightly locally, pulling the price index of grey fabric slightly down.
5., the fabric price index has dropped slightly, and the running volume of the public fabric has continued to run short.
Recently, the fabric market of textile city is stagnant, and the volume of mass fabric continues to run short.
Pure cotton fabric, pure linen fabric, polyester fabric, polyester and cotton fabric, polyester wool fabric, viscose fabric, viscose fabric, viscose fabric, linen fabric, Jinmian fabric and fashion fabric are showing an uneven trend of decline.
6. domestic textile market turnover increased locally, curtain window business declined slightly.
Recently, the home textile market in the textile city has registered a partial increase, but the curtain window business has declined slightly, and the price of the popular fabric has stabilized slightly.
Curtain cloth foreign trade demand batch continues to be insufficient, traditional market window gauze, embroidered window screening, printing window screening and hanging samples continue to increase, but spot listing is relatively limited, most of the pactions are interrupted by small and medium volume pactions, the paction price is basically stable, but the local volume is relatively insufficient.
7. in the first half of this year, 34 new permanent foreign companies were stationed in Shaoxing.
According to the latest statistics of Shaoxing County Commerce Bureau, there are 34 permanent representative offices in Shaoxing counties in the first half of this year, an increase of 15 over the same period last year, an increase of 78.9% over the same period last year, 964 new foreign-funded representative offices, and 14 new foreign-funded commercial enterprises, and 173 foreign-invested commercial enterprises.
As the newly established Wei Shan Textile Co., Ltd. as long as exports of textiles to South American countries, the original office in Keqiao has been established for 8 years. This year, the newly established trading companies are mainly designed to expand business needs and facilitate export pactions.
India's global trading company, Shaoxing representative office, has also been set up for 11 years, mainly exported to the Middle East, South America, Indonesia and other regions and countries.
The agency's Representative Office relies on the textile market platform of the whole light textile city, and the company's customer resources are increasing year by year.
The advantages of Keqiao textile cluster are obvious, cheap and fine, and there are many factories and trading companies here.
Four, the post market price index forecast:
Expected market outlook
Textile City
In the traditional trading area and the corporatization trading area, the autumn fabric will continue to move smoothly, the sales will continue to expand, the price is basically stable, and the local part of the creative fabrics will show a slight upward trend.
However, the running volume of public fabrics is still relatively insufficient, and the price trend is still weak.
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