It Is Expected That The Market Will Continue To Decline.
At present, the economic environment is still stagnant, business expectations have been significantly reduced, and market confidence has been further suppressed, seriously restricting. spandex The price trend of products has gradually dropped the focus of the transaction. Now the price of spandex 20D market has dropped to 54800 yuan / ton, 40D is still weak at 44300 yuan / ton, and the overall trading atmosphere is loosening. As a result of a series of bad factors such as the poor upstream materials of the spandex and the lack of downstream demand, the spandex market is expected to get rid of the fate of falling.
Judging from the raw material market, the recent BDO market of raw materials looks at the atmosphere, and the turnover is not optimistic. The global economy continues to slow down and weak demand, so that buyers and sellers inventory pressure is greater, the expected market is obviously insufficient, BDO producers and suppliers have been forced to cut prices. At present, the bulk market price of bulk cargo in the BDO market in eastern China is around 14900-15200 yuan / ton, the actual negotiating price is around 14500-14600 yuan / ton, the small negotiated price is 14500-15000 yuan / ton, the barrel loading price is about 16000-16200 yuan / ton, and the overall price is weaker than before. BDO prices continue to decline, making the PTMEG market rising space limited, the market price is still maintained at 26000-28500 yuan / ton, downstream purchasing sentiment is still in the doldrums. Plus another raw material, pure MDI price trend is not very clear, low season demand is the main reason for its decline. Spanning the atmosphere, the spandex cost surface is hard to get favorable support.
From the perspective of downstream industry dynamics, the load rate of the device in the circular machine area is 45%. Ningbo The total load of circular machinery enterprises is less than 4 due to the shortage of orders and the expected shortage. The total load of the Zhangjiagang and surrounding circular machines will be reduced to 4 because of the continued weakness of terminal demand. The market load of the equipment in the field of yarn packaging is expected to be 65%. The market of Xiao Shaw package is expected to perform poorly. Most manufacturers are cautiously batting down, causing the basic load of the enterprises to be reduced to 4. The loading rate of the equipment in the lace area is 48%, and the lace of the Changle lace is less than 4-5 due to insufficient terminal demand. Moreover, the load rate of the equipment in the field of cotton bags and lace fields is 68%.
From the demand market, spandex's new production capacity has basically been completed, but digestion takes a certain time. The sluggish demand has become one of the drag factors for the price of spandex. Many spandex mainstream manufacturers only continue to carry out pre orders, purchasing atmosphere is still cautious and wait-and-see mentality. Moreover, most businesses are expected to gradually increase the conventional textile production and sales in the off-season, and the manufacturers' mentality of replenishment is more cautious. There is no substantial change in downstream demand, so the price of spandex and industry profits are still lingering low.
In other ways, entering the 2012, textile clothing The total investment in fixed assets decreased from January to March, and the fixed assets investment in textile industry dropped to less than 20%. The investment in fixed assets of textile, clothing and apparel industry dropped to about 22%, just higher than the lowest level in 2009. Therefore, the spandex industry is still not ideal.
To sum up, it is expected that the future market trend of spandex will be downward.
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