Analysis Of The Development Trend Of China'S Garment Industry In 2013
< p > < strong > production: the total output is basically the same as 2011, < /strong > < /p >
< p > 2012 1~12 months, the growth rate of Enterprises above designated size was slowing down, and the output of enterprises under the scale was reduced, and the total output of clothing was basically the same as that of 2011. In the eastern region, the growth rate is slower, the central and western regions are growing faster, and the three northeastern provinces are growing rapidly. < /p >
< p > < strong > yield was basically the same as 2011, < /strong > /p >
< p > according to the statistics of the National Bureau of statistics, in 2012, enterprises above Designated Size completed 26 billion 728 million garment production in 2012, an increase of 6.20% over the same period last year. Among them, 13 billion 510 million knitted garments and 13 billion 219 million knitted garments, respectively, increased by 7.73% and 4.68% over the same period in 2011, and the growth rate of production gradually slowed down. < /p >
< p > at the same time, according to the data of 15 key garment industry clusters tracked by the China clothing association, the number of enterprises under the scale of shutting down and reducing production is not less than 10%, and the output is reduced. < /p >
< p > in the whole industry, the total output of clothing in 2012 is basically the same as that in 2011. < /p >
< p > < strong > Northeast China, the output of the three provinces has increased rapidly, and the eastern region has been relatively stable. < /strong > < /p >
From P to sub regional perspective, the output of three provinces in Northeast China increased rapidly in 2012 1~11, up 37.6% over the same period last year. The central and western regions maintained relatively fast growth, and their output increased by 13.54% and 12.55% respectively over the same period. Output growth in the eastern region was relatively stable, up 4.03% over the same period last year. < /p >
< p > from 2011 to November, the output growth of the eastern region slowed down, and the proportion gradually decreased. In 2012, the output of 1~11 months decreased by 2.45 percentage points compared with the same period in 2011. In the central and western regions and the three northeastern provinces, the growth rate of production increased by quarter, and its proportion increased by quarter. The proportion of output in 2012 1~11 month increased by 1.48, 0.13 and 0.17 percentage points respectively compared with that in the same period of 2011 in 2011. It shows that industries continue to transfer from eastern to other areas. < /p >
< p > < strong > Hebei and Liaoning, the output growth is faster than < /strong > /p >
< p > Guangdong, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Shandong and Fujian are still the top five provinces of garment production in China, and the output of Hebei and Liaoning has increased rapidly. < /p >
According to the provincial and provincial level, the top five provinces of clothing production in China are still Guangdong, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Shandong and Fujian provinces. The total output of the five provinces accounts for 74.46% of the total output of the country, which is 2.33 percentage points lower than that of 2011 and the share of the five provinces has decreased. < /p >
< p > according to the statistics of the National Bureau of statistics, the output of Hebei increased by 84.13% in the month of 1~12, and the output of Liaoning increased by 48.06% over the same period last year. Compared with other provinces and municipalities, the growth rate is relatively fast. < /p >
< p > < strong > Investment: the decline narrowed the industry rebound, < /strong > /p >
< p > according to the National Bureau of statistics, in 2012 1~12, China's garment industry above Designated Size Enterprises actually invested 261 billion 92 million yuan, an increase of 25.97% over the same period in 2011, an increase of 15 percentage points. The two to fourth quarter new projects in 2012 were 156.82%, 52.79% and 28.19%, respectively, which narrowed compared with the year-on-year decline in 2011. < /p >
< p > < strong > benefit: polarization: < /strong > /p >
< p > 2012, the overall profit level of Enterprises above designated size was basically stable, and the deficit area gradually narrowed down; all the indicators below the scale showed a more obvious downward trend, and there was a big gap with enterprises above Designated Size; and the continuous rise in the prices of production factors has also become a major factor in compressing the profit margins of enterprises. < /p >
< p > < strong > regulation Enterprises: the overall profit level is basically stable, and the loss is gradually narrowed down to < /strong > /p >
< p > according to the statistics of the National Bureau of statistics, in 2012 1~11, there were 14501 enterprises in the clothing industry above the scale (the main business income was 20 million yuan and above), the total main business income was 1 trillion and 512 billion 153 million yuan, an increase of 11.30% over the same period last year, and the total profit was 82 billion 902 million yuan, up 7.48% over the same period last year. 1~11 loss of 2132 enterprises in January, the loss of 14.70%, as shown below, the loss of the face gradually narrowed. The number of employees reached 4 million 332 thousand and 600, down 2.91% from the same period last year. < /p >
< p > < strong > 2012 1~11 month, the efficiency of Enterprises above Designated Size > /strong > /p >
< p > the overall sales profit of the industry is 5.48%. At the same time, the four basic capabilities of enterprises are basically stable, with a slight decline. < /p >
< p > according to the statistics of the National Bureau of statistics, the number of employees in Enterprises above designated size decreased by 2.91% over the same period of 1~11 months. The per capita output value and per capita business income increased by 16.28% and 14.63% respectively. < /p >
< p > < strong > below the scale of enterprises, the index declines significantly less than /strong > /p >
< p > from the China Apparel Association's tracking and research of 377 enterprises, there is a big gap between the economic indicators of small and medium-sized garment manufacturing enterprises below scale and enterprises above Designated Size in the 1~3 quarter of 2012. The average profit rate of operating rate, gross profit margin and new orders decreased slightly compared with the same period in 2011, falling by 3.25%, 1.25% and 0.45% respectively. The remaining economic indicators are not ideal. < /p >
< p > *: follow up 377 enterprises, of which 139 are below the scale, 238 are above scale, 215 are reported by cluster, and 162 are reported by the association. < /p >
< p > < strong > the prices of production factors continue to rise, and constantly compress the profit margins of enterprises < /strong > /p >
< p > < strong > (1) raw material costs continue to rise < /strong > < /p >
< p > from Keqiao's < a target= "_blank" href= "http://www.91se91.com/" > textile < /a > clothing fabric category and < a target= "_blank" href= "_blank" > clothing > "accessories" category price index can be seen, since 2011, clothing accessories price continued high and continued to rise. < /p >
< p > (< strong > 2) high labor cost < /strong > < /p >
< p > labor and labor costs have also become a major problem before enterprises. < /p >
According to the data of 377 enterprises in China clothing association in 2012, nearly 75% of the enterprises below the scale increased labor costs. < p > The accumulative amount of per capita wage of enterprises under the scale is 27 thousand yuan / person, which is similar to that of Enterprises above designated size. Compared with the same period in 2011, the wage level of the enterprises surveyed increased, and the growth of Enterprises above designated size was more obvious. < /p >
< p > < strong > 2013 outlook < /strong > < /p >.
< p > outlook 2013, although there is still greater uncertainty, the global economy is expected to have a moderate recovery trend. China's economy will also continue to rebound in the three or four quarter of 2012. On this basis, the situation of China's garment industry will be better than 2012. < /p >
< p > strong > domestic sales: the second half of the year has a more obvious growth < /strong > < /p >
< p > 2012, the domestic economic fundamentals were good, and the development was steady and steady. In the three or four quarter, the macro-economy stabilized and improved. Combined with the China clothing association's survey of the 2013 spring and summer ordering meeting of some garment enterprises, we can make a comprehensive judgement: in the first quarter of 2013, domestic clothing sales will benefit from holiday factors, but it is still difficult to improve in the first half of the year. In the second half of this year, as the economic recovery and consumer stimulation policies gradually show results, it will play a positive role in promoting domestic consumption growth, and clothing consumption will also show a gradual upward trend. < /p >
< p > strong > export: tend to be optimistic < /strong > < /p >
< p > 2013, the US economy is expected to recover, and the retail market will pick up. The retailers' replenishment will stimulate export growth to the US; the EU's overall economy will be difficult to pick up; exports to the EU will continue to grow negatively, or will be narrowed; the Japanese economy is expected to usher in a revival in 2013, but there is a big uncertainty about Japanese exports. Although emerging market share of exports is relatively low, the growth rate is significant. In 2013, the export growth of Chinese clothing will be stimulated to a certain extent in 2013. < /p >
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