Analysis Of "China Shengze Silk Chemical Fiber Index" (May 4Th Week)
< p > below is the price trend of chemical fiber fabrics, chemical fibers and cocoons and silk products: < /p >
< p > < strong > 1, from < /strong > a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/" > strong > chemical fiber fabric < /strong > /a > strong > market situation < < > > > > > > > > strong > > > > > > > strong > > > strong >
< p > the overall trading atmosphere of Shengze's inbound market has dropped compared with the previous week, with a slight decline in volume.
Judging from the volume of China's silk net testing, the turnover is about 3 million 180 thousand meters on Sunday.
The sale of home textile fabrics is weak in the market, and the fabrics such as peach skin and suede fabrics are generally performing goods, but the knitted and polyester / nylon fabrics are slightly better.
< /p >
< p > from the aspect of materials, the overall price of raw materials market is generally stable this week.
Conventional plain grain is affected by the decline in polyester prices, and some prices have been lowered. For example, the price of 170T polyester taffeta market is about 1.30 yuan / meter; the price of semi spinning spring Asian textiles has been stable for a week, and the volume of shipments has changed little. The light textile fabric has been stabilized this week, and the market quotation has been smoothed out last week, of which the quoted price of 210T light spinning is about 1.50 yuan / meter; while five satins are running smoothly this week, and the downstream purchases are mostly used for bedding items, and the turnover volume has risen slightly.
At present, there is no positive news in the whole market. The stock in the market is relatively higher than that in the same period last year. The market is unlikely to increase. The market is expected to be stable next week.
< /p >
< p > > from < a href= "http://www.91se91.com > > fabric > /a", the volume of fabric market has dropped slightly this week, and the price has generally stabilized.
From the perspective of trading varieties, conventional chemical fiber fabrics are shrinking, such as spring sub spinning, polyester taffeta and nylon spinning. The market demand is more obvious, and the purchasing enthusiasm of the downstream is not high. Therefore, the price will be reduced by 0.05 yuan / meter, such as the price of 300T nears spinning is 3.95 yuan / m. the peach skin fabric is not much traded this week, the overall shipment is not smooth, the price is stable and small, and the sales of taislong fabric are active this week, and the market outlook is expected to be better.
In addition, with the enhancement of environmental awareness, biological decomposition fiber will become the mainstream of future fiber.
In view of the advantages and disadvantages of cotton and polyester, the modified yarn of polyester yarn, "cool silk", came into being.
It is understood that the fabric is made of 75D/72F low elastic wire, and the weft is made of a new chemical fiber, "cool silk". The door width is 150 centimeters. Because the raw material "cool silk" has the 3D stereoscopic sense, the fabric produced has good drapability, fluffiness, and the natural touch of cotton fabric. At present, it is mainly suitable for making sports clothes, leisure clothes, knitted underwear, coats and home textile fabrics.
In the Oxford cloth series, the polyester filament Oxford cloth and the full stretch Oxford cloth have been enlarged, but the price has dropped slightly. The suede is generally shown this week and the price is stable. The knitted fabric is still running smoothly, especially the printing products, and the downstream inquiry atmosphere is warm.
< /p >
< p > loom start up. At present, the starting rate of air-jet looms and water looms in Shengze is stable at about 7~8, and the demand for materials in the market is not good enough, resulting in a decline in factory production enthusiasm.
In terms of inventory, there are about 30 days of grey fabric weaving in Shengze area, while some of them are about 36 days.
In the near future, the stock market is rising locally, and the manufacturers are weak in the expectation of the future market. They do not exclude the later manufacturers in order to reduce the pressure on inventory and capital and reduce production capacity.
< /p >
< p > < strong > two, from the market of chemical raw materials, < /strong > /p >
< p > because the demand forecast of global economic growth is expected to be lowered, the demand for energy products is significantly suppressed. This week, the trend of international oil prices is more frequent, which has a certain impact on the polyester market.
Especially this Wednesday, New York crude oil futures in July fell 1.88 U.S. dollars / barrel to 93.13 U.S. dollars / barrel, resulting in lower polyester market atmosphere generally down.
< /p >
< p > this week, PX prices rebounded slightly from oil prices. As of May 30th, Asian PX prices rose to $1396 / tonne (FOB Korea), up 24 US dollars / ton over the previous weekend.
Mainly driven by the continuous strengthening of spot demand in July.
As the June PX Asian settlement price is expected to be reached, the market tension has eased, the demand for PX cargo began to strengthen on Wednesday.
Affected by the rebound in the price of PX, the trend of PTA is stronger this week. The price has not been repeatedly affected by oil prices. Within a week, the PTA market basically expanded around 7700 yuan / ton to 7750 yuan / ton.
MEG was dragged down by oil prices and irrigation district inventory this week. Prices dropped sharply, and the trend slowed down near the weekend. The total price fell 250 yuan / ton a week.
< /p >
< p > by the combined effect of the decline in oil prices and the sharp decline of raw material MEG and the decline in the price of PTA contracts in the long term, the polyester market has become more concentrated on the bearish market outlook.
This week, Jiangsu Province and Zhejiang Province polyester semifinished slicing center of gravity fell down. As of Friday, the mainstream talks fell to 9400 yuan / ton ~ 9450 yuan / ton, a week's decrease of 100 yuan / ton.
This week polyester polyester price has also been slightly reduced, but the price adjustment is not large, most manufacturers stimulate sales in the form of preferential, hundred yuan or so discount is more common.
< /p >
< p > from polyester production and marketing situation, the production and sale of polyester products are mostly acceptable this week. As the current loom and loom start rate of the downstream looms are generally stable, the rigid demand still exists.
This week polyester chip production and sales mostly in the vicinity of 7~9, some of the better Nissan sales can be flat or slightly super.
Polyester polyester production and marketing this week is also in the vicinity of 6~8.
At present, the market is more cautious about the trend of raw materials in the late stage. The procurement is mostly on demand, and the raw materials in the long-term market are more common. Therefore, the short term polyester market is expected to be weak.
< /p >
< p > < strong > three, from the cocoon silk market quotation < /strong > < /p >
< p > this week, the market silk price index was 102.21 points, 0.02 points lower than that of last week, from early spring to late spring, and the temperature was rising. The index was also in the process of consolidation. Due to the callback of cocoon silk materials, the price of silk fell slightly this week.
< /p >
< p > foreign trade.
Trade Fair fell this year compared with the same period last year.
However, according to statistics, raw silk and silk fabrics have increased to varying degrees in 1~3 months.
At present, B class silk has nearly 370 thousand yuan / ton, class a silk has been close to 400 thousand yuan / ton.
The export of raw materials has not been reduced throughout the whole year, while domestic sales have increased.
The price of cocoon silk is upward, but the kinetic energy is not enough.
< /p >
< p > the sharp rise of the market began to brake this week, and the main contract was up and down around 375 thousand yuan.
But the underlying trend of market trend is the basic situation of spot trend and fundamentals.
The surface of raw silk is mixed.
The rise in the previous market was mainly due to the active stage of export orders, the better liquidity of raw silk, and the rebound in prices.
It is understood that the export situation is still relatively good.
But from a historical perspective, export orders are hard to maintain.
This brings a greater risk to the continued rise of the market.
< /p >
< p > the spring cocoon of Guangxi has already started to buy. The per ton silk cocoon is basically over 360 thousand yuan, or even nearly 370 thousand yuan cocoon.
Every company produces a loss of more than 10 thousand yuan per ton of silk.
According to such a high cocoon support, cocoon silk market has almost no room for further decline.
< /p >
< p > from the current raw silk spot, around 370 thousand yuan, still at a relatively high price, insufficient support for the price of the plate is weak, but it also shows that the possibility of a sharp downward trend in recent prices is not large.
< /p >
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