Industry Forecast Textile Industry Steady Rise In The Two Quarter
< p > > China a target= "_blank" href= "http://www.91se91.com/" > textile < /a > the China Federation of textile industry "Chinese textile enterprise managers questionnaire" the main goal is: gradually establish a "Enterprise Federation - government" between the rapid reaction channels, with good external circulation service in the industry's internal upgrading.
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< p > the current survey period is 2013 1~3 months.
The questionnaires were distributed and recovered mainly through professional associations and related media of China Federation of textile industry.
In order to improve the efficiency of questionnaires distribution and recovery, the online survey has been added for the first time, that is, entrepreneurs can be reported through the China Textile Industry Federation statistical direct reporting system.
The questionnaire is required to be filled by the corporate representative or the principal person in charge of management.
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< p > practice has proved that the more convenient reporting channel has achieved good results. As of April 2013 22, a total of 354 valid questionnaires were collected.
Through the data collation, statistics and comprehensive analysis, the survey report was formed.
The survey involved various sub sectors of the textile industry. Among the 354 sample enterprises surveyed, the samples of cotton spinning enterprises, < a target= "_blank" href= "http://www.91se91.com/" > clothing < /a > accounted for 16.4%, followed by wool textile enterprises, accounting for 12.7%, and home textile enterprises accounted for 11%; from the sample enterprise scale, the proportion of medium-sized enterprises accounted for the highest, reaching 46%; from the regional distribution of sample enterprises, the eastern region enterprises accounted for the most, accounting for 88.4%; 75.5% of the sample enterprises had new capacity inputs, 11.8% of the sample enterprises carried out asset reorganization.
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< p > according to the survey data, the boom of the textile industry in the first quarter of 2013 was slightly higher than that in the fourth quarter of 2012, with the production index decreasing. The raw material inventory index, the employee index, the new order index, the sales price index and the finished product inventory index have been improved over the previous period, showing that the industry boom has dropped slightly in the first quarter, the market sales and orders have been better, the finished product inventory pressure has increased, and the overall prosperity of the textile industry has remained stable, and there has been a slow rising trend.
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< p > Quality of operation < /p >
< p > foreign orders rebounded obviously upstream product inventory increased < /p >
< p > overall running condition is stable < /p >.
< p > > a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/" > chemical fiber enterprise < /a > poor running ratio < /p >
< p > for the current production and operation of the enterprise, 38.5% of the enterprises chose "good" (the previous survey was 40.7%), and 51.3% of the enterprises chose "general", indicating that the overall operation of the enterprises in the first quarter of 2013 was relatively stable.
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< p > from a sub regional perspective, the proportion of enterprises in the eastern region to choose "good" is higher than that in the central and western regions.
From the perspective of sub sectors, the proportion of silk enterprises and chemical fiber enterprises operating in a "poor" state is obviously higher than that of other industries.
Judging from the type of enterprises, 12.1% of small businesses choose "bad", far higher than large and medium-sized enterprises, indicating that small business pressure is increasing.
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< p > production condition is basically stable < /p >
< p > the output of filament weaving and knitting industry increased obviously < /p >
< p > from the production volume of the main products of this period, 42.5% of the enterprises increased compared with the previous period (the previous survey was 46.9%).
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< p > from the scale of enterprises, the proportion of medium-sized enterprises' production increased by 46.6%, while only 34.4% of small enterprises increased by 8.1 percentage points below the average level.
The operation of large and medium-sized enterprises is better than that of small and medium-sized enterprises.
From the point of view of registered capital type, the proportion of product growth of collective holding enterprises and private holding enterprises is the highest, which is 52% and 46.5% respectively.
From sub sectors, < /p >
< p > demand for orders continues to resume < /p >
< p > the growth rate of foreign orders is significantly higher than that of the previous period < /p >
Less than 50.3% of the enterprises' orders (demand) increased over the previous period (the previous survey was 45.4%), indicating that the market sales in the first quarter of 2013 were better than those in the fourth quarter of 2012. < p >
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< p class= "MsoNormal" style= "margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt" > span lang= "EN-US" lang= "Microsoft";
< p > among them, the order quantity of large and medium-sized enterprises increased by more than 50% during the current period. The growth rate of ordering quantity of small businesses was below average, while the order quantity of small enterprises only increased by 41.1%, but also increased significantly compared with that of the previous period (33.1%).
From the point of view of the sub sectors, the reduction in the order volume of silk and linen textile enterprises is relatively high, reaching 50% and 40% respectively.
On the whole, 17.5% of the enterprises' orders (demand) decreased compared with the previous period, and the proportion decreased compared with the previous period.
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"P" in this period of foreign order goods (demand) volume, the growth of the number of enterprises accounted for 42.7%, compared with the previous survey results (35.7%) significantly improved, reflecting the international market demand is still showing a gradual warming momentum.
From the point of view of the sub industry, the silk and linen textile enterprises are the least optimistic, and the enterprises with reduced international orders are relatively high.
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< p > sales price is rising steadily < /p >.
< p > chemical fiber and < a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp" > textile machinery enterprise < /a > product price reduction ratio is higher than < /p >
< p > the average selling price of the main products of the sample enterprises increased 32.3% over the previous period, up slightly from 29.5% in the previous period, and the average selling price of the main products of 45.5% of the sample enterprises was the same as that of the previous period, indicating that the price of the products increased steadily.
From the point of view of the sub sectors, the proportion of the main products sold in the chemical fiber manufacturing industry and the textile machinery industry decreased by a high proportion of 41.7% and 40% respectively.
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< p > inventory pressure has increased, < /p >
< p > chemical fiber and textile machinery enterprises have a higher backlog ratio < /p >
< p > in terms of product inventory, the pressure of investigation has increased, and 38.1% of the sample enterprises have increased their inventory, which is higher than that of the previous 31.5%.
Judging from sub sectors, chemical fiber and textile machinery enterprises choose a higher proportion of inventory growth, accounting for 55.6% and 50% respectively.
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< p > overall profit slightly improved < /p >
< p > the growth of large and medium enterprises is better than that of small enterprises < /p >
< p > in the current survey, 25.3% of the sample enterprises had a lower profit than the previous period (the proportion of the previous survey was 30.3%), and 38.6% of the enterprises increased profits in the current period compared with the same period last year (the previous period was 42%).
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< p > from the scale of different enterprises, the profit growth of large and medium-sized enterprises is better than that of small enterprises. 49% of large enterprises and 38% of medium-sized enterprises have increased profits in the current period compared with the same period last year, while only 28.6% of small enterprises indicated profits increased.
From different industries, the profit margins of silk and linen textile enterprises are generally low, and the number of enterprises who choose to decrease profits is 50% and 40% respectively.
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< p > utilization rate of equipment is still normal < /p >.
< p > clothing and < a href= "http://www.91se91.com" > wool textile enterprise < /a > equipment idle relatively prominent < /p >
< p > in the current survey, 61.2% of the sample enterprises had a 80% utilization rate of equipment utilization, which was slightly lower than that of the previous survey of 63.9%.
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< p > among them, the utilization ratio of equipment in large enterprises is obviously higher than that in small and medium enterprises, and the proportion of large enterprises with equipment utilization above 80% is 84.9%, while small and medium-sized enterprises account for only 55.5% and 45.3% respectively.
From the point of view of industries, the utilization rate of equipment in clothing and wool textile enterprises is not high, and the utilization rate of equipment is over 80%, accounting for 40.4% and 51.1% respectively.
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< p > purchase price of raw materials is going up, < /p >
< p > small enterprises believe that the increase of raw material procurement is difficult "/p".
< p > in the current enterprise raw material procurement quantity, 29.9% of the sample enterprises purchase quantity has increased, compared with the previous period (24.8%) has increased, 52.2% of the enterprises and the previous period was flat.
From the scale of different enterprises, only 26.1% of small enterprises purchase raw materials increased, accounting for significantly lower than large and medium-sized enterprises.
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< p > in the purchase price of main raw materials, the sample enterprises accounted for 49.3% of the increase in the price during the current period, slightly lower than the 50.5% of the previous survey, and 38.5% of the enterprises believe that the purchase price of the main raw materials will continue to increase in the next period.
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< p class= "MsoNormal" style= "margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt" > span lang= "EN-US" lang= "Microsoft";
< p > < strong > situation judgement < /strong > < /p >
< p > < strong > the export market is slightly better than the domestic market. The two quarter's output growth is traceable. < /strong > < /p >
< p > < strong > the attitude towards current overall operation < /strong > < /p >.
< p > < strong > < /strong > < a > href= > http://www.91se91.com > strong > cotton spinning > /strong > /a > strong > chemical fiber enterprises.
< p > overall, managers are cautious about the overall operation of the industry.
23.4% of the sample enterprises believe that the overall operation of the textile industry is optimistic (compared with the previous survey 19.6% slightly increased by 3.8 percentage points), 51.7% of the enterprises believe that the general situation of operation, and 24.9% of the enterprises believe that the situation is not optimistic (compared with the previous survey 24.6% down 0.3 percentage points).
From a sub industry perspective, generally cautious attitude, but cotton spinning, chemical fiber and silk enterprises have a relatively negative attitude towards the current overall operation of the industry, and the proportion of enterprises with less optimistic choice is relatively high.
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< p > judgement on the overall operation of the next stage < /p >
< p > the proportion of optimism in printing and dyeing and clothing industry is lower than that in this period < /p >.
< p > for the expectation of the overall operation of the next textile industry, the proportion of enterprises with optimistic judgement has improved compared with the previous period. The proportion of enterprises with optimism is 29.3% (the previous period is 21.8%), and the expected general ratio is 48.1% (up to 50.4%), with an expected rate of 22.5% (27.8% above).
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< p > from a sub regional perspective, the proportion of optimistic expectations in eastern and western enterprises is higher than this period.
From the point of view of sub sectors, except for printing and dyeing and garment industries, the proportion of optimistic expectations in all industries is higher than that in this period.
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< p > expectation for the next market demand < /p >
< p > the export market situation is slightly better than the domestic market < /p >
< p > the export market is slightly better than the domestic market in terms of expectations for the next domestic and foreign markets.
It is expected that the next domestic textile and garment market will be 23% lower than the current period, accounting for 46.6% of the current period, accounting for 30.4% of the current growth. It is expected that the next stage of textile and garment export market will be 23.3% lower than the current period, accounting for 42.6% of the current period, accounting for 34.1% of the current growth.
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< p > expectation for overall order demand < /p >
< p > printing and dyeing and hemp textile enterprises hold a relatively optimistic attitude < /p >
< p > for the expectation of the next order demand, 53.3% of the enterprises think it will increase compared with the current period, which is more optimistic than expected.
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< p > from a sub regional perspective, the expectation of the western region is more optimistic, and 54.5% of enterprises expect the demand for orders to increase.
From the point of view of the sub sectors, printing and dyeing and hemp textile enterprises are relatively optimistic about the orders for the next period, and the enterprises that expect the next order volume to increase will be more than 70%.
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< p > expectation for foreign order demand < /p >
< p > small businesses are more cautious about future export orders < /p >
< p > in the expectation of the next international market demand, the sample enterprises are cautiously optimistic. 38.1% of the enterprises believe that the foreign orders will increase somewhat later than the current period, which is 27.1% higher than that of the previous period, but it is lower than the expected increase of the total order demand (53.3%).
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< p > from the perspective of enterprise size, small enterprises are more cautious about future export orders, and the proportion of foreign expected growth is only 30.3%.
From the point of view of the industry, the knitting and hemp textile enterprises are more optimistic about the international market, and expect that the proportion of foreign orders growth will reach 59.1% and 60% respectively.
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< p class= "MsoNormal" style= "margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt" > span lang= "EN-US" lang= "Microsoft";
< p > the expected output of main products < /p >
< p > enterprise managers are generally optimistic about the two quarter < /p >.
< p > the proportion of the enterprises expected to increase in the next period is 51%, indicating that the managers of the enterprises are more optimistic about the production in the two quarter of 2013.
Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan holding enterprises are particularly optimistic, with 63% of Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan holding enterprises choosing the expected output growth.
From the perspective of sub sectors, the proportion of wool textile, knitting and chemical fiber industries is expected to increase by more than 60%.
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< p > 42.1% of the sample enterprises choose "increase" for the next purchase of raw materials, and 50% of the enterprises choose "flat".
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< p > expectation of product sales price < /p >
< p > steady increase will become the next stage main feature < /p >.
< p > sample enterprises also have a steady and upward trend in anticipation of the next product's selling price.
It is estimated that the sales price of the next product will be 63.2% of that of this period, and 25% of the enterprises will expect to increase the selling price of the product.
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< p > management elements < /p >
< p > insufficient demand, giving up the cost growth and trying to tap the potential inside the city by "/p".
< p > the cost is rising too fast. "/p >"
< p > the problem of recruitment difficulty in industrial and garment enterprises is outstanding. < /p >
< p > for the main problems encountered in the production and operation of enterprises at present, the first sample enterprises accounted for 30.5% of the "insufficient demand in the international market", compared with the previous research results (36.4%), showed that the insufficient demand in the international market continued to ease, but it was still the primary issue in the production and operation of enterprises.
Judging from the sub sectors, the share of textile and silk enterprises choosing "insufficient international market demand" accounted for 80% and 50% respectively, indicating that enterprises in these industries are more affected by the downturn in the international market.
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< p > regarding the main problems encountered in the production and operation of the enterprise at present, the second enterprises that choose "excessive cost increase" account for 30.2%, which is higher than that of the previous survey (27%).
In terms of industries, the proportion of silk and textile machinery enterprises was higher, which was 50% and 45.5% respectively.
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< p > regarding the main problems encountered in the production and operation of the enterprise at present, the third enterprises that choose "recruitment difficulties" account for 27.8%, and the proportion of choosing the item by industrial textile enterprises and clothing enterprises is 50% and 44.6% respectively.
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< p > labor cost restricts enterprise efficiency < /p >
< p > > a href= "http://www.91se91.com" > cotton textile industry < /a > continue to bear heavy load < /p >
< p > on the reasons that affect the efficiency of the enterprise, the first person who chose the "labor cost increase" accounted for 69.6%, which was equivalent to the previous survey.
From the perspective of sub sectors, only the chemical fiber industry and the textile machinery industry chose relatively low proportion. The rest of the industry thought that the rise in labor costs had a greater impact.
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< p > on the reasons that affect the efficiency of the enterprises, the second enterprises that choose the "rising cost of raw materials" account for the highest proportion, reaching 46.5%.
In particular, the cotton textile industry has been under great pressure, and 60% cotton textile enterprises have chosen this reason.
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< p > on the reasons that affect the efficiency of the enterprises, the third enterprises with the highest "order reduction" and "sales decline" account for the highest proportion, reaching 26.8%.
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< p > reducing the cost and increasing efficiency is the biggest hot spot < /p >.
< p > enterprises urgently need to strengthen management and change management mode < /p >
< p > on the survey of the rapid rise in the cost of labor in enterprises, 87.7% of the sample enterprises indicated that compared with the same period in 2012, the labor cost increased to varying degrees, of which 49.4% of the enterprises indicated a rise of 10%~20%, and 8.3% of the enterprises with an increase of more than 20%.
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< p > on the pformation and upgrading of enterprises, 72.3% of enterprises first chose "strengthening management and reducing costs".
Second the enterprises that choose to change the business mode account for 22.9%, 22.5% of them choose to increase the input of innovation, and 20.2% of them choose to "strengthen the introduction and training of talents".
Third, enterprises that choose to expand the domestic market account for 28.4%.
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