Demand For Low-Grade Yarn In Textile Industry Is Sluggish, And Sales Of High Count Yarn Are Slower Than Before.
< p > the US Department of Agriculture announced that the forecast of global cotton production and storage in July was bad for the market, which led to the overall decline in the price of China's main port of import cotton, of which West Africa cotton fell 1 cents, India cotton and Central Asia cotton fell 1.5 cents, and the US cotton and Australia cotton fell 2 cents.
In its report, USDA lowered the US cotton export volume by 65 thousand tons this year, totally out of the market expectation.
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< p > domestic news: Recently, < a target= "_blank" href= "http://www.91se91.com/" > textile < /a > sales of finished products of enterprises are difficult, and yarn market continues to be weak.
The demand for medium and low grade yarn is sluggish, and the sales of high count yarn are also slower than before. Most of the textile enterprises with tight funds have already sold their products on a reduced price, so as to return the funds as soon as possible.
This week, the purchase of imported yarn by Southern enterprises such as Zhejiang increased significantly. Some textile enterprises indicated that the domestic yarn price had no competitive advantage compared with the international yarn price. Some of the low cost varieties of cotton yarn from India and Pakistan were even cheaper than the cotton prices in the country, and the spun pure cotton yarn was "losing money and making money".
In order to reverse the situation, some textile enterprises are adjusting the ratio of cotton to cotton, reducing the amount of cotton, giving up pure cotton and taking the road of non cotton fiber development.
According to China's cotton industry inventory report (July), as of July 5th, the national cotton industry inventory of about 834 thousand tons, an increase of 12.4%, an increase of 13.3% over the same period, a decrease of 8.2% over the past three years.
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< p > spot information; since July 3rd, China reserves cotton management company has increased the number of sales of national cotton storage, and the number of daily sales is over 300 thousand tons, but the turnover rate has been declining. The turnover rate in July 8th dropped to 10.39%, a new low since January 2013.
According to the reporter of China cotton net, the main reasons for the low enthusiasm of the textile enterprises in bidding for national cotton reserves are the tight liquidity, the high price of cotton inside and outside, and the bad economic situation in the second half of 2013.
But some textile enterprises say that the quantity of the reserve cotton is increased, the choice of the textile enterprises is large and the price will decrease, which is favorable for the textile enterprises to prepare the cotton.
According to the statistics of China's cotton net, as of July 9th, the total sales volume of the reserve cotton in 2013 reached 2804112.734 tons, of which 2240761.389 tons of domestic cotton and 562444.2881 tons of imported cotton.
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< p > operation ideas: Cotton short-term operation interval is 19700-20400 pactions, cotton trading volume in recent years is weaker than other varieties, the risk is smaller, short-term profit is not as big as chemical industry, but it is stable and suitable for 100 thousand to 500 thousand small and medium-sized prudent investors operation. In previous years, many positions were relatively active in 7-8 months, 20100 near short, short of profit 19800, the following exploration 19700, near backhand can do more, 20000 above the profit out.
There are more than 50% medium and long term investors in the 19000-21000 interval, and the band or long term trend will be more open in the near future. Strong wheat (2537, -19.00, -0.74%) combined with the change of technological form and quantity can see that the price will exceed 2800 yuan / ton.
In addition, the distance between the bottom and shoulder of the head and shoulders is 142 yuan, so the target of its future technological theory may be 2842 yuan / ton, or even 2913 yuan / ton, and the 2880 yuan / ton can be treated as a rising target.
It is suggested that small funds should be bought in quantity, and the stop loss will be 2745 yuan / ton.
The main soybean short line can be more single, trend single or medium long line, can be arranged empty single.
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