Monthly Fluctuations In Textile And Garment Industry Fluctuated Significantly
< p > in the first half of this year, the global economy showed positive signs. External demand was slightly warmer than in 2012. China's "a target=" _blank "href=" http://www.91se91.com/ > textile < /a > a target= "_blank" href= "_blank" > clothing exports are steadily rising.
As of June, the total volume of textile and clothing trade reached 139 billion 830 million US dollars, an increase of 11.8% over the same period last year.
Among them, exports amounted to 127 billion 230 million US dollars to achieve a relatively rapid growth of 12.1%, imports of US $12 billion 600 million, an increase of 9.5%, and the increase in exports and imports both surpassed the growth level of trade in goods throughout the country.
The cumulative trade surplus was 114 billion 630 million US dollars, an increase of 12.3%.
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< p > < strong > export profile < /strong > < /p >
< p > < strong > monthly export fluctuation is significantly less than /strong > /p >
< p > < strong > two quarter growth rate has dropped down < /strong > < /p >
In the first half of the year, the monthly export growth fluctuated significantly. The largest increase occurred in February, reaching nearly 70%, and dropped rapidly to 11% in March.
Since the two quarter, the growth rate has continued to fluctuate due to the distortion of export data in April and the adjustment and regression in May.
Export growth slowed sharply in May and June, making the total export growth of 9.2% in the two quarter, slower than the first quarter (15.7%).
In June, the trade volume of textiles and clothing increased by US $26 billion 220 million, an increase of 5.2%, of which exports were US $24 billion 90 million, an increase of 5.3%; imports of US $2 billion 130 million, an increase of 4.6%, a surplus of 21 billion 960 million US dollars, an increase of 5.3%.
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< p > < strong > trade mode further optimized < /strong > < /p >
< p > < strong > frontier small trade performance is active < /strong > < /p >.
In the first half of the year, the proportion of general trade exports continued to rise, and the total trade volume was exported to 96 billion 880 million US dollars, which accounted for 76.2% of total exports and 1.2 percentage points more than that of last year.
In the same period, the proportion of processing trade exports decreased from 16% last year to less than 15%.
Among the main trade modes, the small frontier trade was the most active. In the first half of the year, the total export growth was 60%, the import growth was 52.4%, the increase was much higher than the average.
General trade has also achieved rapid growth, with an increase of 12.7% in exports and an increase of 21.6% in imports, a decline in processing trade, a decrease of 0.9% in exports and a decrease of 0.7% in imports.
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< p > < strong > the export of spun clothing increased by less than /strong > /p >
< p > < strong > commodity volume price rises > /strong > /p >
< p > in the first half of this year, China's textile exports increased by 10.1%, and clothing exports increased by 13.4%. Among them, the volume and price of large commodities exports rose.
In the first half of the year, the export volume of fabrics increased by 12.8%, the export unit price increased by 0.4%, the export volume of knitted and woven garments increased by 7.1%, and the export unit price increased by 6%.
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< p > strong > European and American markets: exports increased slightly, < /strong > /p >
< p > with the further deepening of the European debt crisis, the European Union's economy continues to slump.
In the first 6 months, exports to the EU fell for 4 months.
In the first half of this year, China's total exports to the EU amounted to 21 billion 950 million US dollars, an increase of only 3%.
Among them, the export volume of knitted and woven garments of large categories increased by 2.7%, and the export unit price edged up by 0.9%.
The US market is relatively good. In the first half, it exported $18 billion 180 million to the US, an increase of 5.1%.
Among them, the export volume of knitted and woven garments of large categories increased by 6.3%, and the export unit price increased by 2.4%.
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< p > < strong > ASEAN market: export status surpasses Japan < /strong > < /p >
Since the beginning of P, China's exports to ASEAN have continued to exert momentum, and the export volume of each month has maintained a two digit growth.
In the first half of this year, total exports of textiles and clothing to ASEAN amounted to 16 billion 180 million US dollars, an increase of 43.1%.
ASEAN's position in China's export market surpassed Japan for the first time.
In the export to ASEAN, clothing has become the fastest growing commodity.
In the first half of this year, clothing exports increased by nearly 80%, of which the export volume of needle and woven garments increased by 33%, and the export unit price increased by 36.4%.
Clothing exports also rose to 40.5%.
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< p > < strong > Japanese market: export growth continues to be weak. < /strong > /p >
Less than P, China's export to Japan has always been short of growth momentum since the beginning of the year.
By the first half of this year, total exports to Japan amounted to 12 billion 160 million US dollars, down 0.5%.
Although the export volume of knitted and woven garments of large categories still maintained a slight increase, export prices showed a decline, with a cumulative drop of 0.5%.
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< p > < strong > emerging markets: exports have all grown up less than /strong > /p >
In the first half of the year P, China's exports to the four "BRICs" grew, increased by 35.8% to Russia, 29.4% to India, 10.4% to Brazil, and 11% to South Africa.
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< p > < strong > import situation < /strong > < /p >
< p > < strong > yarn imports increase, price drop < /strong > /p >
< p > < strong > cotton imports rapidly dropped < /strong > < /p >
< p > in the first half of this year, China's textile imports increased by 8.4%, and clothing imports increased by 15%. Among them, the yarn quality of commodity yarn continued the trend of price increase and price decrease last year, and the import volume increased by 32.5%, and the import average unit price dropped by 4%.
The import volume of fabrics decreased by 7.3%, and the average unit price of imports increased by 3.6%.
In recent years, the import of garments has maintained a relatively fast growth. In the first half of the year, imports of knitted and woven garments totaled 150 million pieces (sets), an increase of 27%, and the import unit price dropped by 7.1%.
Because of the abundant supply of cotton and the large quantity of cotton in China, and the large import base of cotton last year, cotton imports have been declining this year.
In the first half of the year, cotton imports totaled 2 million 412 thousand tons, down 21.1%, and the average import price was 1940 US dollars / ton, down 17.6%.
In March, the difference of cotton price between home and abroad dropped to more than 3000 yuan / ton from over 5000 yuan per ton, but 4~6 rebounded to more than 4000 yuan per ton.
According to the data released by China Cotton Association, the price index of China's 328 grade cotton in June was 19320 yuan / ton, up 5% over the same period last year.
In the middle of the month, the import price index of grade cotton was 15190/ tons, and the price of cotton in June was 4130 yuan / ton.
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< p > strong > EU market: imports continue to decline < /strong > < /p >
< p > according to the EU customs statistics, the import and export of textiles and clothing in the EU reached 47 billion 390 million US dollars in 1~5 months, an increase of 0.4%.
Among them, textiles grew by 3.2% and clothing by 0.6%.
The EU's imports from China dropped by 7%, and imports from ASEAN grew slowly and increased by 1.3%.
Imports from Bangladesh increased by 6.9%, imports from Turkey increased by 6.1%, and imports from Morocco increased by 15%.
In 1~5 months, the share of China's textile and apparel in the EU market has shrunk to 35.4%, a decrease of nearly 2.5 percentage points over the same period last year. ASEAN's share in the European market has not changed much during the same period.
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< p > < strong > US market: imports keep growth < /strong > /p >
< p > according to us customs statistics, in the month of 1~5, US textile and apparel imports totaled 43 billion 820 million US dollars, an increase of 3.4%, of which 3.1% of textiles and 3.5% of clothing.
Textile imports from China and ASEAN grew by 2.4%, and clothing imports increased by 6.7%.
The share of Chinese products in the US market is 35.1%, which is basically flat compared with the same period last year.
ASEAN's share of the US market climbed to 20%, an increase of 0.6 percentage points over the same period last year.
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< p > < strong > Japanese market: import decreased before May < /strong > < /p >
< p > according to Japanese customs statistics, in May, Japanese textile and clothing imports fell again, with a drop of 5.1%, of which 5% fell from China's imports.
1~5 months, Japan's textile and apparel imports totaled 16 billion 400 million US dollars, down 3%, of which 6.7% of textiles and 2% of clothing.
Imports from China amounted to 11 billion 630 million US dollars, down 5.2%, and imports from ASEAN increased by 7.3%.
The share of Chinese products in the Japanese market was 70.9%, down 1.6 percentage points from the same period last year, while ASEAN's share in Japan rose to 15.3%, an increase of 1.5 percentage points over the same period last year.
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< p > < strong > situation prediction < /strong > < /p >
< p > < strong > export cautiously optimistic in the second half of the year < /strong > < /p >
< p > < strong > growth is expected to decline in the first half of the year < /strong > /p >
In the second half of the year, the trade situation is still grim and complicated. < p >
On the international side, the global economic growth momentum is insufficient, and the European debt crisis is in deep water. The US economy is still in a weak recovery stage, and it will take some time to stabilize and recover. The effect of Japan's quantitative easing policy is still doubtful. Factors such as the slowdown in the emerging market economy and the depreciation of the local currency will adversely affect the growth of China's textile and apparel exports in the second half of the year.
At home, high cotton prices, appreciation of the renminbi and rising production costs have become the "three mountains" of squeezing the profits of enterprises. The procedures for export are complicated, the cost of inspection is high, the time limit for shipment is increased, the cost of enterprises is increased, the shortage of funds for small and medium enterprises, and the expansion of export risks exist for a long time.
On the whole, the export of textile and clothing is cautiously optimistic in the second half of the year. It is expected that the export growth in the second half of this year will fall from the first half of the year, and the annual growth rate will be between 5%~8%.
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