New National Standard Is More Stringent, Demand Is Limited.
< p > the national development and Reform Commission issued to the China cotton reserve management company the notice on starting 2013 cotton temporary purchase and storage, and put forward that with the new cotton coming on the market, the market cotton price has been lower than the state announced cotton temporary storage and storage price by 20400 yuan / ton for 5 consecutive working days. According to the plan of collecting and storing the reserve, the cotton temporary purchase and storage in 2013 will start on the 9 day.
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< p > new national standard is more strict < /p >.
< p > market expectations and storage prices are also released.
Compared with previous years, the national cotton storage threshold has increased a lot this year, and the payment method has also changed.
In terms of storage scope this year, 7 grades of cotton will not be allowed to enter the Treasury.
Sun Liwu, an information cotton analyst at Zhuo Chuang, said that more than 4 cotton was in storage last year, and more than 3.5 will be put into storage this year.
Therefore, he believes that the quality problems that occurred during the last year were expected to be avoided this year.
The return of cotton reserves is basically in line with market expectations, and a one-off payment will be adopted and the margin will be raised to 500 yuan / ton.
This is bound to affect the overall acquisition and operation of the cotton plant which is not fully funded.
Sun Liwu believes that the probability of irrational phenomena such as large-scale losting will be significantly reduced, and cotton enterprises will strictly control costs, and small businesses may cooperate with large enterprises due to insufficient funds.
In addition, the purchase and storage of Xinjiang area will be limited by time limit auction according to the inspection volume of processing enterprises and the daily acceptance capacity of storage and storage. The difficulty of storage and storage will increase significantly, and the progress of enterprise storage will be more tested.
It is understood that because of the good quality of cotton and the high price of seed cotton this year, the price of cotton farmers is 3%-5% higher than that of last year. Many cotton growers in Shandong are expected to sell for more than 4.5 yuan per catty.
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< p > the market is at ease. < /p >
< p > although the standard of collecting and storing is raised, the market reaction is rather dull.
Recently, when cotton enters the boll opening stage, the seed cotton is mainly white cotton, and it is expected to account for more than 80% of the total output.
At present, some traders have begun to buy cotton, the purchase price is about 4.2 yuan / Jin.
Because of the good quality of cotton and the decrease of cotton planting area, cotton farmers are reluctant to sell and have a heavy market.
According to Zhuo Chuang information monitoring, at present, the domestic cotton plant scale is less than 10%. It is estimated that the scale will increase significantly from the middle of this month.
At present, the cotton plant of the scale has tested acquisition, processing and even inspection, and the willingness to seize the resources is obvious, but the actual profit is not ideal.
At present, the high processing cost caused by low linen and high price is very conspicuous with the limited profits of storage and storage and even the difficulty of sales.
It is understood that the cotton lint (lint percentage of cotton seed occupied by seed cotton) is low in Hubei and other places, and there is also a short fiber length problem, which is unfavorable for storage and marketing.
Ma Junkai, Deputy Secretary General of Dezhou Cotton Association, told the Economic Herald reporter that the purchase and storage of cotton in Dezhou area had begun, and the price was 4.2 yuan / Jin, which was 0.15 yuan / kg higher than that of the same period last year.
For cotton farmers reluctant to sell, Ma Junkai has other views.
He believes that this is also related to sales habits, "cotton farmers usually pick all cotton and then sell, picking part of the sale will be more troublesome, some of the needs of cotton farmers will choose to ship now."
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< p > demand is limited. < /p >
< p > Zhuo Chuang believes that at present, there is no obvious potential for replenishment of raw cotton in large scale textile enterprises. Although the potential of replenishment of small and medium sized cotton textile enterprises has already appeared, the pace of procurement varies, and some of them purchase cotton through quota.
It is understood that the port's overall cotton spot has dropped to around 330 thousand tons.
By the end of October, India cotton and new cotton are still difficult to get to Hong Kong. If there is no effective cotton in China, the market resources will be weak. Cotton producers will be able to get a good price, but the price of lint will not be ideal.
Ma Junkai also believes that the downstream a target= "_blank" href= "http://www.91se91.com/" > textile < /a > enterprise demand is not strong, and many enterprises are not willing to use domestic cotton.
He added that the price of imported cotton was almost the same as that of domestic cotton after the tariff was added, but the quality of foreign cotton was obviously higher than that of domestic.
Yang Meng, an information analyst at zhuochuang, believes that under the guidance of policies, cotton prices will rise slightly in the short term if there is no national cotton storage, but the cotton yarn market will be boosted by the pressure from cotton mills and downstream mills.
At present, some local cotton mills have made good progress in enquiry and paction, but the mainstream market is still not optimistic.
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- Related reading
This Year'S Cotton Purchase And Storage Rules Are Based On The New National Standard Of Cotton.
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