Domestic Cotton Production Is Expected To Narrow Domestic And Foreign Cotton Price Difference

< p > cotton farmers believe that the price of seed cotton is 9 to 10 yuan per kilogram this year, but the buyout companies do not agree.

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< p > "under the influence of pre disaster weather, cotton production reduction in the main producing areas this year is a foregone conclusion.

Compared with previous years, this year's a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/" > cotton < /a > will reduce production by one or two.

In addition, cotton picking period is generally 10 days later than in previous years.

Zhang Wenmin, director of cotton research and development center of Wanda futures, told reporters.

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< p > < strong > cotton production in most parts of China is less than /strong > /p >

< p > reporter learned from the Xinjiang cotton association that the low temperature in May has affected the cotton knot peach. In 6 and July, some cities in Xinjiang also encountered hail.

"Hailstones are as big as eggs, less than half an hour, and the cotton plants are beaten into light stalks."

Xinjiang province Yuepuhu County cotton grower Han Qi said that his family's 20 mu cotton reduced production about 40%.

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< p > according to statistics of the Economic Crops Research Institute of Xinjiang Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Xinjiang's cotton production decreased by 10% in 2013, and the yield in southern Xinjiang was larger than that in Northern Xinjiang.

Some ginning plants in Akesu, Kashi and other places predict that the output of cotton in the southern Xinjiang will be concentrated in 320 - 380 kg / mu this year, and the yield per unit area will decrease to 250 - 300 kg / mu in 4 and May.

In addition, since mid August, some of the better growing cotton spider mites are more serious, and the yield per unit area may be down by 20% compared with last year.

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< p > at the same time, the "a href=" http:// www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp > cotton yield < /a > in Hunan and Shandong has also attracted the attention of the industry.

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< p > Lixian is a large cotton producing county in Hunan. Local farmers reflect that in 7 and August, because of drought and no rain for a few days, cotton production had a certain impact.

In 2012, the total output of cotton in Hunan province was 320 thousand tons. From the previous statistics and current situation, the total output of cotton in the province decreased by one or two compared with last year.

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< p > "we are going to have a continuous high temperature and drought, and the output of cotton will definitely drop. And my daughter-in-law's home (Shandong), in July, is continuous rain. Her brother planted 20 mu of cotton this year. She expected to have a good harvest, but the rain continued to shatter her brother's good wishes."

A farmer in Lixian is very depressed.

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< p > < strong > cotton yield reduction, can cotton price rise? < /strong > < /p >

< p > cotton yield reduction and cotton price rise seem to be normal logic.

As the cost of physical and chemical labor and labor costs rise, cotton farmers consider that the price of seed cotton will be 9 to 10 yuan per kilogram, but the buyout companies do not agree that "seed cotton is higher than 9.2 yuan / kg. We will definitely lose money."

Henan Fugou County, a cotton processing enterprise official said.

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Since P September 10th, the cotton processing plants in Korla, Bazhou and Yuli County in Xinjiang have started buying new cotton, and Luntai, Ruoqiang, and Mecca have acquired sporadic acquisitions. The four counties, such as ho sum, have planned to buy the scale in September 12th.

Zhang Wenmin said, "compared with previous years, the cotton purchase period is delayed, the sales volume is not large.

Up to now, the state has acquired more than 1500 tons of seed cotton, and the purchase price of seed cotton with 40% lint is 8.70 to 8.80 yuan / kg.

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< p > Han Qi introduced that the cost of planting has increased by 8% - 10% this year compared with previous years. And this year cotton production is reduced, so the < a href= "http://www.91se91.com" > cotton growers < /a > has a high expectation of seed cotton prices.

"Picking requires a large number of flower picking workers. If the seed cotton sale price is below 9 yuan / kg, we are not willing to sell."

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< p > however, in Kashi and Akesu, the purchase price of 40% lint seed cotton should not be higher than 8.90 yuan / kg.

If the purchase price is too high, there will be no profit for the ginning enterprises.

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< p > this month, cotton purchase and storage rules promulgated.

Reporters learned from the domestic cotton main production area of the purchase time of different scales, the purchase price of 8 to 9.35 yuan / kg.

Cotton production is reduced and cotton farmers are reluctant to sell. The market is not good enough.

"On the one hand, farmers are picking up one after another, looking forward to rising prices; on the one hand, enterprises want to pay back, and look at quality and price."

Wang Shufei, an agricultural product analyst at Huizhou merchants, said that the purchase price of seed cotton is on the rise. The psychological price of seed cotton purchase is at 3128B level 8.6 yuan / kg (lint 40%).

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< p > Wang Shufei believes that the market expects stronger prices in the 9 and October, and the national direct subsidy policy of 2014/2015 is expected to be withdrawn. The policy of withdrawal and storage is expected to exit. After the purchase and storage in March 2014, the a href= "http://www.91se91.com" > cotton price < /a > may fall again, and the cotton price difference between home and abroad is expected to return.

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