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Urgent Need To Adjust China'S Chemical Fiber Industry At The Crossroads

2013/10/3 14:57:00 16

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"at present, domestic a href=" http://news.sjfzxm.com/news/list.aspx Classid=101112107105 "> PTA theory < /a > production cost is roughly 8040 yuan / ton, and in September 23rd, domestic PTA spot mainstream trading price was 7700 yuan / ton, and the theoretical loss of production enterprises was as high as nearly 340 yuan / ton. In September 25th, this group of data appeared on China's first textile net textile industry, for fear that many chemical fiber enterprises would have a headache. After several years of peak crazily, at present, the chemical fiber industry is entering a rational callback stage. Standing at the crossroads of adjustment, Zhejiang chemical fiber enterprises are in deep thought. 
 the downward period is .
At the beginning of September, P held an annual meeting of the domestic chemical fiber industry in Tongxiang. Although the theme of this annual meeting is "to inject new vitality into the chemical fiber industry under complex environment - technology, energy, low carbon and brand", the gathering of chemical fibers colleagues will inevitably not mention the overcapacity of chemical fibers. 
 "in 2012, the world's synthetic fiber output was about 58 million tons. By 2016, the global synthetic fiber supply will increase by about 78 million 400 thousand tons, and the demand will not grow very fast, about 57 million 900 thousand tons. There is a big gap between supply and demand, exceeding 20 million tons. Ueda Eshi, vice president and director of the Japan Chemical Fiber Association, pointed out in the report entitled "medium term demand forecast for the global chemical fiber industry". Heavy data kept silence among our colleagues. 
 China is globally recognized as < a href= "http://news.sjfzxm.com/news/list.aspx Classid=101112107107" > chemical fiber producing country < /a >. In 2012, China made 37 million 921 thousand and 600 tons of chemical fiber, accounting for 65% of the world's total chemical fiber. Zhejiang is the most important producing area of chemical fiber in China. Last year, the province's chemical fiber output was 16 million 773 thousand tons, an increase of 11.82% over the same period last year, accounting for 44% of the total output of the country. In the first half of this year, the output of chemical fiber in our province was about 8 million 790 thousand tons, an increase of 7.6% over the same period last year. In the industry, there is even a saying: "Zhejiang enterprises invest in the production of PTA (purified terephthalic acid, the precursor material for producing chemical fiber products), which is sufficient for the national chemical fiber enterprises." 
 2008 to 2009, affected by the global financial crisis, the chemical fiber industry suffered a reduction in output. In 2010, the situation of reducing production was started, and output and growth rate reached a new high in 2012. At that time, it was a good time for chemical fiber enterprises to make money. Experienced the peak of profit in 2011, after the chemical fiber industry down the road, down the cycle, is still in the downlink. 
 from 1 to July this year, the above scale chemical fiber enterprises realized 5 billion 590 million yuan and 3 billion 710 million yuan respectively in profits and taxes and profits. Compared with the same period last year, the growth rate decreased from 28.4% and 36.3% in the first quarter to 0.6% and 3.1% respectively. The loss of enterprises was 20%, narrowed by 6 percentage points compared with the first quarter, and the deficit of loss making enterprises reached 570 million yuan, a decrease of 23.9% percent compared with the same period last year. At present, although the efficiency of the chemical fiber industry has been increasing slowly, the overall situation of the industry is improving. 
 "I have been cautiously optimistic about the overcapacity of chemical fiber. In the case of Tongxiang, despite the severe industry situation, the production and sales rate of Tongxiang chemical fiber products is very high, all over 95%, that is to say, the manufactured chemical fiber is sold out, and it can be sold to show that it has market demand. What is needed in the market can be said to be excess? "A familiar official of the meeting put forward different views. 
 Ueda Eshi also said that from the last 10 years, the textile industry is still in the growth stage, and the chemical fiber industry has played a driving role in the development of the textile industry. 
P > what is the source of the current predicament? 
 > conventional < a href= 'http://news.sjfzxm.com/news/list.aspx? Classid=101112107108 > > variety overflowing < /a > 
 "the main problem facing the current chemical fiber industry is the excessive growth of conventional varieties and excessive structural capacity." Jiang Shicheng, academician of the Chinese Academy of engineering, pointed out that "in 2012, although investment growth has dropped sharply, some projects have been postponed or put into operation, but the pressure of new capacity is still very large." 
 the rapid development of chemical fiber is inseparable from the background of China's rapid economic growth. Duan Xiaoping, President of China Chemical Fiber Industry Association, analyzed, "in the past ten years, the scale of chemical fiber projects is 6 times the original size. The investment cost of individual projects is 1/8, the speed of project completion is 1/2, and the R & D cost is 1/2, and the spinning speed is 8 times ten years ago." Xiaoping said. 
 "in the past few years, the profit of chemical fiber is too high. In 2011, the profit of one ton of chemical fiber was 5000 yuan. Lucrative profits will lead to crazy investments. In June this year, I made a special trip to Germany to negotiate the delivery of new equipment. The goods ordered last year, according to the original one year delivery, will now take 3 years to deliver the goods. What's the reason? China's chemical fiber enterprises have too many orders for equipment, so the production of German companies is too busy. Zhuang Kuilong said. 
Luo Kesheng, project manager of Yibin silliya Limited by Share Ltd, told reporters that the production of viscose filament yarn was the largest in the world and the top ten in short silk industry in Sichuan Province. "The company has difficulty in selling conventional products at a price of 40 thousand yuan per ton, and its profit is very thin, and seventy thousand or eighty thousand tons of high-tech products like pupa protein fiber are very tight, and the profits are much higher than conventional products. When the industry is depressed, the more high-tech products are, the better. " 
 "industrial use" is new road .
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 to meet the challenge of overcapacity, we must find new demand points. 
 in the article "the way out of textile industry under the scarcity of resources", Yao Mu, honorary president of the Chinese Academy of engineering and Xi'an Polytechnic University, the first is the following set of data: the United Nations Joint multinational experts released a view that by 2050, the total amount of global textile fiber processing will reach 2.53 billion tons. Among them, clothing will reach 41 million 500 thousand tons, accounting for 16.4%, and 41 million tons of household textiles, accounting for 16.2%. Industrial textiles will reach 1.705 billion tons, accounting for 67.4% of the total. 
 > Sinicization < a href= "http://news.sjfzxm.com/ > > Fiber Industry Association < /a > a data also shows that during the period from 2011 to 2015, the total amount of China's industrial fiber textile processing will reach 12 million 900 thousand tons, an annual increase of 9.5%. According to the current industry planning, the proportion of chemical fiber applied to industrial textiles will reach 29% and 4 million 500 thousand tons in 2015. Industrial textiles will undoubtedly become a bright spot for the growth of China's chemical fiber industry. 
 two sets of data, a key word - industrial textiles, including agricultural, industrial, military, building, automotive, medical and health, aerospace and so on. Undoubtedly, compared with the current widely used clothing and household textiles, the technological content of industrial textiles is even higher. 
 "in the first half of 2013, the industrial textile industry is in a healthy and stable situation. The growth rate of industrial added value has reached 14.4%, the profit has increased by 27.04% compared with the previous year, and the growth rate of the main economic indicators is in the leading position in the textile industry." Li Lingshen, President of China Industrial Textiles Association, said. 
"P >" we have been adjusting the product mix and gradually increasing the proportion of industrial textiles. At present, the proportion of clothing, decoration and industrial uses in the company's products is 50%, 25% and 25% respectively. Although the largest proportion of clothing products, but the proportion of industrial products continues to increase. Zhuang Kuilong said. 
 "fine diversification of fiber and high-end fiber products will also be a new direction to resolve excess capacity." Ueda Eshi pointed out that the Asian region's economy is developing rapidly. When the per capita GDP exceeds 3000 dollars, the consumption pattern of consumers will be spanformed into "the form of industrialized society". The impact of the so-called industrialized society on the chemical fiber industry is reflected in the growth of demand for high-end clothing and high-end chemical fiber, which requires chemical fiber enterprises to produce more value-added and more functional chemical fiber products. "At present, the size of China's clothing market is equivalent to that of the Japanese market in 2008, but by 2020, the number of high-end consumers in China will exceed 3 times the total population of Japan, or about 320 million people."