Gem Encounter Waterloo, Mid Year Market Need To Focus On Blue Chips
< p > < strong > the target takes 2270 points < /strong > < /p >.
< p > I believe that from the 2078 point of November 14th to the first cycle of this new rising pattern this Monday, the main trend of December will be rising.
Starting this Monday, the second cycle is running. This cycle may not be able to rise too much, but overall it should be based on concussion and the goal is to take 2270 points.
Since the 2270 point is pressing the market for nearly 3 months, it will be a great encouragement for us to win 2270 points. If we take this small commanding point, the main task before New Year's day will be the yin-yang dispute of the annual line.
Since the opening price is 2289 this year, the main target before the new year's day will be more than 2289 points. Then there will be pressure at 2334 in May this year. There will also be a fierce battle there.
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< p > the market is low on Friday. Media culture and wine making plate have been strengthened again. The environmental protection plate also has certain performance. < a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp" > blue chips < /a > has obvious effect on the seesaw with subject stock.
Because of the growing differentiation of the gem, the controversy over whether the gem is going to the top is becoming more and more intense.
I believe that the main stage of the growth enterprise market has passed, but there is still a possibility of high innovation. The rise of the index also needs the pulling of blue chips. But in recent years, experience has shown that the rise of the index driven by blue chips is generally bad.
Therefore, in the next process of shock and rising, the theme stocks based on GEM will still have strong opportunities when the market is weak.
From the point of view of the stock space, many GEM stocks are not likely to lose the blue chip stock. In the case of limited index space, blue chips are difficult to have a profit margin. Blue chips can be treated as a restorative rise. From this point of view, blue chips are more robust.
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< p > < strong > the market enters the annual report high delivery and pfer market layout period < /strong > < /p >.
< p > this week is the first week of December. Due to the news that the IPO will be closed soon after a year's suspension, the index of each category is obviously divided. The Shanghai stock index has four consecutive days, and the small and medium-sized boards receive the Cross stars on the weekly line.
< a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_f.asp" > IPO < /a > the opening of the gate has a significant impact on the market hot spots and emotions. With the release of all the supporting documents of IPO and the formal launch of IPO, it will still affect the mood of the market and the operation of the funds.
This month is the last trading month of 2013. In other words, time has entered the end of the year.
The year-end quotation generally has the following characteristics: < /p >
< p > 1, financial system funds return, institutional capital settlement, compared with other months, funds face a period of tension.
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Less than P > 2, no performance support, but because of short-term themes and high stocks, there is a downward pressure.
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< p > 3, usually the year-end market is generally relatively light, the volume has obviously shrunk, on Friday, the Shanghai Stock Index daily turnover of 92 billion 200 million yuan, has dropped to less than 100 billion yuan, the gem refers to the volume of 20 billion 500 million yuan, also from nearly three billion billion days of nearly half of the decline, it is expected that in the next period of time, the volume of the market will continue to shrink.
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< p > 4, the end of the year also means that the annual market will soon come. Every time the end of the year's index falls, it will dig holes for the first quarter of the year, and bull market bear market.
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< p > 5 and December are the layout stages of the high annual pfer to the annual report. Although the preview was launched ahead of schedule in November this year, the stock price was raised, but the setback started at the beginning of December is a good thing relative to the layout of the high annual pfer of the real annual report.
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< p > 6, since 2013 entered the year of reform, there are many subjects and hot topics. Because of the high stocks in the theme of reform, once the story is over, or the climax period is over, we must know how to go.
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< p > generally speaking, the year-end quotation is generally relatively dull, but for the capital of the central line layout, especially for the annual market layout, it is the most precious time.
Due to the fact that the performance of Listed Companies in December has basically been set, recent institutional research is quite frequent.
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< p > besides, in addition to the research and layout of high turnover, there are two themes to be concerned in the near future. One is the network security conference held next week, the other is the "one document" expectation and the information disclosed by the economic working conference.
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< p > < strong > gem is facing pressure and attention to underestimate the value of blue chips, partial opportunities < /strong > < /p >
< p > observation of the recent market, the Shanghai stock index two a href= "http://fz.sjfzxm.com/" > Zhongyang line < /a > two successive shrink stars. This time, the most important reason is that the market is blocked before the high point pressure, and the market gains a phased advantage after the short and short game, which also needs temporary rest.
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< p > from a technical perspective, the four links of the market are technically beneficial to bulls, and the volume can be enlarged to a certain extent this week. The 5 weekly and 10 weekly lines are good for bulls.
However, we also see that the stock index has reached a large intensive trading area, and technical pressure is unavoidable.
Judging from the daily line, the market has closed for two consecutive trading days, but it has not effectively fallen below the 5 day line. If next Monday does not fall below the 5 line, the market will continue to rise.
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< p > from the plate, the main driving force for the adjustment of the two day market comes from the financial sector. Now the key is whether the financial index can support this position after the 10 day line up. As long as the support is maintained, once the market continues to enter the shock market, the market will become active again.
In addition, real estate stocks have been depressed because the market regulation is coming again.
At this time, as long as the real estate stocks can keep up, the short term may rebound. Real estate stocks will rebound and financial stocks will have corresponding actions. The market will also live in the short term.
In addition, there is also a X element that affects market factors, that is, resource stocks. A few days ago, coal and nonferrous resources stocks suddenly pulled up, but only one day after that, they fell silent. If this happens again, it will make a bigger variable for the market.
In addition, whether the market is horizontal or rising, gem will undoubtedly face enormous pressure, although the short term may rebound slightly rebound, but it is difficult to change the general trend.
Therefore, the most feared market is not the blue chips, but the overvalued stocks led by the gem, because once the market is down, the bears will go out on a large scale and the short term bulls will turn to the short end.
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< p > based on this, the most important thing for investors to operate is to avoid high-risk stocks. At the same time, pay attention to the rhythm of the market. As long as there is no reversal in the market, there will be partial opportunities such as undervalued blue chips and some stocks.
If there is a big change in the market, adjust at any time according to the market changes.
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