National Risk Analysis Report - Mexico

< p > strong > country trade risk index (ERI):95.57 < /strong > /p >

< p > < strong > national risk reference rating: 6 (6/9) < /strong > /p >

< p > < strong > national risk Outlook: negative < /strong > < /p >

< p > < strong > Economic and trade risk < /strong > < /p >

< p > Mexico's nominal GDP in 2012 was 11771 billion US dollars, GDP per capita was US $17908, and the actual economic growth rate was 3.9%.

Agriculture accounted for 3.9% of GDP, industry accounted for 32.7%, and service industry accounted for 63.4%.

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< p > political risk in Mexico is relatively stable, the status of the ruling party is not stable, and how to fight drug crimes and stabilize domestic security situation in the future is worth paying attention to.

At present, Mexico's economy is stable and its macroeconomic fundamentals are good, but the economy is highly dependent on the United States.

Mexico business environment is better, but administrative corruption, security environment is poor.

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< p > < strong > < a > href= > http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp > bilateral trade > /a > < /strong > /p >

In 2012, China has become the fourth largest exporter of Mexico and the second largest source of imports in P.

China is Mexico's second largest trading partner and Mexico is China's second largest trading partner in Latin America.

According to the General Administration of Customs of China, the trade volume between China and Mexico amounted to US $36 billion 680 million in 2012, of which China exported US $27 billion 520 million and imports US $9 billion 160 million, but trade between the two countries was uneven.

The export structure of the two countries is very similar, and the degree of competition is high.

China mainly exports computer and communication technology products, clothing, electrical and electronic products, machinery and equipment, television, imports of computer and communication technology products, electronic technology products and so on.

In bilateral trade, Mexico has been in trade deficit for a long time. In addition to 2009, China's surplus in each year exceeded 10 billion dollars.

The trade frictions between the two countries have been continuous. Mexico has become one of the countries that have imposed the most anti-dumping sanctions against China. The anti-dumping sanctions against China are characterized by a wide range of levy and a high tax rate.

Mexico does not recognize China's economic market position in the anti-dumping investigation, and has obvious discrimination against China's anti-dumping procedures.

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< p > < strong > business environment < /strong > /p >

< p > < a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp" > commercial environment < /a > better in Mexico.

In addition to the lack of power facilities, the pfer of private property rights and the higher tax burden, the rest of the indicators rank higher.

Mexico has signed the North American free trade agreement with the United States and Canada. At present, the United States is Mexico's largest trading partner and source of investment, bilateral trade accounts for 70% of Mexico's total foreign trade, and exports to the United States account for 83% of Mexico's total exports.

Mexico is one of the main countries with foreign investment.

Mexico's < a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp > Foreign Investment Law < /a > allows foreign investors to engage in the vast majority of industries in Mexico, and even 100% of foreign capital can participate in the operation, but the business environment is not good in some respects.

First, bureaucracy is serious in government departments. Secondly, the efficiency of the judicial system is low, laws are complicated and changeable, labor laws are too complicated and biased towards labor.

In addition, drug trafficking, smuggling and social security problems are serious and have a negative impact on Mexico's investment environment to a certain extent.

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< p > < strong > overall assessment < /strong > < /p >.

In 2012, Mexico's economic growth rate dropped slightly, but the macroeconomic fundamentals were good. P

Although the economic growth rate showed a downward trend in 2013, it basically stabilized at around 3.7%.

In the future, the risks facing the country lie mainly in the following aspects: first, it is highly dependent on the US economy and the US market; two, there is a serious structural imbalance in economic development, but the reform process is stagnant; three, the problem of poverty is becoming increasingly severe, and the degree of inequality of income distribution is aggravating; four, fiscal revenue and expenditure is a major hidden danger.

After the Nieto administration takes office, it will increase investment in infrastructure, education and people's livelihood, and the financial situation and public debt level deserve attention.

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