Export Situation Analysis Of Guangdong Textile And Apparel In The First Quarter Of 2014

Since 2013, the cost of production has been rising, domestic cotton prices have continued to rise, and international prices are rising. Spin With the acceleration of industrial transfer and other factors, Guangdong textile industry has become more difficult to operate, and exports have been affected. According to customs statistics, Guangdong exports in the first quarter of 2014 clothing And clothing accessories, textile yarn fabrics and products (hereinafter referred to as "textile and garment") 53 billion 460 million yuan, 10.4% lower than the same period last year (same below).

　 1. The main characteristics of Guangdong's textile and clothing export in the first quarter of this year.

(1) garment exports have declined for 4 consecutive months. Since December last year, the monthly export of Guangdong's textile and clothing has declined for four consecutive months, of which exports in February have shrunk sharply, down 37.3% compared to the same period last year, and exported only 16 billion 150 million yuan in March, down 2.3% from the same month last year.

(two) nearly 6 of them were exported in general trade mode, and export growth in processing trade increased slightly. In the first quarter of this year, Guangdong exported 15.2% yuan of textile and clothing in general trade mode, a decrease of 15.2%, accounting for 59.9% of the total value of Guangdong's textile and garment exports in the same period. In the same period, the export volume of processing trade was 14 billion 620 million yuan, an increase of 2%, accounting for 31.2%. In addition, 4 billion 640 million yuan was exported by customs special supervision area, down 16.6%, accounting for 8.7%.

(three) foreign enterprises are the main export entities, and the export of state-owned enterprises has dropped considerably. In the first quarter of this year, China's foreign-funded enterprises exported 23 billion 330 million yuan of textile and clothing, an increase of 0.5%, accounting for 43.6%. During the same period, private enterprises exported 21 billion 910 million yuan, down 19.3%, accounting for 41%; and state-owned enterprises exported 8 billion 230 million yuan, down 11.8%, accounting for 15.4%.

(four) mainly exported to Hongkong, the European Union and the United States. In the first quarter of this year, Guangdong exported 14.7% yuan of textile and clothing to Hongkong, a decrease of 14.7%, exports to the European Union 10 billion 300 million yuan, an increase of 1.7%, exports to the United States 9 billion 370 million yuan, a decrease of 3.3%, and the total exports to the above 3 markets accounted for 61.6%. In addition, exports to ASEAN amounted to 13 billion 980 million yuan, down 14.8%.

　　 Two, the reasons for the decline in the export value of textile and clothing in Guangdong at present

Cotton price inversion and other factors led to the weakening of cost advantages of domestic enterprises, and the loss of clothing orders downstream. As the main raw material of cotton textile production enterprises, foreign enterprises usually set the price according to the international cotton price. Due to our previous cotton purchase and storage system, the price of cotton has not been in line with the market. There is an obvious hang up phenomenon between domestic and foreign cotton prices. Meanwhile, the quota management mechanism of cotton imports also makes the cost of domestic textile production enterprises high [1]. Taking into account the production cycle of enterprises, taking the cotton price in 2013 as an example, the domestic average price is equivalent to 19377 yuan per ton [2], while the price of imported cotton in Guangdong is 2078 yuan per ton (12898 yuan RMB) during the same period, and the difference between domestic and foreign prices is more than 6000 yuan. Coupled with the economic transformation and upgrading, the inevitable increase in labor prices and the appreciation of the renminbi and other factors, constantly pushing up the production and operation costs of China's textile and garment export enterprises, the cost advantage of China's textile and clothing products is accelerating to weaken, and many enterprises, especially multinational companies, have accelerated their orders to Turkey, Southeast Asia and other places.

Two, the main problems and suggestions in the current textile and clothing export

(1) Textile industry The momentum of merger and acquisition is beginning to show. With the introduction of the "roadmap for state-owned enterprise reform", the countdown to [3] has been introduced. "Reform fever" has become a popular word in various industries. In terms of textile industry, Shanghai and Shenzhen have begun to pilot the process of transition to mixed ownership, and will have a strong impetus to promote [4] in terms of promoting the value of state-owned textile enterprises. At the same time, due to the large number of enterprises in the domestic textile industry and the high degree of market competition, how to introduce private capital "retail investors" and solve the employment problems in the reform process still face many difficulties.

(two) cotton The direct subsidy policy will be implemented step by step, and the effect of the future market needs to be tested. This year, the national cotton purchase and storage policy adjustment, except Xinjiang, the provincial cotton market will be liberalized, the temporary purchase and storage policy will be replaced by direct subsidy policy. This policy is an agricultural support policy based on the market price, protecting the interests of producers through differential subsidy. If the direct subsidy policy can be effectively promoted, taking into account the current about 10000000 tons of high inventory, it will help to achieve the downward trend of domestic cotton prices and eliminate the "scissors gap" between the inside and outside prices of cotton so as to enhance the competitiveness of China's textile and garment industry [5]. But from now on, the cotton target price approved by the State Council in 2014 is 19800 yuan per ton, and the intention of "very price" is obvious, which restricts the downward trend of cotton price. The future price pattern of cotton pricing needs to be tested in the market [6].