This Week, The US Dollar Will Not Change To New York Dollar And Add Interest Ring.
According to the data released by the US labor department last Friday, the number of non farm payrolls increased by 217 thousand in the 5 quarter of the United States, which is expected to increase by 218 thousand. In the 4 months, the increase was 282 thousand, and the initial value increased by 288 thousand. P
Meanwhile, the unemployment rate in the United States in May was 6.3%, unchanged from April. Economists had expected to rise to 6.4%.
The labour force participation rate in the United States in May was also stable at 62.8%.
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< p > after the publication of the data, the < a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp" > US dollar index < /a > was slightly under pressure, but the good trend of the employment market for 4 consecutive months still supported it, and then quickly recovered the downtrend.
The Associated Press commented that in May, the non farm report employment market was in good shape for 4 consecutive months, and it has injected strong impetus to the current economic growth after the beginning of the year's economic growth is not as good as expected.
After five years of economic depression, the US job market crisis finally recovered.
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The non-agricultural data of < p > May were close to expectations, and the non-agricultural average data in the past three months remained above 200 thousand. This is a positive sign for the economic outlook and will also enhance the possibility of accelerated economic growth in the future.
Nevertheless, the market still believes that the "a href=" http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp "/a" ultra loose monetary policy may continue for some time.
Many analysts said that from the perspective of supporting the US economy, the growth of us non farm employment is not enough to prompt the fed to raise interest rates rapidly.
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< p > a survey by foreign media released on Friday's non-agricultural data shows that most of Wall Street's top bond companies do not believe that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates before the second half of 2015. The vast majority of the surveyed bond companies now believe that the Fed will not start to reduce its large scale balance sheet before raising interest rates, and will abandon interest rate zone policy at the first time of raising interest rates and return to the policy of adopting a specific interest rate level.
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< p > we can see that although the US employment market has stabilized, it has not raised the expectation of all sectors of the market for the fed to raise interest rates ahead of schedule.
However, in view of the steady recovery of the US economy as a whole, and the easy tone of Euro silver has been endorsed by the market, the probability of the US dollar's concussion has increased sharply, which is worth investors' expectation.
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A report released on Friday by the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission showed that, as of June 3rd, the dollar's net multi head of speculators hit the highest level in March.
Meanwhile, the figures released by speculators showed that the dollar's net multi position held by speculators in June 3rd increased by 7 billion 440 million US dollars to US $11 billion 390 million, and the US dollar long position was the highest in March 4th, and investors saw more dollars in 4 weeks.
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< p > compared with super week, the market events this week are relatively mild, but there are still some key risk events, which deserve investors' attention.
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Except for the "a href=" http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp "economic data < /a > from Japan, investors can give due attention to the speech delivered by Stevens, chairman of the Federal Reserve Bank of Australia, in San Francisco on Monday.
On Tuesday, China will announce the May CPI and PPI, which has been rumored that the Chinese government will adopt a "micro stimulus" for economic policies. If these two indicators increase in May, they will dispel market expectations.
The highlight of Wednesday is the unemployment rate data released by the UK. Among them, the ILO unemployment rate in the three months from May to the UK is the top priority. The quality of the data is expected to affect the short-term trend of the pound.
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On Thursday, the New Zealand Federal Reserve will announce interest rate resolutions again. The market expects that the Federal Reserve will continue to raise interest rates further by 25 basis points to 3.25%. The New Zealand dollar has gained strong support in the first two rounds of raising interest rates, and this time or P will be injected into the New Zealand dollar.
In addition, the Australian unemployment rate and US retail and initial data are likely to trigger a short-term market turbulence.
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The Bank of Japan will issue a rate resolution statement on Friday, P. The market now tends to believe that the Bank of Japan will continue to maintain quantitative easing measures.
A survey released by foreign media showed that only three of the 30 analysts surveyed expected that the Bank of Japan would expand its easing efforts in July. By comparison, 30 of the 35 analysts interviewed expected that the possibility of further easing monetary stimulus by the Bank of Japan in 2014 would exceed the possibility of reduction. Even if the Bank of Japan is currently optimistic about the Japanese economy and Japan's inflation rate is higher, it will reduce the possibility of easing the Bank of Japan in July.
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