Shi Jun: Iraq War Affects Crude Oil, Canada And Canada

"P >" because of the announcement of the new Federal Reserve interest rate resolution to raise interest rates and the surge in oil prices in Iraq, the overall performance of commodity currencies was stronger than that of the European system yesterday. However, the speech of Carney, the governor of the Bank of England, at the end of the evening has completely pushed the currency of commodities.

Yesterday, the pound led the foreign exchange market, and the non US currencies rose across the board.

The US stock market fell again, with the Dow Jones industrial index closing down 0.65%, the NASDAQ index closing down 0.79%, and the S & P 500 index closing down 0.71%.

Gold rose by more than 1% yesterday, due to the ferment of the Iraqi civil war in the market, closing at $1273.6 an ounce.

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< p > industrial output data released yesterday in the eurozone showed a growth of 0.8% over the expected 0.5% level, but the data did not cause much impetus to the euro. Wiedemann, in a relaxed voice, warned the European Central Bank's QE that the sweet poison when buying assets, reducing QE or ending QE would bring adverse consequences to QE.

In the eurozone, Germany's economic performance is still good, and it does not need to stimulate the economy through QE. Wiedemann's speech is more expressed in the euro area QE may have a negative impact on Germany.

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< p > > early morning time the Japanese central bank's < a href= > http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp > interest rate < /a > the resolution once again maintained the status quo, the interest rate and the size of the money have not changed. In the afternoon, we need to pay attention to the press conference of the governor of the bank of Japan, Kuroda Higashihiko, Europe, Germany and Italy released the May consumer price index in the afternoon, the construction industry production data of the UK in April, the euro area will also announce the April trade account and the change of the number of employment in the first quarter.

The United States needs to pay attention to University of Michigan's consumer confidence index in June.

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< p > < strong > operation recommendation: < /strong > < /p >

< p > strong > Australian dollar to us dollar < /strong > /p >

The "P" < a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp" > Australian dollar > /a > daily chart began a continuous eight day line from last Tuesday. The highest level was 0.9437 yesterday. The 0.9460 of the year's high price is facing great opportunities for testing. If the Australian dollar can refresh its annual high level, the target of the monthly line will be 0.9650.

If the Aussie day line is below 0.9410, the figure will form eight Yang Yin Yin with the front eight lines, and then there will be a wave of callbacks.

It is suggested that 0.9460 of the test results are waiting for the day.

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< p > < strong > NZ yuan to us dollar < /strong > /p >

The daily line of < p > Nu yuan continued the strength after the increase in interest rate, and the upper resistance ranged from 0.8715 to 0.8725. The resistance in this area was tested in April and May, and it failed to break through. NZ only had to break through this resistance interval before it had the chance to challenge the historical high point of 0.8841. If it could not be broken, the Niu Yuan line continued to maintain a range of 0.8520 to 0.8720 shocks.

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< p > strategy < a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp" > NZ yuan < /a > near 0.8700, try to stop, stop 0.8780, target 0.8520, 0.8430.

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< p > < strong > US dollar to Canadian dollar < /strong > /p >

< p > because the Iraqi situation caused the oil to rise and pulled the strength of the Canadian dollar. The US Canada daily line will face the test of 1.0810 below the daily oscillation interval after breaking 1.087 yesterday. The price is also located near the brink line of the Japanese line. If the test can be stabilized, the us and Canada will have the opportunity to go upward. If the crude oil continues to strengthen, then the US and Canada will fall below 1.0810.

Short term recommendation near the 1.0886 callback, try to empty the list, stop loss 1.0920, target 1.0810.

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< p > < strong > crude oil < /strong > /p >

< p > crude oil rose 2% yesterday, the daily line was above 105, and the strong resistance of 105 integer price was punctured instantly, and hit a high point in September 19, 2013. 105 of the break points opened crude oil to the upper reaches of the August 28, 2013 high point, with the target above 112.21.

At present, the uplink resistance of crude oil is near 108. However, the upward trend of crude oil still needs to see the situation in Iraq. If the Iraqi civil war is rapidly becoming calm, then the crude oil will lose support to fall back to below 105. But if the Iraqi civil war can not subside for a long time, even if the crude oil producing area is destroyed, the crude oil will have a great chance to break through 112.21.

On the operation, it is recommended that the callback 105 stand firm and try to stop more than 104.30.

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